Match Analysis: Preston North End vs Swansea City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-05
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Deepdale, Preston, England
Game Overview
Preston North End, playing at home at Deepdale, enter this EFL Championship clash slightly favored over Swansea City due to better recent home form and advantageous historical matchups. Swansea have shown inconsistency recently, resulting in a cautious but competitive match expectation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Preston North End has displayed mixed recent form with solid home wins against strong teams like Southampton and Sheffield United, though tempered by losses to Birmingham and West Brom. Swansea City have also fluctuated, with points gained against Charlton and Norwich but recent losses to QPR and Leicester impacting momentum.
- Head-to-head data shows a balanced contest historically, but Preston marginally edges Swansea at home, often leveraging their Deepdale advantage. Recent direct matchups suggest close, competitive games, with Preston frequently having the slight upper hand.
- No major injury disruptions reported for either team that would significantly influence lineups or performance, suggesting both squads likely to field strong starting elevens.
- The match location at Preston's Deepdale ground favors the home team. No adverse weather or external conditions likely to skew play were reported.
- Preston North End have motivation to solidify their standing at home against a mid-table opponent, while Swansea aim to arrest recent inconsistent form and gain ground in the Championship table, raising the stakes for both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 116 | Preston North End | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | -0.25 -112 | Preston North End -0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25 -105 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Preston North End 12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Preston North End at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Preston North End to win
Predicted Score: 2-1