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Houston Cougars vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Houston Cougars vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

NCAA Men's Basketball Players Era Festival Championship match featuring Houston Cougars (6-1) versus Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-2). Houston has a strong winning record and an impressive defense, while Notre Dame has had a mix of wins and losses. The game is played at a neutral venue in Las Vegas, adding a balanced environment without home court advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Houston Cougars have demonstrated a strong season start with a 6-1 record, showing solid defense and ability to close tight games despite a narrow loss to Tennessee recently. Notre Dame Fighting Irish hold a 5-2 record with notable performances by top scorer M. Burton averaging 20.3 PPG. Notre Dame has shown resilience but with some inconsistency, including close losses and wins in recent games.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited; however, Houston currently appears stronger with a better season record and stronger defensive metrics. Both teams have played competitive schedules and shown solid performances, but Houston’s ability to win tight games gives them an edge.
  • No reported injuries significantly impacting either Houston or Notre Dame for this match, allowing both teams to play near full strength.
  • Neutral site at MGM Grand Garden Arena removes home court advantage for Houston. The game being aired on TNT with prime-time exposure could motivate players to perform strongly
  • High stakes as a championship match in the Players Era Festival gives both teams strong motivation. Houston aims to confirm their status as a top-ranked team, while Notre Dame looks to secure an upset against the favored Cougars.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Cougars: -450, Notre Dame Fighting Irish: +350, Draw: N/A Houston Cougars win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Houston Cougars -10.5: -110, Notre Dame Fighting Irish +10.5: -110 Houston Cougars to cover -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 134.5: -110, Under 134.5: -110 Over 134.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 134.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 134.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Cougars are favored to win due to a stronger record, recent performance consistency, and defensive strengths. Expect a controlled pace with Houston covering the -10.5 spread and the total score to hover around the over/under line.

Predicted Score: Houston Cougars 72 – Notre Dame Fighting Irish 60


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Jacksonville St Gamecocks vs. North Dakota St Bison Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Jacksonville St Gamecocks vs North Dakota St Bison – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: First National Bank Arena, Jonesboro

Game Overview

The matchup features the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (3-2) hosting the North Dakota State Bison (4-2). Jacksonville State has a strong home presence, averaging a higher rebound count and slightly better defensive numbers, while North Dakota State has been dominant at home but struggles somewhat on the road. The teams have contrasting recent forms, with NDSU on a 4-game winning streak and Jax State coming off two straight losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Dakota State holds a 4-2 overall record with a 4-0 home record but 0-2 on the road, scoring an average of 84.7 PPG and allowing 67.5 PPG. Jacksonville State is 3-2, scoring about 86.6 PPG and allowing 62.8 PPG, with strong rebounding (45.8 per game). Jacksonville State has struggled ATS (against the spread) recently and at road games, while totals often go over in their matches.
  • The last head-to-head meeting was a Jacksonville State 81-71 win over North Dakota State, indicating Jacksonville State can compete effectively. Overall, North Dakota State is 4-2 this season with a solid offensive output, whereas Jacksonville State is at 3-2.
  • No specific injury reports available from the search data for this game, suggesting both teams likely have their main rotations intact.
  • Jacksonville State plays in a familiar home environment, which tends to favor them, especially given North Dakota State's lack of road success. Public betting heavily favors Jacksonville State on the moneyline, indicating strong market confidence in the home team.
  • Jacksonville State looks to bounce back from recent losses and capitalize on home court. North Dakota State aims to extend their winning streak and overcome their poor road record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jacksonville State: +138, North Dakota State: -166 Jacksonville State to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Jacksonville State: +3.5 at -122, North Dakota State: -3.5 at 100 Jacksonville State +3.5 to cover spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 142.5: -115, Under 142.5: -105 Over 142.5 points total β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Dakota St Bison 45%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 142.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: North Dakota St Bison at 45% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State is favored to win by a narrow margin based on home court advantage, recent head-to-head win, and market confidence undervaluing the moneyline odds. A moneyline bet on Jacksonville State represents value despite North Dakota State’s overall strong season record.

Predicted Score: North Dakota State 70 – Jacksonville State 76


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West Bromwich Albion vs. Birmingham City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Hawthorns

Game Overview

West Bromwich Albion hosts Birmingham City in a midweek Championship fixture at The Hawthorns. Both teams are in the middle of the table, with West Bromwich Albion currently 17th and Birmingham City performing competitively. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides showing attacking intent in recent fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • West Bromwich Albion has scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating strong offensive form. Birmingham City has also shown attacking prowess, with Marvin Ducksch leading their shots on target. Both teams have shown vulnerability defensively, which could lead to an open game.
  • Recent head-to-head encounters have been closely contested, with both teams capable of winning at home or away. The last few meetings have seen a mix of wins and draws, with neither team dominating the rivalry.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to be at full strength for this match.
  • The match is being played at The Hawthorns, which is West Bromwich Albion's home ground. The home advantage could play a role, but Birmingham City has shown resilience in away fixtures.
  • Both teams are looking to climb the Championship table and secure a playoff spot. The motivation is high for both sides, with the potential for a playoff push in the coming months.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Birmingham City: 167, West Bromwich Albion: 162, Draw: 205 West Bromwich Albion β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Birmingham City: 0 -108, West Bromwich Albion: 0 -112 West Bromwich Albion β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%
Over/under Over: 2.25 102, Under: 2.25 -122 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Bromwich Albion 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having strong attacking options. West Bromwich Albion's home advantage and recent form give them a slight edge, but Birmingham City's attacking prowess could see them score as well. A draw or a narrow win for West Bromwich Albion is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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New Mexico St Aggies vs. Georgia St Panthers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: New Mexico St Aggies vs Georgia St Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Pan American Center, New Mexico State University

Game Overview

The New Mexico State Aggies (4-0) are hosting the Georgia State Panthers (1-5). New Mexico State has been dominant offensively with an average of 78.5 points per game and a solid defense allowing 70 points per game. Georgia State struggles offensively, averaging only 58.8 points per game while allowing 77.6 points defensively. The overall form strongly favors New Mexico State in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico State demonstrates strong offensive efficiency and a better defensive record compared to Georgia State's low scoring and high points allowed per game. Recent results show New Mexico State mostly winning, whereas Georgia State has multiple losses with significant point deficits.
  • Recent head-to-head data indicates New Mexico State as the historically stronger team, with Georgia State failing to secure wins against them in recent encounters. No recent upsets recorded between these teams.
  • No significant injury reports or player absences have been noted for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • The game is played at New Mexico State's home venue, providing home-court advantage. No notable external conditions or disruptions are currently impacting the teams.
  • New Mexico State is undefeated and looking to maintain their strong start, which likely boosts team morale and motivation. Georgia State, with a poor record, is under pressure to secure a turnaround, possibly creating urgency but also pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Mexico St Aggies: -750, Georgia St Panthers: +520 New Mexico St Aggies to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread New Mexico St Aggies: -10.5 -120, Georgia St Panthers: +10.5 -102 New Mexico State to cover -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over: 140.5 -115, Under: 140.5 -105 Under 140.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico St Aggies -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 140.5 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 140.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico State Aggies to win convincingly, leveraging superior offensive output and home court edge. The predicted spread backing New Mexico State is strong, with expectations for a solid margin of victory.

Predicted Score: New Mexico State Aggies 79 – 65 Georgia State Panthers


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Valparaiso Beacons vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Valparaiso Beacons vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Athletics-Recreation Center, Valparaiso, IN

Game Overview

Valparaiso Beacons (4-1) host Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (1-5) in a midweek NCAAB matchup. Valparaiso enters as heavy favorites, riding a three-game win streak and boasting a perfect home record. Southern Indiana has struggled defensively and offensively, with only one win this season and a poor road record. The game is set for a 147.5-point total, with most experts expecting a low-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Valparaiso averages 70.2 points per game, shooting 39.5% from the field (345th in D-1), but their defense is solid, allowing just 71.6 points per game (34th in turnovers forced). Southern Indiana averages 75.2 points per game but allows 83.3 points per game, ranking near the bottom in defensive efficiency. Southern Indiana’s offense is inconsistent, shooting 43.9% from the field but struggling from three (20%).
  • No recent head-to-head data is available, but Valparaiso has won each of its last eight games against Ohio Valley Conference opponents. Southern Indiana has lost each of its last eight day games against non-conference opponents.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • The game is being played at Valparaiso’s home court, which has seen low-scoring games recentlyβ€”each of Valparaiso’s last seven home games against OVC opponents produced 145 or fewer points. The matchup is on ESPN+, with no weather or travel issues expected.
  • Valparaiso is motivated to extend their home winning streak and maintain their strong start to the season. Southern Indiana is seeking their second win and hoping to break a losing streak, but their road struggles and defensive lapses are concerning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Valparaiso -575, Southern Indiana +425 Valparaiso β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Valparaiso -9.5 (-115), Southern Indiana +9.5 (-105) Valparaiso -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 147.5 (-112), Under 147.5 (-108) Under 147.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valparaiso Beacons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 147.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valparaiso is expected to win comfortably, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total. Southern Indiana’s defensive weaknesses and poor road record make it unlikely they will keep pace with Valparaiso’s more balanced team.

Predicted Score: Valparaiso 78, Southern Indiana 67


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Millwall vs. Sheffield Wednesday Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: The Den, London

Game Overview

Millwall (7th place) hosts Sheffield Wednesday (24th place) in a Championship league match at The Den. Millwall currently hold a significantly higher league ranking, reflecting stronger season performance. Sheffield Wednesday face struggles, often losing both halves in recent matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities and poor recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Millwall are performing solidly in the Championship, holding 7th position and showing good defensive and attacking balance. Sheffield Wednesday are positioned 24th and have lost 6 of their last 8 matches at both half and full time, indicating a sustained poor run of form.
  • Historically, the two sides are closely matched in direct encounters. In approximately 18-26 meetings, Millwall have 5-7 wins and Sheffield Wednesday 6-7 wins, with multiple draws. Recent stats show Millwall marginally outperform Sheffield Wednesday in head-to-head matches but with no dominant trend.
  • No specific injury data detailed in sources; current lineups and player availability should be monitored closer to match day for updates. Key player discipline is notable, with Millwall having several players receiving higher cards per 90 minutes and Sheffield Wednesday players like Barry Bannan and Dominic Iorfa having multiple cards.
  • Match is at The Den, giving Millwall home advantage. Crowd support and familiar pitch conditions can favor Millwall. No major external disruptions reported. Both teams appear motivated by league positioning – Millwall aiming for higher playoff contention, Sheffield Wednesday fighting relegation threats.
  • Millwall have high motivation to consolidate their top-10 standing and push for playoff positions. Sheffield Wednesday are in a relegation battle and heavily motivated to gain points to escape the bottom but face psychological and form challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Millwall: -145, Sheffield Wednesday: 355, Draw: 270 Millwall win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Millwall -0.75: -114, Sheffield Wednesday +75: -106 Millwall -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 110, Under 2.5: -130 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Millwall 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Millwall are favored to win based on superior league position, recent form, home advantage, and historical competitiveness. Expect a Millwall victory with potential for one or two goals. Sheffield Wednesday may struggle to defend effectively but could attempt to counterattack.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Wrexham AFC vs. Bristol City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Wrexham AFC vs Bristol City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: The Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Game Overview

This EFL Championship fixture features Wrexham AFC hosting Bristol City at The Racecourse Ground. Both teams are competing in the Championship 2025-26 season, with Wrexham aiming to capitalize on home advantage while Bristol City looks to build on recent positive results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wrexham has shown competitive form at home, with fluctuating results in their 2025-26 campaign but generally holding a solid defensive structure. Bristol City recently secured a convincing 3-0 victory over Swansea City, suggesting strong offensive capability and momentum entering this fixture.
  • Historical data on past meetings shows a balanced rivalry with no definitive dominance by either side. Previous Championship encounters have been competitive with mixed results making this match potentially tight.
  • Current injury reports do not indicate any major absences for either team, with both squads expected to field near full strength lineups.
  • Playing at Wrexham’s home ground offers a psychological edge to Wrexham due to fan support and familiarity with pitch conditions. Weather and pitch specifics on matchday are expected to be neutral with no extreme conditions forecasted.
  • Wrexham seeks to improve their league standing and end a potential winless streak at home, which motivates a strong defensive and counter-attacking approach. Bristol City aims to extend their winning form and challenge for higher table placement, favoring a proactive attacking style.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bristol City: 176, Wrexham AFC: 144, Draw: 220 Wrexham AFC to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Bristol City: 0 105, Wrexham AFC: 0 -125 Wrexham AFC to cover the spread (0) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wrexham AFC 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Wrexham AFC at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested, with a slight advantage to Wrexham due to home advantage, though Bristol City’s recent form suggests they will be very competitive. A low-scoring draw or a narrow win for Wrexham is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sheffield United vs. Portsmouth Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sheffield United vs Portsmouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Bramall Lane, Sheffield, England

Game Overview

The EFL Championship match between Sheffield United and Portsmouth will take place at Bramall Lane. Sheffield United currently struggle near the relegation zone at 23rd, while Portsmouth hold a mid-table spot at 14th. Both teams recently secured important wins after tough runs of form, suggesting a competitive but cautious contest is likely.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sheffield United have been inconsistent and remain in the relegation zone despite a recent morale-boosting 3-0 victory over rivals Sheffield Wednesday. Portsmouth ended a six-game winless streak with a 3-1 victory against Millwall, showing potential for an away result.
  • Recent head-to-head clashes have been tight with draws and narrow victories. Notably, Sheffield United beat Portsmouth 2-1 in February 2025, while matches in September 2024 and February 2026 ended 0-0, indicating a pattern of closely contested games.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the data, but historical team struggles suggest possible squad limitations affecting Sheffield United's depth.
  • Playing at Bramall Lane gives Sheffield United typical home advantage. Portsmouth faces a long away journey, which might impact their stamina.
  • Sheffield United is highly motivated to escape relegation danger, making every home point critical. Portsmouth aims to build on their recent win to consolidate mid-table stability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Portsmouth: 310, Sheffield United: -127, Draw: 260 Sheffield United to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Portsmouth: 75 -119, Sheffield United: -0.75 -101 Sheffield United -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -104, Under 2.5: -116 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sheffield United -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A low-scoring, tightly contested match with likely draws or a marginal home win favored due to motivation and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Blackburn Rovers vs. Queens Park Rangers Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Ewood Park, Blackburn

Game Overview

Blackburn Rovers host Queens Park Rangers in a mid-table Championship clash at Ewood Park. Both teams are seeking consistency, with Blackburn showing a slight edge in recent form and historical dominance. The match is expected to be competitive, with both sides capable of scoring but also prone to defensive lapses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blackburn Rovers have shown moderate form, averaging 1.8 goals per match in their last five, while conceding 0.6 per game. Queens Park Rangers have struggled, averaging only 1.0 goal per match and conceding 1.8 in their last five. Blackburn’s attack is more potent, but QPR have shown resilience in away fixtures.
  • Blackburn Rovers have dominated the head-to-head, winning 16 of the last 29 meetings, with 6 draws and 7 losses. In the last 5 encounters, Blackburn have won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2. The historical edge is clear, but recent matches have been closer.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • The match is being played at Ewood Park, where Blackburn have a strong home record. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
  • Both teams are mid-table and looking to push for a playoff spot. Blackburn will be motivated to maintain their home advantage, while QPR will aim to secure a positive result on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Blackburn Rovers: 112, Queens Park Rangers: 215, Draw: 235 Blackburn Rovers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Blackburn Rovers: -0.25 -115, Queens Park Rangers: 25 -105 Blackburn Rovers -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -125, Under: 2.25 105 Over 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Blackburn Rovers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Blackburn Rovers are favored to win, but Queens Park Rangers are capable of a draw. The match is likely to be tight, with both teams scoring at least once.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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South Florida Bulls vs. VCU Rams Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs VCU Rams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Yuengling Center, USF Tampa campus

Game Overview

The South Florida Bulls host the VCU Rams in an NCAA men's basketball game as part of the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament. The Bulls have a strong offensive output with an average of 100 points per game but suffered a recent narrow loss to Oklahoma State. VCU boasts a slightly lower scoring average of 87.6 points per game and comes off a dominant home win against Coppin State. The previous encounter between these teams was a close 70-65 win for VCU in March 2024, indicating a competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Florida holds a 3-2 record with recent form including a narrow road loss and four players regularly scoring in double figures. VCU is also 3-2, undefeated at home (3-0), but winless away (0-2), with a solid average margin of +16 points in wins. South Florida's offensive efficiency (KenPom rating 80) is slightly lower than VCU's (KenPom rating 54), but Bulls have a recent trend of high-scoring games and rebounds.
  • This is the 40th meeting between the two teams. VCU leads the recent series with a narrow 70-65 victory in their last matchup in March 2024. Historically, the teams have been competitive, but VCU has had slight dominance recently with 1 win in last meeting and overall data showing no South Florida wins in recent H2H results.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of this match, allowing both sides to field their typical lineups at full strength.
  • Playing at home at the Yuengling Center gives South Florida a home-court advantage with strong fan support. The game is part of a high-profile tournament, possibly elevating motivation levels. Both teams have been consistent scorers; weather and travel conditions are typical and not expected to impact performance.
  • USF seeks to bounce back from a recent tough loss and leverage their home advantage. VCU aims to maintain their undefeated home record in the tournament setting and continue their strong defense and scoring balance. Both teams will be motivated given their tournament setting and recent competitive history.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Florida Bulls: 116, VCU Rams: -140 VCU Rams β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread South Florida Bulls +2.5: -120, VCU Rams -2.5: -102 VCU Rams -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 172.5: -110, Under 172.5: -110 Under 172.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VCU Rams -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 172.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 172.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

VCU is favored to win narrowly due to their recent head-to-head success and stronger home performance metrics. The Bulls' scoring ability and home advantage keep them competitive, but VCU's defense and balanced attack provide a slight edge. The game is expected to be close and under the total points line.

Predicted Score: VCU Rams 88 – South Florida Bulls 84


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