Match Analysis: Seok Hyun Ko vs Oban Elliott – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-21
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan
Game Overview
The upcoming welterweight MMA bout features Seok Hyun Ko of South Korea against Oban Elliott from Wales in a UFC on ABC 8 event. Both fighters have strong records, with Ko at 11-2 and Elliott at 12-2, representing contrasting styles: Ko relies on fight control and endurance with recent wins by decision, while Elliott is known for his power and KO finishes. This bout will be held in Baku's Crystal Hall with no championship belts at stake, making it a high-stakes contest for their UFC trajectories.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seok Hyun Ko is coming off a unanimous decision win over a tough opponent, showing tactical maturity and control. Oban Elliott has demonstrated finishing ability with a recent KO victory. Both have similar fight experience, but Elliott’s power and precision may give him an edge in early exchanges.
- Seok Hyun Ko and Oban Elliott have no prior head-to-head encounters, meaning no direct matchup data is available to influence predictive models.
- No reported injuries have been disclosed publicly for either fighter leading up to the contest, suggesting both are expected to be in peak condition.
- The fight being on neutral ground in Baku, Azerbaijan, negates any home advantage. The rescheduling of the fight, confirmed on May 25, 2025, does not appear to have affected either fighter’s preparation significantly.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to impress at this UFC event to climb the welterweight rankings, with Ko aiming to leverage his recent strong performance and Elliott looking to capitalize on his knockout power.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oban Elliott: -500, Seok Hyun Ko: 380 | Oban Elliott | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Oban Elliott: -3.5 -195, Seok Hyun Ko: +3.5 140 | Oban Elliott -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -160, Under: 2.5 124 | Under 2.5 Rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oban Elliott -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 39% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oban Elliott is favored to win due to his higher moneyline odds and demonstrated finishing power. While Seok Hyun Ko’s durability and fight IQ make a competitive bout likely, Elliott’s aggressive style and recent KO form give him an estimated edge with a close but decisive victory anticipated.
Predicted Score: Oban Elliott wins by KO/TKO in Round 2