Match Analysis: Viktoria Plzeň vs SC Freiburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 5:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion města Plzně
Game Overview
This UEFA Europa League Round 5 match features Viktoria Plzeň hosting SC Freiburg on November 27, 2025. Both teams remain undefeated in the competition so far, setting up a key encounter as Plzeň ranks 8th and Freiburg 2nd in their group. Viktoria Plzeň's recent home form in Europe shows solid defensive resilience and select winning performances, while Freiburg have displayed strong attacking ability on the road in European matches and in domestic competitions.
Key Factors to Consider
- Viktoria Plzeň has held draws and wins against strong European sides, including recent draws with Fenerbahçe and wins against Roma and Malmo FF. Freiburg shows a decent form trend with convincing away wins in European games, including a 3-1 victory at Nice and solid Bundesliga performances, although they have a mix of draws and losses in league play. Both teams have demonstrated competitive European league form but Freiburg's offensive firepower appears slightly more consistent recently.
- No direct historical head-to-head data before this fixture is available, indicating a potentially fresh matchup between these two sides in European competition. Both sides will be cautious but motivated as undefeated teams striving to maintain their records and improve group standings.
- Current information on injuries or suspensions for this match is not explicitly detailed in the available data, suggesting no major absences reported so far for either Viktoria Plzeň or Freiburg.
- The match is played at Viktoria Plzeň’s home stadium, Stadion města Plzně, offering them home advantage. Weather and referee assignments are as expected for late November in Plzeň, with Morten Krogh (DEN) officiating, which may influence game flow but no unusual conditions noted.
- Both teams have strong motivation to avoid defeat as they remain undefeated in the tournament. Freiburg sits second in the group, pushing for automatic qualification, whereas Plzeň, in eighth position overall in standings, needs a positive result to keep their European ambitions alive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | SC Freiburg: 1.25, Viktoria Plzeň: 2.2, Draw: 2.3 | SC Freiburg | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | SC Freiburg -0.25: -107, Viktoria Plzeň +25: -113 | SC Freiburg -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 1.01, Under 2.5: -1.21 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | SC Freiburg 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given current form, squad strength, and motivation, SC Freiburg is favored to edge Viktoria Plzeň in a competitive and tightly contested match, though a home draw remains plausible.
Predicted Score: 1-2