Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UT Martin Skyhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-28
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
Game Overview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys, a Power Five FBS team, host the UT Martin Skyhawks, a strong FCS side coming off a solid previous season. Oklahoma State enters as heavy favorites based on superior roster depth and overall talent, though UT Martin has a well-coordinated defense and stable coaching to stay competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oklahoma State is undefeated in recent opening campaigns and is widely expected to dominate given its FBS status. UT Martin had a strong 9-win season last year with a solid rushing offense and top defensive units but lost considerable talent.
- No recent documented direct meetings given difference in division levels; UT Martin typically competes in FCS playoffs whereas Oklahoma State faces stronger Power Five FBS competition.
- No major injuries reported for Oklahoma State. UT Martin retains core defensive personnel but lost some offensive skill position players, relying on transfers at QB and WR.
- Game played at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater giving Oklahoma State home-field advantage in familiar conditions with mild weather and low rain/wind expected.
- Oklahoma State aims to start the season strong against a lower-division opponent; UT Martin motivated to prove FCS strength against Power Five foe, but motivation differentials favor the home FBS team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma State Cowboys: -1200, UT Martin Skyhawks: +720 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | Oklahoma State Cowboys -19.5: -105, UT Martin Skyhawks +19.5: -115 | Oklahoma State Cowboys -19.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 55.5: -110, Under 55.5: -110 | Under 55.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma State Cowboys -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 55.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma State Cowboys to win straight-up, cover the 19.5-point spread, with total points projected to stay under 55.5.
Predicted Score: Oklahoma State Cowboys 38 – UT Martin Skyhawks 14