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Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

The Brazil Campeonato match features Flamengo hosting Cruzeiro in a crucial Serie A Round 26 fixture. Flamengo, currently the stronger favorite, has shown solid home form, defensive resilience with 13 clean sheets in the competition, and a potent attack led by top scorer Kaio Jorge. Cruzeiro, riding a five-match winning streak, boast a high Asian handicap win rate and strong recent away performances, making this a competitive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo has scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, conceding very few, reflecting a strong defense and balanced attack. Cruzeiro also won their last 5 matches with a solid defense conceding 0.6 goals per match. Flamengo ranks 3rd away from home, while Cruzeiro has shown resilience and effective goal-scoring in recent matches.
  • Historically, Flamengo and Cruzeiro have played over 40 matches since 2004 with Flamengo winning 19, Cruzeiro 16, and 8 draws. Recent head-to-heads show Flamengo with a slight edge in wins but Cruzeiro's recent form suggests they can challenge strongly. The matches often have moderate goal totals, with over 2.25 goals observed around 30–50% of the time depending on dataset and competition.
  • Flamengo faces unavailability of Erick Pulgar, Leo Pereira, Matias Vina, and Michael due to injuries. Cruzeiro has injured players including Fagner and Luis Sinisterra. Injuries may reduce squad depth but do not deeply weaken either side’s starting core.
  • The game will be held at the iconic Maracanã Stadium, likely with a passionate Flamengo home crowd advantage, although no extraordinary weather or other external disruptions are indicated which might influence the game outcome.
  • Flamengo, fighting for top positions in Serie A, will be motivated to secure key points at home. Cruzeiro, with a string of away wins, are highly confident and motivated to extend their run and upset a stronger opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: 500, Flamengo: -172, Draw: 280 Flamengo Win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cruzeiro +1: -128, Flamengo -1: 108 Flamengo -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo is the predicted winner given home advantage, stronger recent overall performance, and league standing, but Cruzeiro’s intense current form implies a closely contested match with potential for a draw or narrow Flamengo victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Fortaleza vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Game Overview

This Brazil Serie A matchup features Fortaleza hosting São Paulo in Round 26. Fortaleza has shown mixed form with a slight edge at home, while São Paulo has been more balanced overall. Historically, the head-to-head favors Fortaleza marginally, especially in recent encounters where they have outperformed São Paulo in direct clashes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza’s recent form is inconsistent with a 0.88 points per game overall and stronger home performance (1.31 PPG). Fortaleza concedes on average 1.23 goals at home and scores 1.31. São Paulo holds a steadier aggregate record with 9 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses in 24 matches, averaging 1.46 points per game in the 2025 season.
  • Fortaleza leads recent direct confrontations with São Paulo, having won 3 of the last 4 matches since 2023, including a 1-0 home victory in July 2024 and two 2-1 wins at São Paulo’s stadium. Overall H2H data shows Fortaleza with 6 wins, São Paulo with 4, and 7 draws out of 17 or more matches.
  • No specific injury data is available from the sources for either team close to the match date, indicating likely full-strength squads or no major reported absences.
  • Playing at home gives Fortaleza an advantage due to their stronger home form and crowd support. Weather or other environmental factors are not reported to affect the match notably.
  • Fortaleza is motivated to capitalize on their positive recent H2H results and improve their league position by leveraging home advantage. São Paulo, with a steadier season, will seek to avoid defeat and maintain consistency in points accumulation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: 165, São Paulo: 180, Draw: 200 Fortaleza to win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Fortaleza: -118, São Paulo: -102 Fortaleza to cover the spread (0) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: -128, Under: 108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tight and competitive match with Fortaleza narrowly favored to win at home due to recent head-to-head superiority and home form, though a draw is very plausible given São Paulo’s overall steadiness.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vitoria vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manoel Barradas

Game Overview

The upcoming Brasileiro Serie A match features Vitoria hosting Ceará at Estadio Manoel Barradas. Both teams have had mixed recent results, with Vitoria seeking to bounce back after a 2-0 loss to Fortaleza on September 13, 2025. Ceará has had minor success against Vitoria in recent head-to-heads but matches tend to be tight and low scoring. The teams are considered evenly matched, making for a competitive game with a slight home advantage to Vitoria.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitoria lost their recent notable match 2-0 to Fortaleza, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities, especially away from home. Ceará won the head-to-head match on May 3, 2025 (1-0), and has shown disciplined defensive structure, though offensive output has been limited.
  • In their recent meetings, Ceará beat Vitoria 1-0 on May 3, 2025. Overall, the encounters have been low scoring and closely contested, with Ceará slightly ahead in recent outcomes.
  • No specific injury reports are currently available for either team, suggesting both squads are likely near full strength.
  • Playing at home in Estadio Manoel Barradas gives Vitoria a slight advantage. No adverse weather or extraordinary conditions reported.
  • Both teams are eager to secure points in the mid-season Brasileiro Serie A campaign. Vitoria aims to improve their home form, while Ceará looks to capitalize on recent psychological edge from prior wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceara: 210, Vitoria: 145, Draw: 200 Vitoria to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Ceara: -0.25 at -130, Vitoria: +25 at 110 Vitoria -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -108, Under 2: -112 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitoria at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match is expected with a slight edge towards Vitoria due to home advantage and need to recover from recent loss. Prediction is a narrow home win or a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Celta Vigo vs. PAOK Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs PAOK – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo, Spain

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League group stage match between Spanish side Celta Vigo and Greek club PAOK is set to take place at Estadio Abanca Balaídos. Both teams come off mixed recent form in their leagues and continental fixtures. Celta Vigo, currently 25th in LaLiga, seeks to capitalize on home advantage after a string of draws and some losses, while PAOK has had some high-scoring games but also goalless draws recently. This will be their first head-to-head meeting in official competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Celta Vigo has struggled for consistency in LaLiga and European matches recently, with recent results including a 1-2 home loss to Stuttgart in the Europa League and close draws at home in the domestic league. PAOK shows a more attacking profile with a recent 3-3 Greek Super League draw but has also had multiple goalless draws and a recent 1-0 win, indicating some defensive solidity but inconsistent scoring.
  • No prior meetings between Celta Vigo and PAOK have occurred, so there is no direct head-to-head data to analyze.
  • No specific injury updates are available from the current data; both squads are presumed near full strength for this match.
  • Playing at home gives Celta Vigo an advantage in terms of familiarity with the pitch and local conditions. Both teams have mid-season fatigue considerations but no extraordinary external factors reported.
  • Celta Vigo needs points to improve their Europa League standings and regain confidence after mixed domestic and European performances. PAOK aims to secure a positive result away to enhance their prospects in this group and build on their recent strong home results and competitive draws.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Celta Vigo: -146, PAOK: 350, Draw: 305 Celta Vigo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Celta Vigo: -0.75 -118, PAOK: +75 -112 Celta Vigo -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -122, Under 2.5: -108 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Celta Vigo at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celta Vigo to win with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting their slight home advantage and determination to assert themselves in this group stage tie.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Lyon vs. Salzburg Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lyon vs Salzburg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Game Overview

Lyon will host Salzburg at Groupama Stadium for the UEFA Europa League regular season match. Both teams are in decent form, with Lyon showing strong recent performances in Ligue 1 and Europa League. Salzburg have struggled somewhat in recent matches but remain competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lyon has won their last three matches, including a 1-0 away win in the Europa League against Utrecht and a 1-0 win against Lille. Salzburg, however, have mixed results with a 2-1 league win against WSG Tirol but a 0-1 home loss to FC Porto in the Europa League and recent domestic defeats.
  • The two clubs have limited recent direct encounters in UEFA competitions. Head-to-head advantage is not decisively in favour of either side, making form and venue significant factors.
  • No specific injury data provided for key players from either Lyon or Salzburg ahead of this fixture. Assumed both squads close to full strength.
  • The game will be played at Lyon's home ground, Groupama Stadium, which offers Lyon a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported as affecting factors.
  • As an important group stage match, both teams will be motivated to secure maximum points early. Lyon’s recent winning momentum could add confidence, while Salzburg will be eager to rebound from their Europa League loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lyon: -192, Salzburg: 475, Draw: 330 Lyon to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Lyon: -1 at -118, Salzburg: +1 at -112 Lyon -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -120, Under 2.75: -110 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lyon -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lyon is predicted to edge out Salzburg in a close contest, leveraging home advantage and better recent form.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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KRC Genk vs. Ferencváros TC Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: KRC Genk vs Ferencváros TC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cegeka Arena, Genk, Belgium

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between KRC Genk and Ferencváros TC will take place at Cegeka Arena with both teams aiming to secure a vital win. KRC Genk currently ranks 16th, while Ferencváros TC holds 12th position in the competition. This match features a clash between Genk's home advantage and Ferencváros' slight edge in form and historical matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ferencváros holds a slight performance advantage with a 58% win probability according to betting predictions, while Genk is assessed with about a 20% chance to win. Genk ranks lower and has struggled to maintain consistent form, whereas Ferencváros appears more stable in recent Europa League matches. Both teams have competitive European experience but Genk will leverage playing at home.
  • Historical head-to-head data is limited, but past encounters indicate tight matches with no clear dominance by either side. Both teams have scored and conceded in previous meetings, suggesting a competitive and potentially close game.
  • No detailed injury reports are currently available for either team, which suggests that the squads could be near full strength for the match.
  • Playing at Cegeka Arena provides Genk with home crowd support, travel fatigue for Ferencváros traveling from Hungary may slightly impact their performance. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for early October in Belgium, likely not a significant factor.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points early in the Europa League group stage. Ferencváros, given their slightly better form and ranks, might be motivated to assert their superiority, whereas Genk looks to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline KRC Genk: -181, Ferencváros TC: 420, Draw: 340 KRC Genk ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread KRC Genk -1: -112, Ferencváros TC +1: -118 KRC Genk -1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: -110 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline KRC Genk -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tightly contested match with a slight edge to Ferencváros to win or draw, considering their form and odds. Expect a competitive game with potential for goals but a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Porto vs. Red Star Belgrade Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Porto vs Red Star Belgrade – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Do Dragão, Porto

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Red Star Belgrade in a UEFA Europa League group stage match at Estádio Do Dragão. Porto enters as the clear favorite at home against a traditionally strong but underdog visiting team from Serbia.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Porto has a strong home record and solid performances in domestic and European competitions this season, while Red Star Belgrade is competitive but less consistent in away UEFA matches.
  • Historically, matches between Porto and Red Star Belgrade have been limited in recent years. Available data shows no significant prior Europa League meetings, making direct head-to-head less predictable.
  • No significant injury reports or squad restrictions have been reported for either team as of current data.
  • The match will be refereed by Harm Osmers from Germany, with VAR available. No unusual external conditions, such as weather or fan restrictions, have been noted.
  • Porto aims to assert dominance on home turf to secure early group stage points, while Red Star is motivated to prove themselves against a top-tier opponent to improve their European standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Porto: -300, Red_Star_Belgrade: 675, Draw: 435 Porto Win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Porto_-1.5: -110, Red_Star_Belgrade_+1.5: -120 Porto -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over_3: -120, Under_3: -110 Over 3 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Porto -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto is predicted to win the match, leveraging their home advantage and stronger recent form. The game is expected to be moderately high-scoring but controlled, with Porto likely to maintain a lead.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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FC Basel vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Basel vs VfB Stuttgart – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St. Jakob-Park, Basel

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between FC Basel and VfB Stuttgart is a crucial group phase encounter. Stuttgart currently leads the group with a 2-1 opening win against Celta Vigo, whereas Basel lost narrowly 2-1 to Freiburg. Stuttgart aims to consolidate their position with a second consecutive win away from home, traveling a short distance to Basel's home stadium, St. Jakob-Park.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Basel has started the Europa League phase with a loss, showing some defensive vulnerabilities, while Stuttgart has a positive momentum with their recent win and scoring contributions from new signings like Badredine Bouanani and Bilal El Khannouss. Stuttgart also show better current form in their domestic league with recent away wins.
  • Stuttgart has won the last two encounters against Basel, indicating a psychological and tactical edge in this fixture.
  • No specific injury updates were found in the provided sources; both teams are expected to field strong lineups for this important fixture.
  • The short travel distance favors Stuttgart’s preparation and recovery, and the enthusiastic home crowd at St. Jakob-Park may boost Basel. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard with no adverse factors reported.
  • Stuttgart's motivation is higher, looking for back-to-back wins to secure group supremacy, while Basel needs a win to remain in contention after their opening defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Basel: 2.35, VfB Stuttgart: 1.03, Draw: 2.90 VfB Stuttgart win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread FC Basel (+50): -125, VfB Stuttgart (-0.5): -105 VfB Stuttgart -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: -110 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VfB Stuttgart 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: VfB Stuttgart at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

VfB Stuttgart is predicted to edge out FC Basel with a narrow margin due to their current form, recent head-to-head successes, and positive team morale. The game is expected to be competitive with goals from both sides.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Nottingham Forest vs. FC Midtjylland Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The City Ground

Game Overview

Nottingham Forest hosts FC Midtjylland in a UEFA Europa League regular season match at The City Ground. Nottingham Forest, playing at home, enters the game as favorites due to stronger recent form, higher possession, and better passing accuracy, while Midtjylland has shown mixed results in recent matches including friendlies and competitive UEFA fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nottingham Forest has demonstrated solid performance with an average 45% possession and 86% passing accuracy per UEFA stats. They have yet to keep a clean sheet but have conceded just 2 goals in the Europa League so far. Midtjylland recently drew 6-6 in a high-scoring match and have inconsistent recent form in friendlies and competitive games.
  • Limited direct historical data on recent matches between Nottingham Forest and Midtjylland is available, but UEFA Europa League context shows Nottingham Forest with stronger overall continental performance and home advantage.
  • Current injury reports are unavailable in the data, suggesting no known significant absences for either side ahead of the match.
  • Home crowd support at The City Ground and travel fatigue for Midtjylland could influence the match. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but assumed typical for early October in England.
  • Nottingham Forest is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and secure early points in the group stage. Midtjylland aims to improve its continental record and challenge a stronger opponent away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nottingham Forest: -214, Draw: 365, FC Midtjylland: 500 Nottingham Forest ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Nottingham Forest -1.25: 100, FC Midtjylland +1.25: -130 Nottingham Forest -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3: -112, Under 3: -118 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nottingham Forest -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nottingham Forest is favored to win with a moderate to high confidence level due to better recent form, home advantage, and bookmaker odds. A high-scoring match is possible given Midtjylland's fluctuating defense and recent high-goal games.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Dinamo Zagreb Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Dinamo Zagreb – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TSC Arena, Backa Topola, Serbia

Game Overview

This UEFA Europa League game between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Dinamo Zagreb will be played at a neutral venue, TSC Arena in Serbia, marking their first European competition meeting since 2001. Both teams appear closely matched, with Dinamo on a three-game winning streak and Maccabi showing solid form. The match is expected to be tight and competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dinamo Zagreb currently enjoys a strong momentum with three consecutive wins across competitions, showcasing effective attacking play. Maccabi Tel Aviv is stable with no fresh injury concerns and a critical returning attacker, Kervin Andrade, expected to start, enhancing their attacking options.
  • The two clubs last met in 2001, where matches ended in draws. No recent European meetings exist, making direct comparative data sparse. Historically, both sides have been evenly matched.
  • No new injury issues reported for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Dinamo Zagreb’s lineup is expected to remain consistent with recent wins, suggesting full squad availability.
  • Playing at a neutral site removes home advantage effects. Weather and pitch conditions at TSC Arena are expected to be standard, with no reported disruptions.
  • Both teams have strong incentives to secure points early in the group stage. Dinamo Zagreb seeks to maintain momentum, while Maccabi aims to assert themselves in Europe, likely resulting in high motivation levels on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 144, away: 178, draw: 240 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -132, away: 102 Maccabi Tel Aviv 0 Spread (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -102, under: -128 Under 2.75 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Maccabi Tel Aviv 50%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A balanced and cautious match resulting in a 1-1 draw, with both teams scoring but neither dominating decisively.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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