Udinese hosts Lecce in an Italian Serie A matchup featuring two mid-table teams with contrasting recent performances. Udinese has struggled at home recently without a win in eight matches, while Lecce is the underdog but capable of frustrating opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
Udinese has been steady but unable to convert home advantage into wins, recently drawing 1-1 in two consecutive matches. Lecce has a lower win probability but can exploit Udinese's defensive vulnerabilities.
Recent history shows a trend of low-scoring matches with under 2.5 goals in the last 7 encounters between these sides, indicating tight defensive battles.
No major injury news indicates any key player absences for either side, leaving both squads at near full strength.
Playing at home with home crowd support should help Udinese regain form, but pressure is high due to their winless streak; weather and pitch conditions are reported standard.
Udinese is motivated to end their home win drought, adding pressure; Lecce aims to capitalize on this by playing a disciplined and counterattacking style.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Udinese: -125, Draw: +245, Lecce: +380
Udinese
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Udinese -0.5: -125, Lecce +50: +105
Udinese -0.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112
Under 2.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Udinese 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)