Match Analysis: Nursultan Ruziboev vs Bryan Battle – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

The UFC 319 prelim middleweight fight between Nursultan Ruziboev and Bryan Battle features two aggressive fighters with contrasting styles and physical attributes. Ruziboev, an experienced and tall middleweight from Uzbekistan, faces Bryan Battle, a 30-year-old American with a slightly shorter reach but favored by bookmakers. This bout has attracted strong betting interest given both fighters' recent form and UFC experience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bryan Battle currently holds the favored position with more consistent recent performance and momentum in the middleweight division, while Nursultan Ruziboev shows strong aggression and physicality but less favored in betting lines. Both fighters have UFC fight experience but Battle's recent activity and declared motivation give him a performance edge.
• There are no records of previous head-to-head matches between Nursultan Ruziboev and Bryan Battle, making this matchup a fresh contest without direct comparative results.
• No publicly available injury reports indicate either fighter is carrying any significant injuries into this bout, suggesting both will enter at full health.
• The fight takes place at UFC 319 at the United Center in Chicago, a neutral venue with no discernible home crowd advantage. Both fighters appear motivated, with Bryan Battle vocal about his intent to 'dominate' the fight.
• Bryan Battle expresses strong motivation to reclaim his position in the middleweight division and to use this fight as a statement bout, whereas Ruziboev is recognized as a determined and aggressive fighter aiming to make a statement on the UFC stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bryan Battle: -170, Nursultan Ruziboev: 145	Bryan Battle to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Bryan Battle: -1.5, Nursultan Ruziboev: +1.5	Bryan Battle to cover -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over_2.5: -115, under_2.5: -115	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bryan Battle -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryan Battle is predicted to win this bout by decision or late stoppage due to his favored status, recent performances, physical conditioning, and psychological motivation, despite Ruziboev's toughness and aggression.

Predicted Score: Bryan Battle wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Dustin Stoltzfus vs Nursultan Ruziboev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 17, 2025
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Dustin Stoltzfus and Nursultan Ruziboev are set to clash in a middleweight bout at UFC Vegas 106. Stoltzfus is a gritty grappler, while Ruziboev is a tall and skilled striker. The bout promises to be a fascinating match of styles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stoltzfus has a record of 16-6-0, while Ruziboev stands at 35-9-2. Stoltzfus lands more significant strikes per minute (3.47 vs 2.75), but Ruziboev has a slightly better strike defense (50% vs 46%).
• There is no previous head-to-head encounter between these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is at middleweight, where both fighters have experience. The venue could favor Ruziboev's style more due to its dimensions.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a win, with Stoltzfus looking to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dustin Stoltzfus: +240, Nursultan Ruziboev: -310	Nursultan Ruziboev	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Dustin Stoltzfus: +3.5 175, Nursultan Ruziboev: -3.5 -240	Nursultan Ruziboev	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 1.5 -105, Under: 1.5 -125	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nursultan Ruziboev -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nursultan Ruziboev is favored to win due to his reach and striking skills, but Stoltzfus's grappling skills could pose a threat.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Nursultan Ruziboev

Match Analysis: Nursultan Ruziboev vs Eric McConico – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-23
• Time: 11:45 PM UTC
• Location: Seattle, Washington

Game Overview

Nursultan Ruziboev and Eric McConico are set to face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Fight Night 252. Ruziboev is favored with odds of -275, indicating a strong favorite status. McConico, with odds of +235, is considered the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nursultan Ruziboev has shown strong skills in his previous fights, which may give him an edge over Eric McConico. McConico has a record of 6-2-1, with three wins by KO, two by submission, and one by decision.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between Ruziboev and McConico, making this a first encounter.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either fighter.
• The fight being in Seattle might not significantly impact either fighter, as both are accustomed to competing in various environments.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Ruziboev looking to maintain his winning streak and McConico aiming to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-275 for Ruziboev, +235 for McConico	Nursultan Ruziboev	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Not available	Nursultan Ruziboev	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -115, Under 1.5: -115	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Nursultan Ruziboev is likely to win due to his favored status and strong past performances.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Ruziboev.