Match Analysis: Lamar Cardinals vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Neutral Site / ESPN+ Broadcast
Game Overview
The Lamar Cardinals (3-1) face the Oakland Golden Grizzlies (1-5) in a closely matched NCAA basketball game. Oakland is currently 1.5-point favorite with a total over/under of 151.5. Oakland struggles defensively, allowing 86.2 points per game and being out-rebounded, while Lamar has a slightly better record and stronger shooting efficiency. Both teams have shown tendencies toward higher scoring games recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lamar is 3-1 with solid offensive stats, shooting 46.1% from the field and averaging 79 points per game, ranking 172nd nationally. Oakland is 1-5, scoring 81.2 points but allowing 86.2, indicating defensive weaknesses. Oakland also struggles with rebounding, averaging 28.5 boards compared to 34.3 by opponents. Lamar averages 38.3 rebounds per game and has a better turnover margin.
- No recent direct matchups listed, but current trends favor Lamar. Oakland is 0-5 in recent games, while Lamar is 3-1. Previous betting lines give Oakland a slight edge on spread, but public bets favor Lamar for ATS.
- No specific injury information found in available data for either team for this match.
- Game is at a neutral site, reducing home-court advantage. Broadcast on ESPN+ at 4 p.m. ET. Recent betting trends show public evenly split on moneyline while leaning towards Oakland on spread. Oakland's poor recent form (0-5) is a concern.
- Lamar aims to solidify a strong start with a 3-1 record, while Oakland looks to break a 5-game losing streak and improve early season momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lamar Cardinals: -111, Oakland Golden Grizzlies: -108 | Lamar Cardinals win | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Lamar Cardinals: -1.5 100, Oakland Golden Grizzlies: +1.5 -122 | Lamar covers the spread (+1.5) | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 151.5: -110, Under 151.5: -110 | Over 151.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lamar Cardinals -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 151.5 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 151.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lamar narrowly wins by 1 point, 78-77, with a strong chance to cover the small +1.5 spread. The game is expected to go over the 151.5 total points line, driven by Oakland's porous defense and Lamar's efficient offense.
Predicted Score: Lamar Cardinals 78, Oakland Golden Grizzlies 77