Match Analysis: Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-28
• Time: 1:20 AM UTC
• Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Game Overview

The Week 13 NFL matchup features the Baltimore Ravens (6-5 overall, 3-3 home) hosting the Cincinnati Bengals (3-8 overall, 1-4 away) at M&T Bank Stadium on Thanksgiving night. The Ravens have a stronger season record and home advantage while the Bengals struggle with consistency, particularly on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baltimore Ravens show a 6-5 season record including key wins recently, while Cincinnati Bengals have a poorer 3-8 record with significant difficulties on the road (1-4). The Ravens defense and running game have been more consistent than the Bengals' offense, which ranks lower in scoring and has had recent losses by wide margins.
• Past matchups have seen Baltimore generally coming out ahead against Cincinnati, including recent seasons where Baltimore has leveraged strong home field advantage to dominate. The teams' playing styles favor Baltimore’s stronger defense and balanced offense.
• No explicit current injury reports were detailed in available data, but monitoring last-minute status of key players such as Ravens' offensive leaders and Bengals' quarterback is critical.
• The game is on Thanksgiving night at Baltimore’s home stadium with expected cool temperatures (~36°F) which may favor the Ravens’ more physical style. There is no reported adverse weather or other external disruptions.
• Baltimore aims to solidify its playoff positioning in a middling season, while the Bengals look to rebound from a tough year and upset a divisional rival, providing some motivation but overshadowed by overall Bengal struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baltimore Ravens: -355, Cincinnati Bengals: 280	Baltimore Ravens	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Baltimore Ravens: -7 -110, Cincinnati Bengals: +7 -110	Baltimore Ravens to cover -7	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -110, Under: 51.5 -110	Over 51.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baltimore Ravens -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Baltimore Ravens are favored to win due to stronger season performance, home advantage, and superior defensive and offensive consistency. A Ravens cover of the 7-point spread is the likely outcome with a moderately high confidence.

Predicted Score: Baltimore Ravens 28 – Cincinnati Bengals 17

Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, Tennessee

Game Overview

This American Athletic Conference (AAC) matchup features the Memphis Tigers (8-3, 4-3 AAC) hosting the Navy Midshipmen (8-2, 6-1 AAC) on Thursday, November 27, 2025. Both teams are strong contenders, with Memphis favored by the bookmakers. The game is set for a prime-time slot on ESPN, with high stakes for conference standings and postseason implications.

Key Factors to Consider

• Memphis has shown consistent performance at home, with an 8-3-0 ATS record and an average point total of 56.9 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Their implied total is 35.2 points per game at home. Navy, while strong overall (8-2), has struggled with the spread, covering only 3 of 10 games this season. Their average point total is 56.8, with an implied total of 37.5 at home and 36.3 on the road. Memphis recently lost to East Carolina 31-27, while Navy narrowly defeated South Florida 41-38, indicating both teams are capable of high-scoring games.
• In the last four meetings, Memphis has won three, outscoring Navy by 34 points. The series is even against the spread (2-2), but the over has hit in three of the last four matchups. This suggests a competitive but high-scoring rivalry.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• The game is played at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, where Memphis has a strong home advantage. Weather is expected to be clear with no rain, which favors an open, high-scoring game. The venue and conditions are conducive to offensive play.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a strong finish in the AAC and improve their postseason prospects. Memphis is aiming to solidify its position as a top contender, while Navy seeks to challenge for the conference title.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Memphis Tigers: -205, Navy Midshipmen: 170	Memphis Tigers	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Memphis Tigers: -5.5, Navy Midshipmen: 5.5	Memphis Tigers -5.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 58.5, Under: 58.5	Over	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Memphis Tigers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 58.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Memphis is favored to win this game, with a strong home record and recent form. The spread and over/under suggest a close, high-scoring contest. The Tigers are expected to cover the spread and the game is likely to go over the total.

Predicted Score: Memphis 34, Navy 25