Match Analysis: LSU Tigers vs South Carolina Gamecocks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 11:45 PM UTC
- Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Game Overview
No. 11 LSU (4-1, 1-1 SEC) hosts South Carolina (3-2, 1-2 SEC) in a pivotal SEC matchup. LSU is coming off a close loss to Ole Miss and seeks to rebound at home, while South Carolina looks to build momentum after a decisive win over Kentucky. Both teams are fighting for positioning in the competitive SEC Eastern division[3].
Key Factors to Consider
- LSU has been consistent, with their only loss a close one on the road to Ole Miss. South Carolina is 3-2, with SEC losses to Vanderbilt and Missouri, but showed offensive flashes in their win over Kentucky[1][4]. Both defenses have shown vulnerabilities, especially South Carolina, which gave up 31 points to Vanderbilt[4]. LSU's offense, while potent, has been less explosive in recent weeks.
- Recent head-to-head data is not directly available in the provided results. Historically, LSU has often been favored at home in this series, but the current spread suggests a competitive game.
- No injury data is provided in the search results. This remains a major unknown that could significantly impact the game dynamics.
- LSU is at home, which is a notable advantage in college football. The game is also LSUβs Homecoming, which could amplify crowd energy and motivation[2]. No significant weather issues are reported. South Carolina is traveling after a home win, hoping to carry that momentum on the road.
- Both teams are in the thick of the SEC race and need a win to improve bowl positioning and conference standing. LSU seeks a bounce-back performance after a tough road loss, while South Carolina aims for a statement win against a ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | LSU -330, South Carolina +265 | LSU win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | LSU -8.5 (-110), South Carolina +8.5 (-110) | LSU covers -8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 44.5 (-105), Under 44.5 (-115) | Over 44.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | LSU Tigers 174% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 44.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: LSU Tigers at 174% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
LSU is the more talented and consistent team, especially at home, but South Carolina has shown the ability to score and could keep it close with big plays. Expect a moderately high-scoring, competitive game, with LSU pulling away in the second half to cover the spread.
Predicted Score: LSU 31, South Carolina 21