A tightly contested AHL matchup between Ontario Reign and Tucson Roadrunners, with no clear favorite based on odds and recent performances. Both teams have competitive recent form and closely matched head-to-head stats.
Key Factors to Consider
Ontario Reign has won 4 of their last 10 games, Tucson Roadrunners show similar form. Recent meetings have been close, including a 5-4 win for Tucson in their last matchup on Ontario ice.
In 90 meetings, Ontario leads narrowly with 46 wins to Tucson's 43. The average total goals is high at 6.35, but recent home games have leaned toward lower scoring with 7 of last 8 under 5.5 goals.
Secondary players are expected to be involved for Ontario, potentially affecting their usual gameplay rhythm. There are no major injury reports indicating key player absences on either side.
Game played at Ontarioβs home arena may slightly favor their comfort and tactics. No unusual travel or schedule congestion is reported.
Both teams appear equally motivated; recent close results and rivalry elevate the intensity of the match.
San Jose Barracuda recently defeated Ontario Reign 5-0 in their season opener on Apr 26, 2025, with Yaroslav Askarov recording a shutout. The Barracuda previously lost all 8 meetings against Ontario in the prior season but have now shown dominant defensive play and improved offensive execution.
Key Factors to Consider
San Joseβs recent shutout win demonstrates strong goaltending (Askarovβs 10th AHL shutout) and improved penalty-killing efficiency. Ontarioβs offensive struggles are evident, being outplayed in special teams and failing to capitalize on power plays.
Ontario had an 8-0-0 record against San Jose in 2023-2024, but the Barracudaβs 5-0 win on Apr 26 marks a potential shift in momentum.
No specific injury reports from available data, but San Joseβs Zack Ostapchuk recently served a double minor penalty without lingering issues noted.
Ontario faces pressure to rebound after a humiliating loss, while San Jose carries momentum from their first franchise shutout in a season opener.
Ontario will likely adjust tactics to exploit San Joseβs penalty kill, while the Barracuda aim to prove their recent win was not a fluke.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Ontario Reign: -136 | San Jose Barracuda: -104
San Jose Barracuda
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Ontario Reign: -1.5 (+200) | San Jose Barracuda: +1.5 (-286)
San Jose Barracuda +1.5
β β β β β 80%
Over/under
Over 5.5 (-117) | Under 5.5 (-117)
Under 5.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Jose Barracuda 14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 5.5 2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: San Jose Barracuda at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Barracuda moneyline offers value given their defensive form and Ontarioβs offensive inefficiency. Lean toward under 5.5 goals due to Askarovβs dominance.
Predicted Score: San Jose Barracuda 3-2 Ontario Reign
The AHL match between Ontario Reign and Abbotsford Canucks is a key late-season encounter with both teams holding near .500 records. Ontario Reign have a slight home advantage playing in Toyota Arena, and recent meetings between these two have often been closely contested, emphasizing the competitive nature of this matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Ontario Reign stand at 4-3-0-1 while Abbotsford Canucks are 4-4-0-0, indicating balanced but slightly better results for Ontario at home. Ontario has had success recently against Abbotsford, especially when getting a +1.5 handicap at home, showing they can cover spreads consistently against this opponent.
Historical matchups show Ontario Reign have been competitive with Abbotsford Canucks. Recent matches show Ontario often covers the spread and has won home games against Abbotsford, making head-to-head history favorable to Ontario, particularly on home ice.
No explicit injury details were found for either team in the immediate lead-up to this game, suggesting both sides should be near full strength.
The game is Ontario Reign's Fan Appreciation Night, which could boost home team motivation and atmosphere. Outdoor game history is noted but this match is indoors, so no adverse weather impact is expected.
Ontario Reign, playing at home and during Fan Appreciation Night, have an elevated motivation to perform well for their fans, while Abbotsford Canucks will look to spoil the party and improve their slightly worse record.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ontario Reign 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 5.5 -1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Ontario Reign at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the slight edge in recent form and home advantage, Ontario Reign are predicted to win narrowly over Abbotsford Canucks in a tightly contested game.
The Ontario Reign will host the San Diego Gulls in an AHL game. Ontario has secured home ice advantage for the first round of the Calder Cup playoffs, reflecting their strong performance this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Ontario Reign have shown strong recent form with a win over San Jose Barracuda, securing home ice in the playoffs. San Diego Gulls have been inconsistent but competitive.
The teams have had varied results in their previous matchups, with both sides achieving wins.
No specific injury updates are mentioned for this game.
Motivation and home advantage could be significant for Ontario Reign as they head into the playoffs.
High motivation for Ontario to maintain momentum into the playoffs.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-190 (Ontario Reign), 145 (San Diego Gulls)
Ontario Reign
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
-1.5 (140) for Ontario Reign, 1.5 (-185) for San Diego Gulls
Ontario Reign -1.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 5.5 (110), Under 5.5 (-145)
Under 5.5
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ontario Reign -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 5.5 1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ontario Reign are likely to win, given their recent performance and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Ontario Reign 3, San Diego Gulls 2
The Iowa Wild host the Ontario Reign in an AHL matchup. Iowa has struggled recently, while Ontario has shown strong form.
Key Factors to Consider
Iowa Wild has a record of 11-19-2-0, while Ontario Reign boasts a 20-9-0-1 record. Iowa's recent performance has been weak, with a 2-7-1-0 record in the last ten games, whereas Ontario has gone 8-1-0-1.
The teams have played each other several times, with an average of 6.8 goals per match. Recent matches have seen Ontario perform well against Iowa.
No specific injury reports are available for this match.
Home advantage might slightly favor Iowa, but Ontario's strong away performances could negate this.
Ontario is highly motivated to maintain their strong season, while Iowa seeks to improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Iowa Wild: 140, Ontario Reign: -185
Ontario Reign
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Iowa Wild: 1.5 -185, Ontario Reign: -1.5 140
Ontario Reign -1.5
β β β ββ 55%
Over_under
Over: 5.5 -115, Under: 5.5 -115
Over 5.5
β β β ββ 60%
Predicted Outcome
Ontario Reign is likely to win due to their superior performance and recent form.