Match Analysis: Fairfield Stags vs Columbia Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-26
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield, Conn.

Game Overview

The Fairfield Stags host the Columbia Lions in a key NCAA men's basketball matchup. Columbia enters with a 5-1 record and a four-game winning streak, showing offensive efficiency led by players like K. Noland averaging 17.0 PPG. Fairfield holds a 4-2 record and is riding a three-game win streak at home. Both teams have shown solid defense and competitive scoring but differ slightly in pace and offensive style.

Key Factors to Consider

• Columbia is on a 4-game winning streak, averaging strong offensive outputs, including a recent 25-point performance by Thompson. Fairfield has won its last 3 home games, demonstrating resilience and effective home-court advantage, but has struggled on the road earlier in the season. Columbia’s shooting efficiency (45.5 FG%) and free throw precision (100%) are key stats.
• Recent meetings show competitive balance, with Columbia claiming victory in an October 2024 away game 85-72. Historical data from Sofascore suggests the teams are evenly matched with slight edge to Columbia in recent years.
• No significant injury updates or key player absences reported for either team prior to the game.
• The game is played at Fairfield’s home arena, giving them a slight advantage. No adverse weather, travel, or scheduling concerns evident. Motivational aspects include Columbia's attempt to extend their road winning streak and Fairfield’s home dominance.
• Columbia seeks to continue its winning streak and maintain momentum early in the season. Fairfield aims to capitalize on home court to improve record and assert dominance in their league matchups.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Columbia Lions: -162, Fairfield Stags: 136	Columbia Lions win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Columbia Lions: -2.5 -115, Fairfield Stags: 2.5 -105	Columbia Lions -2.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over: 147.5 -105, Under: 147.5 -115	Under 147.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Columbia Lions -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 147.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Columbia Lions to narrow edge with a close win due to overall offensive consistency and recent form, despite Fairfield’s home advantage and recent good performances.

Predicted Score: Columbia Lions 75 – 71 Fairfield Stags

Match Analysis: UNC Wilmington Seahawks vs SE Louisiana Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Raiford G. Trask Coliseum, Wilmington, North Carolina

Game Overview

UNC Wilmington Seahawks host SE Louisiana Lions in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. The Seahawks enter the game on a three-game winning streak and are undefeated at home (3-0), while the Lions are struggling with a 1-4 record and 0-4 away. The game is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (00:00 UTC) and will be broadcast on FloCollege.

Key Factors to Consider

• UNC Wilmington is 4-1 overall and 3-0 at home, showing strong offensive and defensive consistency. SE Louisiana is 1-4 overall and 0-4 away, with poor road performance and limited offensive production. UNC Wilmington averages 87.6 points per game, while SE Louisiana averages 71.2 points per game.
• No recent head-to-head meetings are available in the provided data. The teams have not played each other in the last several seasons.
• No injury reports are available for either team at this time.
• UNC Wilmington has home court advantage and is playing in front of a supportive crowd. SE Louisiana is on the road and has struggled away from home this season.
• UNC Wilmington is aiming for a fourth consecutive victory and wants to maintain its undefeated home record. SE Louisiana is looking to end a four-game losing streak and secure its second win of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	SE Louisiana Lions: 525, UNC Wilmington Seahawks: -910	UNC Wilmington Seahawks	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	SE Louisiana Lions: 12.5 -112, UNC Wilmington Seahawks: -12.5 -114	UNC Wilmington Seahawks -12.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 140.5 -113, Under: 140.5 -113	Over 140.5	★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	UNC Wilmington Seahawks -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 140.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 140.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UNC Wilmington is heavily favored to win this game due to their superior record, home court advantage, and recent form. SE Louisiana has shown limited offensive production and poor road performance, making it difficult to see them competing closely. The Seahawks are expected to control the pace and win by double digits.

Predicted Score: UNC Wilmington 88 – SE Louisiana 52

Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Kansas Jayhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers face the Kansas Jayhawks in the Players Era Festival Championship at MGM Grand Garden Arena. Both teams feature strong offensive capabilities and solid defensive records, with Tennessee averaging 87.3 points per game and Kansas averaging 88.2 points. The game is expected to be a competitive encounter with a moderately high combined scoring total.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kansas Jayhawks are shooting 48.1% overall and 32.7% from three-point range, averaging 88.2 points per game while allowing 73.5 points. Their defense limits opponents to 24.1% shooting from deep, and they secure 42.7 rebounds per game. Tennessee Volunteers shoot 49.9% overall, averaging 87.3 points and allowing 73.7 points per game, with defensive discipline at 36% opponent shooting. Tennessee has had recent success against non-AP-ranked opponents, but Kansas has excelled in daytime games against non-conference foes.
• Kansas has shown strength in day games against non-conference opponents, winning 7 of last 8, while Tennessee has a strong record against non-AP-ranked teams and has won multiple recent first halves against such teams. Kansas won the first half in 9 of 10 recent day games in this category, while Tennessee has faced challenges in day games against Big 12 teams.
• No specific injury reports are available for either team in the current data.
• The game will be played at a neutral venue in Las Vegas during the Players Era Festival. Daytime game dynamics and travel conditions may affect team performance, favoring teams with strong daytime game histories such as Kansas.
• Both teams are motivated, contesting a championship title in a high-profile tournament setting. Kansas’s recent strong daytime performance against non-conference foes adds motivational advantage, while Tennessee’s solid play against ranked opponents and momentum in season record provide additional incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tennessee Volunteers: -115, Kansas Jayhawks: -105	Kansas Jayhawks	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Kansas Jayhawks: +3.5 -105, Tennessee Volunteers: -3.5 -115	Kansas Jayhawks +3.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 139.5: -110, Under 139.5: -110	Over 139.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 139.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 139.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kansas Jayhawks to win narrowly, covering the spread with a total score slightly over the set line.

Predicted Score: Kansas Jayhawks 72 – Tennessee Volunteers 68