Match Analysis: Juan Diaz vs Won Il Kwon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-15
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Bantamweight division (Venue not specified)

Game Overview

The Bantamweight bout between Juan Diaz and Won Il Kwon at Dana White's Contender Series features two rising fighters with contrasting styles. Both athletes are closely matched in skill and experience, making this a tightly contested matchup with no clear dominant favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

• Juan Diaz has shown consistent striking and solid grappling defense in recent fights, while Won Il Kwon has demonstrated aggressive pace and effective takedown capabilities. Recent form is balanced but Diaz carries slightly more momentum with fewer recent losses.
• No prior head-to-head encounter between Diaz and Kwon exists, making tactical adjustments during the fight a key factor.
• Neither fighter reported any significant injuries heading into this bout, indicating both are likely at peak physical condition.
• The fight being part of Dana White's Contender Series adds motivation for both fighters to impress for a UFC contract, increasing urgency and intensity.
• High motivation on both sides; Diaz aims to solidify his path to UFC, while Kwon seeks to capitalize on his aggressive style to secure a contract. This motivation elevates competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Juan Diaz: -120, Won Il Kwon: -102	Juan Diaz	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Juan Diaz -1.5 rounds: +150, Won Il Kwon +1.5 rounds: -180	Won Il Kwon +1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Juan Diaz -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Juan Diaz at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Juan Diaz to win

Predicted Score: Juan Diaz wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3

Match Analysis: Freddy Vidal vs Levi Rodrigues – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-15
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Heavyweight main card bout at Dana White's Contender Series between Freddy Vidal and Levi Rodrigues, both debuting in this event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have limited professional records with no known official fight history; Vidal is known for aggressive striking while Rodrigues has a strong grappling base.
• No previous head-to-head matchups between Vidal and Rodrigues.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the fight.
• Venue is UFC Apex in Vegas, neutral ground. Both fighters motivated as prospects aiming to impress for UFC contracts.
• High motivation for both, as this is a pivotal opportunity on Dana White's Contender Series to secure a UFC contract.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Freddy Vidal: +135, Levi Rodrigues: -155	Levi Rodrigues	★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread	-1.5 rounds Levi Rodrigues -120	Levi Rodrigues by more than 1.5 rounds (dominant grappling performance likely to control late rounds)	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Under 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end inside 3 rounds due to high finishing intent from both fighters)	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Levi Rodrigues -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Levi Rodrigues at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levi Rodrigues to win on the moneyline by leverage of grappling control over Vidal's striking.

Predicted Score: Levi Rodrigues wins by 2nd round submission

Match Analysis: Azamat Nuftillaev vs Jovan Leka – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-15
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series Event

Game Overview

Heavyweight MMA contest between Azamat Nuftillaev and Jovan Leka, featuring two well-rounded fighters: Nuftillaev with balanced striking and grappling and Leka known for agility and endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nuftillaev displays a more versatile skill set with both striking and grappling proficiency, while Leka's strength lies in footwork and high stamina. Recent form shows Nuftillaev maintaining control in fights through tactical takedowns; Leka relies on late-round pressure.
• No recorded previous head-to-head matchup between these fighters, increasing emphasis on style matchup and current form.
• No reported injuries for either fighter going into the fight, leading to an evenly matched physical condition.
• Fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series, increasing motivation for both fighters to perform well to advance career opportunities.
• High for both competitors due to the stakes of the Contender Series. Nuftillaev might have slight edge in motivation as the more established grappler aiming to showcase versatility.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-123 for Nuftillaev, +103 for Leka	Azamat Nuftillaev	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Azamat Nuftillaev -1.5 rounds EV approx -110, Jovan Leka +1.5 rounds EV approx -110	Azamat Nuftillaev -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -115, Under 2.5 rounds -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Azamat Nuftillaev 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Azamat Nuftillaev at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Azamat Nuftillaev to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Nuftillaev wins by TKO or submission in Round 2