Match Analysis: Elche CF vs Real Sociedad – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Manuel MartΓnez Valero
Game Overview
This La Liga matchup features mid-table rivals Elche CF and Real Sociedad at Elche's home ground. Both teams are close in points but have shown divergent form patterns, with Elche unbeaten at home so far in the season and Real Sociedad having a slight edge in recent head-to-head results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Elche CF remains unbeaten at home this season, showing strong resilience. Real Sociedad has been slightly better overall but struggles to close against defensive teams. Both are close in the league with only a 2-point difference.
- Real Sociedad has won the last 6 meetings, with an average scoring rate of 1.9 goals per game versus Elche's 0.3 in these encounters. The last Elche win against Real Sociedad at home was in 2014/15.
- No major injury information is currently available that significantly impacts either side, suggesting both teams are near full strength.
- Match is played at Elche's home stadium, where they have not lost this season. No notable external disruptions or extreme weather conditions reported.
- Elche need to maintain their positive home form and recover from a recent defeat to Barcelona, adding motivation. Real Sociedad aims to maintain their winning streak in head-to-heads and keep pace or surpass Elche in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Elche CF +178, Real Sociedad +167, Draw +215 | Elche CF | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Elche CF 0 -105, Real Sociedad 0 -115 | Elche CF +0 (Draw No Bet) | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25 -108, Under 2.25 -112 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Elche CF 17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Elche CF win
Predicted Score: 1-0