Match Analysis: Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio
Game Overview
The Columbus Blue Jackets host the Toronto Maple Leafs in an NHL regular season match on November 26, 2025. The Blue Jackets have had a recent upper hand in this rivalry, winning 5 of the past 6 meetings, including both encounters this season. Columbus is coming off a tight 3-2 overtime win against Toronto on November 20, indicating closely contested form between the sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus is performing well with an 11-8-3 record recently and has demonstrated resilience with close wins and shootout victories. Toronto has struggled recently against Columbus, losing multiple matches this season including recent losses by scores of 6-3 and 3-2. Adam Fantilli of Columbus has been particularly effective against Toronto, scoring 6 goals in 8 games versus them.
- Columbus leads the season series 2-0 and has won five of the last six games overall against Toronto. This dominance at home and in direct past matchups gives them psychological and tactical advantages.
- No specific major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact the lineup or strategy for this game.
- The game is played at Columbusβ home arena, which historically benefits the Blue Jackets. Weather and travel strain factors are minimal given proximity of teams and timing in the season.
- Columbus is motivated to maintain dominance over a key divisional opponent and strengthen their playoff positioning. Toronto seeks to reverse recent defeats and gain ground in the standings, adding incentive for this matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Blue Jackets: -132, Toronto Maple Leafs: 106 | Columbus Blue Jackets | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Columbus Blue Jackets -1.5: 190, Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5: -245 | Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 6: -118, Under 6: -106 | Under 6 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Blue Jackets 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Blue Jackets to win in a close game given recent head-to-head dominance, home advantage, and momentum.
Predicted Score: Columbus Blue Jackets 3 – 2 Toronto Maple Leafs