Match Analysis: Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee
Game Overview
The Indiana Pacers (0-1) face the Memphis Grizzlies (1-1) in a tightly matched non-conference game. Both teams have suffered recent losses, with key players out due to injuries. The game features balanced betting lines with the Pacers as slight favorites on the spread and tie moneyline odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Grizzlies are 1-1 with a recent heavy loss at home (114-146 vs. Miami Heat), showing defensive vulnerabilities. The Pacers are 0-1 after a close overtime loss at home (135-141 vs. Oklahoma City Thunder), indicating offensive potential despite the defeat.
- Recent head-to-head shows a competitive dynamic with the Pacers winning their last matchup. Historical data favors the Grizzlies at home but the Pacers have shown ability to cover spreads and win close games.
- The Grizzlies are missing Zach Edey, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, and Ty Jerome with Vince Williams Jr. day-to-day. The Pacers are severely impacted with Tyrese Haliburton out for the season and additional players like T.J. McConnell and Andrew Nembhard sidelined.
- Playing at FedExForum benefits Memphis despite their recent loss. The Pacersβ travel and injury situation might hamper their full potential. The over/under line at 237.5 reflects expectations for moderate scoring given defensive lapses.
- Memphis aims to rebound strongly at home after a blowout loss. Indiana looks for redemption following their close home loss and to start the season with a statement road win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis: -108, Indiana: -108 | Memphis Grizzlies | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Memphis: -1 -104, Indiana: +1 -118 | Memphis Grizzlies -1 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: -112, Under: -108 | Under 237.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Grizzlies 12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 237.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Memphis Grizzlies at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Memphis Grizzlies moneyline
Predicted Score: Memphis Grizzlies 119 – Indiana Pacers 115