Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-21
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Ottawa Redblacks in a Week 3 CFL matchup. Calgary has started the season strong with a 2-0 record both straight up and against the spread, showcasing balanced offensive and opportunistic defensive play. Ottawa enters the game winless at 0-2 and has struggled against the spread as well. Ottawa's normal starting quarterback is expected to play, but there are concerns about his physical condition. The game is anticipated to be controlled by Calgary, with a modest scoring pace around 45 points total.

Key Factors to Consider

• Calgary Stampeders have a perfect start, 2-0 straight up and ATS, showing both strong offense and defense. Ottawa Redblacks are 0-2 straight up and against the spread, with their games tending to go over the total points line.
• Recent data implies Calgary has the upper hand, reflected in their strong start and favored status in betting markets. Ottawa has yet to secure a win in 2025 and has struggled in previous encounters.
• Ottawa's starting quarterback is expected to start but may not be at full physical capacity, potentially limiting offensive effectiveness. No major injuries reported for Calgary.
• The game is played in Calgary's home stadium, giving them home-field advantage. Broadcast coverage is widely available on TSN and other networks, ensuring high visibility. Weather or other external adverse conditions are not mentioned.
• Calgary aims to continue its undefeated start and maintain momentum. Ottawa is motivated to get their first win but faces challenges due to recent form and injury concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders: -110, Ottawa Redblacks: -110	Calgary Stampeders to win	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Calgary Stampeders: 1.5 -122, Ottawa Redblacks: -1.5 100	Calgary Stampeders to cover +1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115	Under 51.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders 30%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Calgary Stampeders at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders are predicted to win with a clear advantage, likely covering the spread. The total points are expected to stay just under the 51.5 line due to Calgary's balanced and controlled approach and Ottawa's injury concerns.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 17

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-06
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, Saskatchewan

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders host the Ottawa Redblacks in a critical early-season CFL matchup. Both teams have shown fluctuating performances this season, with Saskatchewan leveraging a home-field advantage. The game is expected to be competitive given close historical matchups and the balanced offensive and defensive capabilities of both squads.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan Roughriders have been slightly stronger at home, with a more consistent offensive output and a defense that has performed well against the run and pass. Ottawa Redblacks have struggled to win on the road but bring a dynamic passing game and opportunistic defense that can exploit turnovers.
• Recent head-to-head matchups have been closely contested, with Saskatchewan holding a slight edge in wins. The games have often been decided by small margins and featured strong defensive plays and special teams impact.
• No significant injuries reported for either side leading into the game, maintaining a full-strength roster which should contribute to a high-quality competitive game.
• Weather conditions in Regina are projected to be mild and favorable for football. The crowd support for Saskatchewan is expected to be strong, positively influencing the home team’s performance.
• Saskatchewan aims to assert dominance early in the season and capitalize on home advantage. Ottawa seeks to prove resilience on the road and gain momentum, making motivation levels for both teams high.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ottawa Redblacks: +146, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -178	Saskatchewan Roughriders	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Ottawa Redblacks: +3.5 -110, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -3.5 -110	Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 49.5 -110, Under: 49.5 -110	Over 49.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Saskatchewan Roughriders -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders are favored to win based on home advantage, team form, and betting odds. The Roughriders are expected to cover the spread with a moderately high scoring game around the projected total points line.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 21

Top EV Parlay for American Football – May 30, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Ottawa Redblacks vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction	Ottawa Redblacks	-134	23%
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction	Over 44.5	-105	21%
Edmonton Elks vs. BC Lions Prediction	Under 45.5	-105	17%

Combined Odds: +566 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $133.13