Match Analysis: Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks vs Hampton Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Hytche Athletic Center, Princess Anne, MD
Game Overview
The Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (3-5) host the Hampton Pirates (2-5) at Hytche Athletic Center. Both teams have struggled this season, with Maryland-Eastern Shore averaging 60.4 points per game and a moderate defensive profile, while Hampton scores slightly more efficiently but has a weaker record. The Pirates are slight favorites according to moneyline odds, but the margin is narrow, indicating a competitive matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Maryland-Eastern Shore shoots 41.9% from the field with 60.4 points per game, averaging 35.4 rebounds and 12.4 assists per contest. Their defense allows 69.5 points and forces 13.3 turnovers per game. Hampton averages 69.6 points per game on 41.5% shooting with a 29.4% 3-point success rate, but the team has been struggling with a 2-5 record. Hamptonβs defense details are less pronounced but given recent results, it is likely less effective than Maryland-Eastern Shoreβs.
- Recent direct matchups and broader historical data are limited, but Maryland-Eastern Shore recently won against Binghamton 63-52, indicating their defensive capability. Hampton has lost 5 of their last 6 games, suggesting current form favors Maryland-Eastern Shore.
- No specific injury reports are noted from the sources, indicating potentially full rosters for both teams.
- The game is played at home for Maryland-Eastern Shore, which might provide a slight advantage. No weather or travel disruptions noted that would affect performance.
- Maryland-Eastern Shore, coming off a win and playing at home, may have higher motivation and momentum than Hampton, who are on a losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hampton Pirates: -128, Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks: 104 | Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks win | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Hampton Pirates: -1.5 -110, Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks: +1.5 -110 | Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over: 127.5 -112, under: 127.5 -112 | Under 127.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks 12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 127.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 127.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite Hampton being slight moneyline favorites, Maryland-Eastern Shore's home advantage, recent defensive performance, and better current form give them a slight edge in this closely matched game. Expect a tight game with Maryland-Eastern Shore covering the spread.
Predicted Score: Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks 63 – Hampton Pirates 61