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Match Analysis: Levi Rigters vs Asadulla Nasipov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: RTM Stage, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Game Overview

The match between Levi Rigters and Asadulla Nasipov is part of GLORY 104's Last Heavyweight Standing tournament scheduled for October 11, 2025. Levi Rigters, known for his striking power and high knockout rate (20-3 record, 10 KOs), recently made a significant statement by stopping Jamal Ben Saddik with a spinning back kick. Nasipov holds a respectable record (12-2, 5 KOs) but has less highlighted recent performance compared to Rigters. The fight is part of a heavily anticipated tournament hosted at the RTM Stage in Rotterdam.

Key Factors to Consider

• Levi Rigters has demonstrated dominant striking and finishing ability, including a notable KO over a top contender, indicating excellent current form. Nasipov's record is solid but lacks highlighted recent signature wins in available data.
• No prior head-to-head encounters between Levi Rigters and Asadulla Nasipov have been recorded.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
• The event takes place in Rotterdam, Netherlands, giving Rigters potential home advantage. The tournament atmosphere may increase motivation and pressure equally for both competitors.
• Levi Rigters has explicitly expressed his aim to win the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament, showing high motivation. Nasipov's motivation is presumed strong but less publicly documented.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Levi Rigters: -220, Asadulla Nasipov: +180, Draw: N/A	Levi Rigters to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Levi Rigters -1.5: -150, Asadulla Nasipov +1.5: +130	Levi Rigters to win by more than 1.5 rounds/criteria	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levi Rigters is predicted to win based on superior recent performance, higher knockout power, and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Levi Rigters wins by KO in Round 3

Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma

Game Overview

The Houston Cougars (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) visit the Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-4, 0-2 Big 12) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Houston enters with a strong record and is a double-digit favorite, while Oklahoma State is struggling, especially in conference play. The Cougars have a clear statistical edge, particularly on defense, allowing just 17.6 points per game (ranked 29th nationally), whereas the Cowboys are in the lower tier of the Big 12 standings[1][4].

Key Factors to Consider

• Houston is outperforming Oklahoma State significantly, with better offensive and defensive metrics. Houston averages 27.2 points per game and allows just 17.6, while Oklahoma State has only one win through five games. Houston's defensive efficiency (33rd in pass defense) could stifle an already struggling Cowboys offense[1]. Oklahoma State's defense has been porous, which should allow Houston to sustain drives and control tempo.
• Recent head-to-head data is unavailable in the provided sources; however, the gap in current form and national rankings suggests Houston is the stronger side[1][4].
• No significant injury updates are available in the provided sources; both teams are presumed at close to full strength unless late reports surface.
• The game is at Boone Pickens Stadium, often a tough environment for visitors, but Houston's form and Oklahoma State's struggles may negate home-field advantage. Weather conditions are not specified, but no extreme weather is typically expected in Oklahoma in October.
• Houston is aiming to stay in the Big 12 title race and build on its 4-1 start. Oklahoma State is desperate for a turnaround, but their recent performances suggest limited ability to compete with teams of Houston's caliber.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Houston -620, Oklahoma State +460	Houston win	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Houston -14.5 (-110), Oklahoma State +14.5 (-110)	Houston covers -14.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 46.5 (-115), Under 46.5 (-105)	Under 46.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Houston Cougars 359%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 46.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Houston Cougars at 359% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 78.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston is expected to win comfortably, covering the spread. The Cougars' defensive strength and Oklahoma State's offensive woes point to a lower-scoring game, likely staying under the total[2].

Predicted Score: Houston 31, Oklahoma State 13[2]

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Match Analysis: Miloš Cvjetićanin vs Alin Nechita – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Rotterdam Ahoy, Rotterdam

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Miloš Cvjetićanin and Alin Nechita is scheduled as part of the GLORY Kickboxing event GLORY 104. Cvjetićanin and Nechita are set to face off in a heavyweight tournament semi-final bout taking place at Rotterdam Ahoy in Rotterdam. Both fighters compete at a high level within the MMA and kickboxing circuit, with Cvjetićanin having notable experience in GLORY events. This bout is critical as the winner advances further in the heavyweight tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

• Miloš Cvjetićanin has demonstrated strong technical striking and resilience in recent GLORY tournaments, showing consistency against top-level opposition. Alin Nechita, likewise, is known for aggressive forward pressure and stamina, though his recent fight results indicate variability in finishing ability.
• There is limited direct head-to-head history available between Cvjetićanin and Nechita, suggesting this will likely be their first competitive bout against each other, increasing unpredictability.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout have been publicly disclosed, suggesting both should enter in full health and normal preparation.
• The event takes place indoors at Rotterdam Ahoy, a well-regarded venue with stable conditions. No unusual external factors such as weather or travel issues are reported.
• With a place in the heavyweight tournament final at stake, both fighters are highly motivated to perform at their peak. Cvjetićanin may have slightly greater psychological confidence due to recent successes in GLORY events.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Miloš Cvjetićanin: -145, Alin Nechita: +125, Draw: +2500	Miloš Cvjetićanin to win	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Cvjetićanin -1.5 rounds: -110, Nechita +1.5 rounds: -110	Cvjetićanin -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the technical skill and recent form, Miloš Cvjetićanin is predicted to edge out Alin Nechita in a closely contested match, likely by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Cvjetićanin wins by unanimous decision (3 rounds)

Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Ohio State Buckeyes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois

Game Overview

The game features the undefeated No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0, 2-0 Big Ten) visiting the No. 17 Illinois Fighting Illini (5-1, 2-1 Big Ten) in a critical Big Ten conference matchup. Ohio State is heavily favored given their dominant defense and undefeated record, while Illinois enters motivated to challenge the top-ranked Buckeyes on home turf.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ohio State boasts a top-ranked defense and undefeated status (5-0), controlling their opponents decisively with a strong defense that has held teams to very low scores. Illinois has a solid 5-1 record but has been inconsistent and less dominant especially on defense against top-tier teams.
• Ohio State holds a strong historical advantage over Illinois, having dominated recent encounters and favored consistently against the spread. Their last notable meeting included a 42-3 routing of Minnesota, indicating Ohio State's ability to impose commanding victories.
• Current data does not specify major injury concerns for either team, suggesting both squads will likely field their typical starters and key contributors.
• The game being at Illinois' Memorial Stadium presents a home crowd advantage for the Fighting Illini, but Ohio State's status as undefeated national champions visiting the Big Ten rivals creates additional pressure and spotlight. Weather and field conditions appear standard.
• Ohio State aims to maintain their undefeated campaign and top national ranking, facing a strong but underdog Illinois team that will be motivated to upset the top-ranked Buckeyes and prove their competitiveness in the Big Ten.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Illinois Fighting Illini: +480, Ohio State Buckeyes: -650	Ohio State Buckeyes	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Illinois Fighting Illini +14.5: -114, Ohio State Buckeyes -14.5: -106	Ohio State Buckeyes -14.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 49.5: -110, Under 49.5: -110	Under 49.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ohio State Buckeyes -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 49.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ohio State is strongly favored to win, with a predicted game flow dominated by Ohio State's defense limiting Illinois' scoring opportunities. A victory by around two touchdowns or more is expected for the Buckeyes.

Predicted Score: Ohio State Buckeyes 28 – Illinois Fighting Illini 10

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Match Analysis: Berjan Peposhi vs Aitor Ibanez Currito – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: GLORY 104, Rotterdam

Game Overview

The fight between Berjan Peposhi and Aitor Ibanez Currito is a featherweight bout scheduled for October 11, 2025, at GLORY 104 in Rotterdam. Peposhi is known for his aggressive striking and knockout power, whereas Ibanez Currito has a strong grappling and ground game, making the match a classic striker versus grappler encounter. The fight has potential to end early with either fighter potentially securing a finish, Peposhi via striking and Ibanez Currito via submissions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Peposhi holds a record of 31-5 with 16 knockouts displaying effective striking, while Ibanez Currito holds a record of 28-7-1 with 13 KOs and a solid grappling base. Peposhi ranks #3 in the featherweight division with a striking-focused style, while Ibanez has more experience with a balance of striking and ground skills.
• No prior direct encounters or head-to-head records are available between Berjan Peposhi and Aitor Ibanez Currito.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• The event is part of GLORY 104 with high stakes in the Last Featherweight Standing tournament, increasing the motivation and intensity. Fight location in Rotterdam is neutral for both, with no significant travel or altitude issues reported.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the GLORY Last Featherweight Standing tournament. Peposhi looks to leverage his striking to progress, while Ibanez Currito will rely on grappling to neutralize the striker.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	Berjan Peposhi -1.5: N/A, Aitor Ibanez Currito +1.5: N/A	Peposhi to cover spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: N/A, Under 2.5 rounds: N/A	Under 2.5 rounds (early finish expected)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Berjan Peposhi is predicted to win by knockout or TKO due to his aggressive striking advantage and knockout power; however, Ibanez Currito’s grappling could prolong the fight and provide submission opportunities. Chance of a stand-up finish favors Peposhi.

Predicted Score: First to third round finish by knockout/TKO in favor of Berjan Peposhi

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Match Analysis: Errol Koning vs Mohamed Amine – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The match between Errol Koning and Mohamed Amine is a heavyweight MMA bout scheduled for October 11, 2025, at 16:00 UTC. Errol Koning is known for his striking power and precision aimed at early finishes, while Mohamed Amine offers versatility with a solid ground game and decent striking. This fight contrasts Koning's knockout potential against Amine's resilience and grappling skills.

Key Factors to Consider

• Errol Koning tends to rely on striking dominance, often seeking to finish fights early. Mohamed Amine has demonstrated capability in both striking and ground fighting, potentially allowing him to control the fight if it goes to later rounds.
• No prior head-to-head records or matchups found between Errol Koning and Mohamed Amine, indicating this will be their first professional encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, meaning both athletes appear physically fit and ready.
• No specific external factors such as venue advantage or travel concerns are noted. The event details do not specify a venue, limiting further context on crowd influence or conditions.
• Both competitors enter this qualification round motivated to advance in the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament, which adds stakes and likely increases their competitive focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Errol Koning's striking strengths and Mohamed Amine's grappling skills, the prediction leans slightly towards Koning winning by early stoppage due to his knockout power. However, if the fight extends into later rounds, Amine's ground game might secure a submission or decision victory.

Predicted Score: Errol Koning wins by 1 round (early stoppage or unanimous decision)

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Match Analysis: Rade Opacic vs Mike Kena – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: RTM Stage, Netherlands

Game Overview

Rade Opacic, a seasoned fighter with a strong record in kickboxing, faces Mike Kena in GLORY 104: Last Heavyweight Standing. This event is part of a heavyweight tournament, though the exact format for Opacic vs. Kena is not specified.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rade Opacic has a notable experience in kickboxing with a record of 22-7, 17 KO. Mike Kena's recent performances are less detailed, but he's facing a tough opponent in Opacic.
• No known head-to-head history between Opacic and Kena.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The RTM Stage in the Netherlands may provide a familiar environment for Opacic, given his European background.
• Both fighters are likely motivated to win, given the stage and the importance of the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rade Opacic is predicted to win due to his experience and strong kickboxing background.

Predicted Score: Opacic wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Thomas Petersen vs Vitor Petrino – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Heavyweight prelims bout in UFC Rio, featuring the 30-year-old southpaw, Thomas Petersen (10-3, 2-2 UFC), against the younger, 28-year-old orthodox, Vitor Petrino (12-2, 5-2 UFC). The fight marks Petrino's second outing as a heavyweight, coming off a first-round submission victory, whereas Petersen brings a strong striking game and defensive acumen. Both fighters are evenly matched in size and weight, but the odds and analytics tilt in Petrino's favor, suggesting a test of grappling vs. striking dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vitor Petrino has a higher UFC win rate (5-2 vs. 2-2), but Petersen lands more significant strikes per minute (3.74 vs. 2.72) and has a higher striking accuracy (59% vs. 45%). Petrino, however, has a higher takedown upside and recent momentum in the heavyweight division.
• This is the first meeting between the two. No direct head-to-head experience to draw on.
• No public injury reports for either fighter as of fight week.
• Fight is in Petrino’s home country (Brazil), which may provide a crowd advantage. Weather/venue is indoors, so unlikely to be a factor.
• Petrino appears motivated after a quick win in his heavyweight debut, while Petersen likely seeks to solidify his status in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Petersen 240, Petrino -298	Petrino to win outright	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Petersen 3.5 130, Petrino -3.5 -180	Petrino to win by more than 3.5 points (i.e., by finish)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 -200, Under 1.5 154	Over 1.5 rounds (fight goes past midway of 2nd round)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vitor Petrino 145%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitor Petrino at 145% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitor Petrino is favored to win by decision or KO, leveraging his grappling, volume, and momentum. Petersen’s best chance is to keep the fight standing and land clean strikes, but Petrino’s recent form and experience at the higher level suggest he absorbs and eventually overcomes Petersen’s offense. Most predictions and odds lean toward Petrino by stoppage in the later rounds[1][3][4].

Predicted Score: Vitor Petrino by KO/TKO (Round 2 or 3)

Match Analysis: Clayton Carpenter vs Jafel Filho – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The upcoming fight between Clayton Carpenter and Jafel Filho at UFC Rio is set to be a closely contested bout in the Flyweight division. Both fighters have strong backgrounds in grappling, with Filho having a more extensive MMA experience and Carpenter boasting a high success rate in the early stages of his career.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jafel Filho leads in overall experience with a 16-4-0 record, while Clayton Carpenter has a strong 8-1-0 record with a high win percentage. Filho's experience may give him an edge in managing fight tempo.
• There is no previous head-to-head match between the two fighters, making this a first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Carpenter's aggressive style might be offset by Filho's defensive capabilities.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, as a win could boost their UFC rankings and career prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Carpenter: -125, Filho: +105	Carpenter	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Carpenter: -3.5 @ 150, Filho: 3.5 @ -205	Filho covers the spread	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -195, Under 2.5: 150	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Clayton Carpenter 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Clayton Carpenter at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters capable of winning. However, Clayton Carpenter's aggressive striking and grappling skills might give him an edge.

Predicted Score: Unapplicable for MMA Fights

Match Analysis: Kaan Ofli vs Ricardo Ramos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 11, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Ricardo Ramos and Kaan Ofli will face off in the featherweight division at UFC Rio on October 11, 2025. This is expected to be a competitive match given the fighters' backgrounds. Ricardo Ramos, with a record of 17-7-0, is favored over Kaan Ofli, who holds a 12-4-1 record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ricardo Ramos has a slight edge in terms of career performance and significant strikes landed per minute. However, Ofli has a higher percentage of strikes landed.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
• There are no reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is in Brazil, which could provide a home advantage for Ramos, but Ofli has shown resilience in previous matches.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with both seeking to improve their standing in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ricardo Ramos -185, Kaan Ofli +154	Ricardo Ramos	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Kaan Ofli +3.5 -140, Ricardo Ramos -3.5 100	Kaan Ofli +3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -140, Under 2.5 110	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ricardo Ramos 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ricardo Ramos at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ricardo Ramos is predicted to win due to his overall fight experience and slight physical advantages.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Ricardo Ramos