Match Analysis: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Game Overview
The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-4) host the Utah Jazz (3-5) in a Northwest Division matchup. Minnesota is a substantial favorite with a double-digit point spread and a strong moneyline advantage, while the total points line is set at 231.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Timberwolves have a moderate 4-4 record with some recent wins on the road but mixed ATS results (2-6). Jazz are struggling with a 3-5 record, having lost four of their last five games, yet maintain reasonable ATS performance (5-3).
- First meeting of the season. Historically, Minnesota holds home advantage and is favored strongly by oddsmakers, reflecting confidence in their ability to dominate.
- Utah Jazz are missing key players including Walker Kessler, Georges Niang, John Tonje, and Oscar Tshiebwe, which weakens their frontcourt and depth. Timberwolves have all key players available.
- Game is played at Minnesotaβs home court providing a solid home crowd advantage. Both teams have motivation to improve early season standings.
- Timberwolves seek to consolidate a stronger position in their division and bounce back after a recent loss. Jazz want to end a poor run of form on the road, though injuries may limit competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota -590, Utah +440 | Minnesota Timberwolves | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Minnesota -12 (-108), Utah +12 (-112) | Utah Jazz +12 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 231.5 -110, Under 231.5 -110 | Under 231.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota Timberwolves -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 231.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 231.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota Timberwolves win moneyline, Utah Jazz cover spread, total points under 231.5
Predicted Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 115 – Utah Jazz 105