Match Analysis: Omar Juarez vs Omar Rosario – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Convention Center, South Padre Island, United States
Game Overview
Omar Juarez and Omar Rosario face off in a 10-round Super Lightweight bout. Juarez enters as the significant favorite with a 19-2 record including a higher knockout percentage and more professional experience. Rosario, at 14-2 with a slight height and reach advantage, is the underdog but has a solid record and 4 KOs. Both Orthodox fighters, the fight is set for 10 rounds at 140 pounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juarez shows superior recent form and experience with 19 wins and 7 KOs compared to Rosario's 14 wins and 4 KOs. Juarez’s knockout rate (37%) suggests he has more finishing power.
- No direct previous matchups found between Juarez and Rosario. Juarez’s professional tenure started almost 2 years earlier, giving him more ring experience.
- No reported injuries on either side leading up to the fight.
- The fight takes place at South Padre Island Convention Center, favoring Juarez who has shown adaptability in US venues. Broadcast on DAZN with good fan exposure.
- Juarez, being younger and more experienced, likely has higher motivation to cement his rising profile. Rosario is motivated as the underdog looking for a significant upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -350, away: +260 | Omar Juarez | ★★★★☆ 79% |
| Spread | home_-1.5: -120, away_+1.5: +100 | Omar Juarez -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_8.5: -110, under_8.5: -110 | Over 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Omar Juarez 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Omar Juarez at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Omar Juarez to win by decision within the 10-round limit
Predicted Score: Juarez wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds