Match Analysis: In Soo Hwang vs Paddy Mccorry – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 12:40 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA bout between In Soo Hwang and Paddy McCorry on Dana White's Contender Series main card.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters are making their professional debuts (0-0 records). No professional fight history limits direct performance comparison. Training camps and amateur records indicate McCorry has slightly more wrestling and grappling experience, while Hwang's style is more striking-oriented.
• No prior head-to-head bouts between the two fighters; this is their first matchup.
• No reported injuries to either fighter as of fight week; both appear fully fit and prepared.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters are competing on Dana White's Contender Series, providing strong motivation for a UFC contract.
• High motivation on both sides due to opportunity to secure UFC contract. McCorry's slightly more versatile skill set may provide an edge in securing a finish, increasing confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +155, away: -180	Paddy McCorry	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	+1.5 rounds (Hwang) -120 / -1.5 rounds (McCorry) +100	Paddy McCorry to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -160, under: +140	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Paddy Mccorry -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 68%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paddy McCorry to win via moneyline, fight to finish under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Paddy McCorry wins by TKO in round 1

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – September 16, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
In Soo Hwang vs. Paddy Mccorry Prediction	Under 1.5	140	68%
Mackson Lee vs. Enrique Hecher Sosa Prediction	Under 1.5	135	29%
Cody Chovancek vs. Raphael Uchegbu Prediction	Over 2.5	-135	22%

Combined Odds: +882 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $196.36

Match Analysis: Paddy Mccorry vs Shuki Farage – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-31
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: PalaPellicone, dei Sandolini, 79, 00122 Lido di Ostia RM, Italy

Game Overview

Paddy McCorry vs Shuki Farage is a 195lbs catchweight bout at Cage Warriors 189 in Rome. McCorry is the heavy favorite, reflecting both his record and perceived skill advantage. Farage is a considerable underdog with odds reflecting a major upset required for him to win. Both fighters made weight, and there are no signs of injury concerns. The event is a high-profile platform for both competitors seeking to advance their careers in European MMA.

Key Factors to Consider

• Paddy McCorry is considered a far superior fighter with extensive experience and a well-rounded game. Shuki Farage is less experienced with limited exposure in major organizations.
• No prior head-to-head history between McCorry and Farage in professional MMA. This is their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter. Both have officially made weight and are cleared to compete.[5]
• The event is held in Rome, Italy, which may not heavily favor either fighter as both are traveling. There are no reported external disruptions or controversies.
• McCorry aims to continue his rise and impress scouts or bigger promotions. Farage is motivated to prove himself against a highly regarded opponent and could be seen as a no-lose situation for him.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -1800, away: 900	Paddy McCorry to win	★★★★★ 96%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Paddy Mccorry -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Paddy Mccorry at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paddy McCorry is extremely likely to win. The odds, fighter history, and recent performances all indicate a significant advantage for McCorry. The most probable outcome is a first or second round finish by McCorry, although upsets can never be completely discounted in MMA.

Predicted Score: Paddy McCorry via 1st round submission or TKO

Match Analysis: Paddy Mccorry vs Ghassan Abdenabi – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

This MMA match between Paddy McCorry and Ghassan Abdenabi is part of Cage Warriors 188 in Dublin. Paddy McCorry, known for his victory over Samir Kadi with a guillotine choke in his last CW appearance, faces Ghassan Abdenabi with significant betting odds favoring him.

Key Factors to Consider

• Paddy McCorry has shown strong performance with recent wins in Cage Warriors, while Ghassan Abdenabi's recent form is less documented in available sources.
• No head-to-head data available between these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The home advantage may play in McCorry's favor, though this is speculative without specific venue details.
• McCorry's recent wins could enhance his confidence, but Abdenabi might be motivated by the underdog role.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Paddy McCorry: -1150, Ghassan Abdenabi: 700	Paddy McCorry	High (80%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Paddy Mccorry -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Paddy McCorry is predicted to win due to favorable betting odds and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Not Applicable for MMA