Match Analysis: Arizona Wildcats vs Denver Pioneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 3:30 AM UTC
- Location: McKale Memorial Center, Tucson, AZ
Game Overview
The Arizona Wildcats, ranked #4 nationally and undefeated at 5-0, host the Denver Pioneers (2-3) in the Wildcat Classic at McKale Memorial Center. The game is a clear mismatch on paper, with Arizona heavily favored. CBS Sports Network will broadcast the matchup, and both teams are expected to field their full rosters. The Wildcats are coming off a strong win over #3 UConn, while Denver has struggled against Power 5 competition.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona is 5-0 with wins over ranked teams, including a recent victory over #3 UConn. Their offense is balanced, led by Jaden Bradley (16.8 PPG, 58.3% FG) and Motiejus Krivas (11.3 PPG, 11.9 RPG). Denver is 2-3, with losses to Colorado and San Diego State. Their leading scorer is DeAndre Craig (13.5 PPG), but the team struggles with consistency and defense, allowing 77.6 PPG.
- Arizona and Denver have not played recently, but Arizona has a dominant record against Summit League opponents, especially at home. No direct historical matchup data is available for this specific pairing.
- No significant injuries reported for either team. Both Arizona and Denver are expected to have their starting lineups available.
- Arizona is playing at home in front of a strong crowd, which historically boosts their performance. Denver is 2-2 on the road this season and has not faced a team of Arizona's caliber. The Wildcats are also motivated by their high national ranking and recent win over UConn.
- Arizona is highly motivated to maintain their undefeated record and national ranking. Denver is looking to prove themselves against a top-tier opponent but faces a steep challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats: -100000, Denver Pioneers: 5000 | Arizona Wildcats | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | Arizona Wildcats: -31.5 -115, Denver Pioneers: 31.5 -105 | Arizona Wildcats -31.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 158.5 -112, Under: 158.5 -108 | Over 158.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 158.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 158.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona is expected to win decisively, likely covering the large spread. The Wildcats' superior talent, depth, and home-court advantage should lead to a comfortable victory. Denver may struggle to keep the game close, but their effort could prevent a blowout.
Predicted Score: Arizona Wildcats 82, Denver Pioneers 68