Match Analysis: Tim Wilde vs Oscar Ownsworth – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 9:50 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester
Game Overview
Tim Wilde faces Oscar Ownsworth in a highly anticipated lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 198 in Manchester. Both fighters are ranked contenders in the UK MMA scene, with Wilde holding a #10 Lightweight ranking and a more experienced record. The fight is scheduled for three rounds and is expected to be a technical, high-paced matchup with implications for future title contention.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tim Wilde has a 17-7-1 record with a balanced mix of wins (7 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 9 decision). He is known for his durability and adaptability, with only 4 KO/TKO losses. Oscar Ownsworth is 8-4-1, with 3 KO/TKO wins, 1 submission, and 3 decision wins. His losses are split between submissions and decisions, showing vulnerability to grappling and technical fighters.
- No previous fights between Wilde and Ownsworth. This is a fresh matchup with no direct history.
- No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest updates. Both are expected to be at full strength.
- The fight takes place in Manchester, a home advantage for both UK-based fighters. The event is part of a major Cage Warriors double-header, increasing media attention and pressure.
- Wilde is a veteran looking to solidify his top-10 status and potentially earn a title shot. Ownsworth is younger and may be seeking a breakthrough win over a higher-ranked opponent to boost his profile.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oscar Ownsworth: -130, Tim Wilde: -110 | Tim Wilde | Not available |
| Spread | Not widely available for MMA, but if offered, likely Wilde -1.5 rounds | Tim Wilde to win by decision or finish | Not available |
| Over/under | Over/Under 2.5 rounds: Over -120, Under +100 | Over | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tim Wilde -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tim Wilde at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tim Wilde is favored due to his superior experience, higher ranking, and more diverse skill set. He is likely to control the pace and outwork Ownsworth over three rounds, especially if the fight goes to the ground or into a decision. Ownsworth’s best chance is a finish, but his lower finish rate and vulnerability to submissions suggest a lower probability of victory.
Predicted Score: Tim Wilde wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)