Match Analysis: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Liberty Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, Louisiana
Game Overview
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (5-5) host the Liberty Flames (4-6) in a Conference USA matchup expected to be closely contested. Oddsmakers have the Liberty Flames favored by a slight spread, indicating a marginal advantage, but overall the game projects to be competitive with a total points line set near 44.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Louisiana Tech holds a slightly better overall season record at 5-5 compared to Liberty's 4-6. Louisiana Tech has performed better against the spread with a 6-4 record, while Liberty is 3-7 ATS. Liberty averages around 50 points total per game, both home and away; Louisiana Tech's scoring average is slightly lower but consistent. Recent trends indicate Louisiana Tech has a mixed performance in recent games, going 2-3 in the last 5 and 3-2 ATS, while Liberty's ATS results show more struggles.
- No specific detailed historical head-to-head stats are provided in the data, but past performance suggests a tight competitive balance between these teams within the CUSA conference.
- No current injury reports are available from the sourced information, indicating no notable absences impacting key players for either team at this time.
- Game will be played at Joe Aillet Stadium with mild weather conditions (77Β°F, 0% rain), which should not significantly impact gameplay. Liberty is traveling away from home which can be a slight disadvantage compared to Louisiana Tech.
- Louisiana Tech has a marginally better record and a home field advantage, increasing their motivation to secure a winning finish to the season. Liberty, slightly under .500, is motivated to upset a conference rival to improve their standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liberty Flames: -112, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: -108 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | β β β ββ 57% |
| Spread | Liberty Flames: -1.5 -105, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: +1.5 -115 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 44.5 -112, Under: 44.5 -108 | Over 44.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 44.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are predicted to win a close game, leveraging their home advantage and better ATS performance this season. The expected final score leans toward a narrow Bulldog victory with both teams likely scoring near their season averages.
Predicted Score: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26, Liberty Flames 22