Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 8:15 PM UTC
- Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Game Overview
The No. 12 Tennessee Volunteers (4-1, 1-1 SEC) will host the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3, 0-1 SEC) in a pivotal SEC matchup. Tennessee boasts a strong record, coming off several high-scoring wins and a recent overtime victory, while Arkansas has struggled with a 3-game losing streak and coaching transitions. Tennessee's offense, led by a potent passing attack and improving run game, faces Arkansas' vulnerable defense, with Tennessee favored heavily in betting odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee has a 4-1 overall record with explosive offensive performances, including recent high-scoring games and overtime wins. Arkansas is 2-3 overall, suffering a three-game losing streak and defensive inconsistencies. Tennessee’s offense averages above 80 points over recent two games combined, showcasing balance in passing and improved rushing. Arkansas struggles defensively and is under new coaching leadership aiming to reverse team fortunes.
- Recent encounters favor Tennessee with momentum from an upset loss last year acting as motivation. Tennessee also holds home-field advantage at Neyland Stadium, a historically tough venue for Arkansas. The rivalry features strong emotions with Tennessee seeking revenge and Arkansas eager to redeem with a strategic coaching reset.
- No major injuries reported for Tennessee. Arkansas dealing with typical team roster challenges during a bye week but no specific key player injuries noted affecting the upcoming game significantly.
- The game is at Tennessee’s home stadium with high fan engagement and emotional stakes. Arkansas had a bye week, allowing rest but possibly disrupting rhythm. Tennessee's motivation is high given playoff aspirations and ranking.
- Tennessee is motivated to maintain their top SEC standing and improve playoff resume. Arkansas seeks redemption and momentum to halt a losing streak and validate coaching changes. Tennessee also seeks revenge following last year's upset by Arkansas.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arkansas Razorbacks: 350, Tennessee Volunteers: -450 | Tennessee Volunteers win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Arkansas Razorbacks: 12.5 -110, Tennessee Volunteers: -12.5 -110 | Tennessee Volunteers -12.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 68.5 -110, Under: 68.5 -110 | Over 68.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tennessee Volunteers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 68.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 68.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee Volunteers are heavily favored to win, expected to control the game through superior offense, home advantage, and better current form. Arkansas may struggle to keep pace, especially against Tennessee’s balanced attack.
Predicted Score: Tennessee Volunteers 38 – Arkansas Razorbacks 20