Udinese hosts Lecce in an Italian Serie A matchup featuring two mid-table teams with contrasting recent performances. Udinese has struggled at home recently without a win in eight matches, while Lecce is the underdog but capable of frustrating opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
Udinese has been steady but unable to convert home advantage into wins, recently drawing 1-1 in two consecutive matches. Lecce has a lower win probability but can exploit Udinese's defensive vulnerabilities.
Recent history shows a trend of low-scoring matches with under 2.5 goals in the last 7 encounters between these sides, indicating tight defensive battles.
No major injury news indicates any key player absences for either side, leaving both squads at near full strength.
Playing at home with home crowd support should help Udinese regain form, but pressure is high due to their winless streak; weather and pitch conditions are reported standard.
Udinese is motivated to end their home win drought, adding pressure; Lecce aims to capitalize on this by playing a disciplined and counterattacking style.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Udinese: -125, Draw: +245, Lecce: +380
Udinese
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
Udinese -0.5: -125, Lecce +50: +105
Udinese -0.5
β β β ββ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112
Under 2.25
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Udinese 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
A tightly contested Serie A clash where Como is favored on the moneyline but Parma have shown resilience, notably at home. Both teams have displayed conservative styles recently, signifying a likely low-scoring match.
Key Factors to Consider
Parma struggles offensively, averaging around 0.5 goals per game recently with many draws and low-scoring matches. Como, while capable of impressive results like a 2-0 win over Juventus, tends to be more cautious away, especially against defensive teams.
The recent meeting ended 0-1 in favor of Como with similar probabilities (Parma ~30%, Draw ~29%, Como ~44%). Historically, matches between these sides have been closely fought with tight scorelines.
No significant injuries reported that drastically affect either sideβs core lineup or tactical setup.
Match takes place at Parmaβs home ground which traditionally provides some advantage, but tactical conservatism and defensive solidity are the main influencers here.
Como aims to consolidate their position as favorites and maintain momentum from key wins, whereas Parma seeks to capitalize on home advantage to secure at least a draw and stop recent offensive drought.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +275, draw: +240, away: +101
Como
β β β ββ 63%
Spread
Como -0.5: +100, Parma +50: -120
Parma +0.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: +105
Under 2.5 Goals
β β β β β 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Como 15%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 37%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Girona hosts Oviedo in a La Liga match where Girona is the clear favorite given recent form, stronger home performance, and Oviedo's struggles away. Odds imply Girona should control the match, but an upset is possible if Oviedo exploits counterattacks.
Key Factors to Consider
Girona has demonstrated consistent form at home, with a winning probability model around 52%. Oviedo have struggled on the road with under 25% win chances away in recent fixtures.
Recent H2H in La Liga between Girona and Oviedo shows Girona with a slight edge in wins and goals scored. Matches tend to be moderately low scoring.
No major injury concerns reported for either side at this time, with both teams likely fielding strong lineups.
Match is played at Girona's home stadium (Montilivi), providing them a distinct home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
Girona is highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage for league position improvement. Oviedo may struggle with motivation away from home, given their form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-125 / +370 / +250
Girona
β β β β β 72%
Spread
-0.5 -125 (Girona) / +50 +105 (Oviedo)
Girona -0.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -122 / Under 2.25 +102
Under 2.25
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Girona 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Coventry City and Watford are set to clash in a crucial Championship match. Coventry City have had a strong head-to-head record against Watford, winning five of their last encounters. Watford's recent form has been inconsistent, which could impact their performance.
Key Factors to Consider
Coventry City have been performing well, while Watford have shown inconsistency in recent matches.
Coventry City have a favorable head-to-head record against Watford, winning five of their last seven encounters.
No significant injuries have been reported for either team.
Home advantage could play a significant role for Coventry City, who have been strong at The Coventry Building Society Arena.
Both teams are motivated to secure a win as they seek to improve their position in the Championship.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-200, 525, 350
Coventry City
β β β β β 74%
Over/under
-175, 125
Over 2.5
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Coventry City -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Coventry City at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coventry City are likely to win, given their recent form and strong head-to-head performance against Watford.