Match Analysis: Louis Jourdain vs Magno Dias – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-01
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This bantamweight contest at Dana White's Contender Series Week 8 features Louis Jourdain, riding a three-fight unbeaten streak, against Magno Dias, who enters with back-to-back first-round finishes. Both fighters are vying for a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

• Louis Jourdain holds an 8-3 record with consistent recent wins primarily through striking and durability. Magno Dias, with a 6-1 record, boasts aggressive finishes but has less overall experience at this level.
• No previous recorded matchups between Jourdain and Dias exist, making this a stylistic matchup with limited direct comparison.
• No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of the fight.
• Fight held at UFC APEX provides a neutral venue; motivation is high for both as the winner secures a UFC contract. Jourdain’s experience in higher profile fights may provide an edge.
• Both fighters are highly motivated with UFC contracts on the line, but Jourdain’s recent success streak and fight IQ may better handle pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Louis Jourdain: -185, Magno Dias: +160	Louis Jourdain	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Louis Jourdain -1.5 Rounds: +120, Magno Dias +1.5 Rounds: -140	Louis Jourdain -1.5 Rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 Rounds: -190, Under 1.5 Rounds: +165	Over 1.5 Rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Louis Jourdain -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Louis Jourdain to win on moneyline and the fight to go over 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Louis Jourdain wins by decision or late finish after round 2

Match Analysis: Christopher Alvidrez vs Eliezer Kubanza – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-01
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 8

Game Overview

Christopher Alvidrez (6-1) and Eliezer Kubanza (7-0) face off in a welterweight bout on Dana White's Contender Series. Alvidrez is a strong finisher with four consecutive KO wins, relying on diverse striking and grappling. Kubanza is undefeated, with strong knockout power but questions around cardio endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alvidrez has demonstrated aggressive finishing ability with key first-round TKOs recently, while Kubanza remains undefeated but tends to fade in later rounds. Both fighters have knockout power, making an early finish likely.
• No previous head-to-head matchups between Alvidrez and Kubanza exist, so this will be their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, allowing both to compete at full strength.
• The fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, motivating both fighters to perform at peak to secure UFC contracts. Kubanza’s inexperience at this level could impact his composure under pressure.
• High for both; Kubanza is undefeated and looking to secure a contract, while Alvidrez is aiming to extend his knockout streak and prove his skillset on a bigger stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christopher Alvidrez +235, Eliezer Kubanza -275	Eliezer Kubanza	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 +105, Under 1.5 -125	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Eliezer Kubanza -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eliezer Kubanza to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kubanza wins by decision after 3 rounds