Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Levante – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Tartiere
Game Overview
Real Oviedo will host Levante in this LaLiga match, both teams currently positioned in mid-to-lower tier of the league standings. The game is expected to be competitive with historical balance and moderate scoring projected.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oviedo has recently won against Valencia 2-1 and shows stable defense with 1 clean sheet in recent matches; Levante has higher shots on goal but fewer clean sheets and has mixed results recently. Oviedo's Matias Moreno leads with a rating of 6.6, while Levante's Karl Etta is the top scorer with 4 goals.
- Historically, the teams are evenly matched with Oviedo having 3 wins, Levante 2 wins, and 3 draws in their last 8 encounters.
- No current data on significant injuries affecting either side that could alter the expected lineups.
- The match will be played at Estadio Municipal Carlos Tartiere which may give home advantage to Oviedo. No notable external conditions such as weather or travel issues are reported.
- Both teams aim to climb the LaLiga standings, increasing motivation for a positive result. Oviedoβs recent victory could boost morale, while Levante will seek to capitalize on their offensive form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Levante: 185, Oviedo: 147, Draw: 235 | Oviedo to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Levante: 108, Oviedo: -128 | Oviedo to cover the spread (0) | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oviedo 33% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Oviedo at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Oviedo's home advantage, better recent form, and balanced head-to-head record, the prediction favors a narrow Oviedo win with moderate scoring.
Predicted Score: 1-0