Match Analysis: Hartford Wolf Pack vs W-B/Scranton Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-17
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: PeoplesBank Arena
Game Overview
Hartford Wolf Pack hosts Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in an early-season AHL matchup. This is Hartford's first game at their renovated arena after a tough recent run head-to-head, including a 2-1 road loss just six days prior. Historical scoring averages suggest a moderate pace, but recent trends and odds hint at a competitive, potentially low-scoring battle.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hartford has lost 6 of their last 7 meetings against W-B/Scranton in regular time[1]. The Penguins enter with a slight edge in both odds and recent head-to-head results. Historical data shows Hartford averages fewer goals scored and allowed compared to their opponents, consistent with underdog status[1].
- W-B/Scranton leads recent meetings (6-1 last seven regular time matchups) and won 2-1 in the most recent encounter. Overall, Penguins have scored 201 goals to Hartford's 152 in 60 meetings, with an average match total of 5.17 goals[1].
- No major injury news is reported in available sources.
- Hartford debuts at their transformed arena, which may provide a temporary motivational boost but may not offset recent performance trends. Both teams are likely playing key roster players early in the season.
- Hartford seeks a strong start in their arena relaunch. W-B/Scranton looks to extend dominance in head-to-head matchups.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hartford +105, W-B/Scranton -135 | W-B/Scranton Penguins Moneyline | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Hartford +1.5 -260, W-B/Scranton -1.5 +190 | Hartford +1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 5.5 -105, Under 5.5 -125 | Under 5.5 Goals | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 5.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
W-B/Scranton Penguins are favored on the basis of recent form and head-to-head success, but odds are not heavily skewed. The game is likely to be tight, with both teams struggling to generate consistent offense, pointing to a likely under on the goal total.
Predicted Score: 1-2 (W-B/Scranton Penguins)