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South Alabama Jaguars vs. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Alabama

Game Overview

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-3) visit the South Alabama Jaguars (3-7) in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Southern Miss enters the game as a slight favorite with a 1.5-point spread, and the total points line is set at 54.5. Southern Miss has a strong ground game and a solid defense, while South Alabama has shown resilience at home despite their losing record. The game is expected to feature closely contested play with a potential for a moderately paced scoring affair.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southern Miss holds a 7-3 overall record with a 5-1 Sun Belt conference mark, showing strong recent performance including five wins in their last six games. South Alabama is struggling at 3-7 overall and 2-4 in conference but has won its last three home games as underdogs, showing a capacity to upset favored opponents at Hancock Whitney Stadium.
  • Southern Miss has historically struggled on the road in Alabama, losing seven of their last eight games there. South Alabama, meanwhile, has lost each of its last six games at home against conference opponents but has recently covered the spread in six of its last seven home games. Southern Miss has covered in three of their last four November games as a road favorite.
  • No significant injury updates were reported in the available data, suggesting both teams are expected to field their usual starters without major absences.
  • The game will be played at South Alabama's home stadium, giving the Jaguars a home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are not noted as factors. Southern Miss has a slight edge in motivation due to superior recent form and conference standing.
  • Southern Miss aims to cement their strong season and improve their Sun Belt standing, while South Alabama looks to capitalize on home momentum and spite recent struggles by upsetting a favored team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Alabama Jaguars: -102, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -118 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles to win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread South Alabama Jaguars: +1.5 -110, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -1.5 -110 Take Southern Miss -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over: 54.5 -115, Under: 54.5 -105 Under 54.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 54.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southern Miss Golden Eagles are predicted to win a close game given their superior record, balanced offense, and recent form, although the short spread and South Alabama's strong home underdog history indicate a competitive contest.

Predicted Score: Southern Miss 28 – South Alabama 24


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Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Oregon Ducks vs USC Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon

Game Overview

The Oregon Ducks host the USC Trojans in a crucial late-season NCAA football matchup. Oregon enters as a defensive powerhouse with strong offensive capability, while USC boasts an explosive offense averaging nearly 40 points per game and solid rushing attack. The game features a spread of Oregon favored by 9.5 points with a total points over/under set at 59.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • USC averages 39.6 points per game and allows 21.8 points on defense, with a strong 7.61 yards per play and balanced rushing attack (1,802 rushing yards with 24 touchdowns). Oregon averages 38.7 points per game and has elite defense that could slow USC's aggressive offense.
  • Historical data not explicitly provided, but Oregon has home advantage at Autzen Stadium. Betting lines show Oregon as a clear favorite, indicating recent performances and matchup trends favor Oregon.
  • No specific injury reports are available in the current data for either team, suggesting both squads are likely near full strength for this matchup.
  • Game played at Oregon’s home stadium, a factor favoring the Ducks. Weather or other environmental conditions around late November in Eugene could be cool, possibly impacting offensive rhythm but not detailed here.
  • Late-season pivotal game with conference and potentially national playoff implications. Oregon’s motivation is to protect home field advantage, while USC aims to prove their offensive prowess on hostile turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oregon Ducks: -375, USC Trojans: 295 Oregon Ducks win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Oregon Ducks: -9.5 -112, USC Trojans: +9.5 -108 USC Trojans +9.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 59.5 -108, Under: 59.5 -112 Over 59.5 total points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oregon Ducks -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 59.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 59.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Oregon's home advantage and defensive strength, USC's dynamic offense and efficiency make them a strong challenger. Oregon is favored to win but by less than the 9.5 points spread. The game is expected to be high-scoring and competitive.

Predicted Score: Oregon Ducks 35 – USC Trojans 28


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Mohammed Alakel vs. Jiaming Li Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mohammed Alakel vs Jiaming Li – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 22, 2025
  • Time: 8:20 PM UTC
  • Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Mohammed Alakel faces Jiaming Li in a super featherweight bout scheduled for 6 rounds at the Ring IV: Night of Champions event in Riyadh. This is a preliminary card fight preceding major title bouts featuring David Benavidez vs. Anthony Yarde and Devin Haney vs. Brian Norman Jr. Alakel appears to be the heavily favored fighter based on the moneyline odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Limited publicly available detailed performance statistics for both fighters in the search results. Mohammed Alakel's recent fight record shows bouts against Travis Crawford (Sep 2025), Yumnam Santosh Singh (Aug 2025), Alexander Morales (May 2025), and Engel Gomez (Feb 2025). Alakel has expressed enthusiasm about fighting in Riyadh, indicating familiarity with the region and potential comfort fighting in this location.
  • This appears to be the first matchup between Mohammed Alakel and Jiaming Li based on available information. No prior head-to-head history is documented.
  • No injury reports or fitness concerns are mentioned in the available search results for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of a stacked card with multiple title fights, which may affect crowd energy and atmosphere. The event is being held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which is Alakel's home region advantage. The fight is a preliminary bout on the early portion of the card, starting at 4:30 PM ET.
  • Both fighters are competing on a prestigious platform with major title fights on the same card. For a preliminary bout, this represents significant exposure and opportunity. Alakel's familiarity with Riyadh may provide mental comfort and home-ring advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alakel -10000 / Li +2200 Mohammed Alakel victory ★★★★★ 98%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mohammed Alakel -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohammed Alakel at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mohammed Alakel is predicted to win this matchup. The extreme moneyline odds (-10000 for Alakel vs. +2200 for Li) suggest the bookmakers have significant confidence in Alakel's victory. The likelihood of an upset victory by Jiaming Li appears minimal based on the wagering markets.

Predicted Score: Mohammed Alakel via decision or stoppage (specific round prediction unavailable due to limited fighter statistics)


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Belal Muhammad vs. Ian Garry Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Belal Muhammad vs Ian Garry – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 22, 2025
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in available data

Game Overview

Belal Muhammad faces Ian Garry in a UFC matchup where Muhammad enters with notable physical disadvantages. Muhammad will be fighting at a 4-inch height disadvantage and a 2.5-inch reach disadvantage against Garry. This is a significant physical mismatch that will heavily influence fight dynamics, striking exchanges, and clinch control. The odds heavily favor Garry, reflecting both his physical advantages and likely superior striking range and defensive capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Current form and recent fight results for both fighters are not available in the provided data. Historical win-loss records and recent performance trends would be critical to assess momentum and conditioning levels.
  • No previous matchup history between Belal Muhammad and Ian Garry is available in the provided data. This appears to be their first encounter.
  • No injury information is available for either fighter at this time.
  • The significant physical disadvantage (4 inches in height, 2.5 inches in reach) for Belal Muhammad is the primary external factor. This could impact his ability to establish distance, defend takedowns effectively, and control the fight's range.
  • Specific motivation factors are not available in the provided data. However, Belal Muhammad may be motivated to overcome the physical disadvantage, while Garry would be seeking to capitalize on his significant reach and height advantages.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Belal Muhammad +220 / Ian Garry -270 Ian Garry victory ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Belal Muhammad +3.5 (-135) / Ian Garry -3.5 (100) Ian Garry wins by more than 3.5 rounds (or Belal Muhammad loses by 3.5 or fewer rounds) ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-315) / Under 2.5 (230) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ian Garry 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 151%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 151% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ian Garry is the strong favorite with a -270 moneyline. The physical advantages and betting odds suggest Garry should control the fight, particularly in striking exchanges where his reach advantage is most pronounced. However, Muhammad's willingness to fight at a disadvantage and potential grappling or clinch-oriented strategy could provide paths to competitive rounds or an upset victory.

Predicted Score: Ian Garry wins by decision or submission, likely in rounds 2-3. Estimated 29-28 or 30-27 scorecard in Garry's favor if going to decision, reflecting his physical advantages in striking and range control. Potential for early finish (Rounds 1-2) given the significant reach disparity favoring Garry.


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Chris Price vs. Artūrs Leisāns Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Price vs Artūrs Leisāns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 8:10 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Chris Price faces Artūrs Leisāns in a lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 198, scheduled for November 22, 2025, at the BEC Arena in Manchester. Both fighters are experienced in the division, with Price holding a 6-1 record and Leisāns at 9-9-1. The fight is part of the Cage Warriors Fighting Championship (CWFC) and is expected to be a competitive matchup, with Price favored by the bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Price has a strong recent form, with a record of 6 wins and 1 loss, including 1 KO/TKO and 4 submission victories. Artūrs Leisāns has a more balanced record of 9 wins, 9 losses, and 1 draw, with 7 KO/TKO wins, 1 submission, and 1 decision win. Price's recent winning streak and higher submission rate suggest he may have an edge in grappling and finishing fights.
  • There is no prior head-to-head record between Chris Price and Artūrs Leisāns, making this a fresh matchup with no direct history to analyze.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event.
  • The fight takes place at the BEC Arena in Manchester, which is Price's home turf, potentially providing a home advantage. The event is part of Cage Warriors 198, a well-known MMA promotion, and is expected to draw a significant crowd.
  • Both fighters are motivated to bounce back from recent setbacks. Price is looking to extend his winning streak, while Leisāns aims to recover from a series of losses and draws.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Artūrs Leisāns: 275, Chris Price: -450 Chris Price Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Price -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Price at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Price is favored to win this bout due to his recent form, higher submission rate, and home advantage. However, Artūrs Leisāns has a strong record and could pose a significant challenge, especially if the fight goes to a decision.

Predicted Score: Chris Price wins by submission in the second round


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Paris Saint Germain vs. Le Havre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Le Havre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 8:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Parc des Princes, Paris, France

Game Overview

This Ligue 1 clash sees league leaders Paris Saint-Germain host 12th-placed Le Havre at the Parc des Princes. PSG enters as overwhelming favorites, boasting a dominant head-to-head record and superior form, while Le Havre struggles for consistency and faces a tough away fixture against a powerhouse side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Paris Saint-Germain is in strong form, currently leading Ligue 1 with a record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 18 goals and conceding 21. Their recent results include wins over Brest (3-0) and Nice (1-0), as well as a draw against Lorient (1-1). Le Havre, in contrast, sits 12th with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Their recent form is mixed, with a tendency to draw and struggle for goals.
  • PSG has dominated the historical meetings, winning 10 of the last 11 encounters across all competitions, with Le Havre failing to win any of the past 9 meetings. The most recent head-to-head record shows PSG with 5 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 matches. PSG has scored 37 goals in these 9 meetings, while Le Havre has managed only 6. Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches, indicating a trend of goals at both ends.
  • PSG is missing key players due to injury: Achraf Hakimi, Nuno Mendes, Désiré Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé. Le Havre has no reported unavailable players, giving them a full squad for selection.
  • PSG will play at home in front of a strong crowd at the Parc des Princes, providing a significant advantage. Le Havre's away form is less consistent, and they face a PSG side with a strong home record in head-to-head fixtures.
  • PSG is motivated to maintain their league lead and continue their dominance over Le Havre. Le Havre will look to secure points to improve their mid-table position and potentially upset the odds, but their recent record against PSG is discouraging.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Le Havre: 1200, Paris Saint Germain: -675, Draw: 750 Paris Saint Germain ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Le Havre: 2 -108, Paris Saint Germain: -2 -112 Paris Saint Germain -2 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over: 3.25 100, Under: 3.25 -120 Over 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paris Saint Germain -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paris Saint-Germain is heavily favored to win this match based on their superior form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage. Despite missing some key players, PSG's depth and attacking quality should be enough to overcome Le Havre. Le Havre may score, but PSG is expected to win comfortably.

Predicted Score: 4-1


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Villarreal vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal hosts Mallorca in a La Liga fixture at Estadio de la Cerámica. Villarreal comes into the match with strong form, ranking 3rd in the league with 26 points from 12 games, while Mallorca is positioned 15th with 12 points. Villarreal has been undefeated at home in recent matches and has shown solid attacking and defensive performance, whereas Mallorca has had an inconsistent campaign with mixed results and struggles for consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has scored 14 goals in the last 5 matches and holds the most clean sheets in the league (6). They are unbeaten in La Liga since early October and have won their last two league matches against Mallorca. Mallorca has scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets in 6 recent games, showing some improvement but inconsistent overall.
  • Villarreal has a favorable recent head-to-head record against Mallorca, winning the last two encounters including a 4-0 home victory in their most recent meeting. Across the last 10 meetings, Villarreal won 5 times, Mallorca 3 times, with 2 draws.
  • No specific injury updates are reported for either side from available data, suggesting both teams may have their key players available.
  • The match is played at Villarreal’s home ground, providing them a home advantage. There is no indication of adverse weather or other external disruptions affecting the game environment.
  • Villarreal aims to consolidate their strong start to the season and maintain top positions in the table. Mallorca seeks to improve their form and avoid slipping further down the standings, aiming to gain points away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mallorca: 5.75, Villarreal: -2.4, Draw: 3.85 Villarreal Win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Mallorca: 1.25, villarreal: -1.25 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.75, Under: 2.75 Over 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal is favored to win given their superior form, home advantage, and head-to-head dominance. A competitive match is expected, but Villarreal’s strength suggests a 2-1 victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Jon Fernandez vs. Armando Casamonica Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jon Fernandez vs Armando Casamonica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

The bout between Jon Fernandez and Armando Casamonica on November 22, 2025, is an eagerly anticipated contest for the European junior welterweight title. Fernandez, a more experienced fighter with a record of 27-3 and 22 knockouts, has held titles and proven himself against high-level opponents. Casamonica, younger and with a record of 15-1 and 3 KOs, is on the rise with regional youth and national titles. The fight is set in Spain, favoring Casamonica’s home advantage but Fernandez has a four-fight winning streak including notable victories late in his career. Both fighters bring contrasting styles and motivation levels to a highly competitive fight at 140 pounds, promising a tactical and potentially explosive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jon Fernandez boasts a recent four-fight winning streak with wins over seasoned opponents and championship experience, while Armando Casamonica is undefeated in his last several fights but with fewer knockout power. Fernandez’s experience at high levels and resilience contrasts with Casamonica’s youth, speed, and recent momentum including winning the EBU Silver title.
  • No direct prior fights between Jon Fernandez and Armando Casamonica have been documented, making this their first professional encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, indicating both are stepping into the ring in full health and peak condition.
  • The fight takes place in Casamonica's home country of Spain, potentially giving him home crowd support. Fernandez’s experience fighting internationally might partly mitigate home advantage. No weather or travel issues reported.
  • Fernandez is motivated by a European title and to extend his winning streak at an advanced stage of his career, while Casamonica seeks to solidify his rising star status by officially claiming European honors in front of home fans.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Armando Casamonica: 220, Jon Fernandez: -280 Jon Fernandez ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Fernandez -1.5 rounds: -150; Casamonica +1.5 rounds: +130 Fernandez to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 9.5 rounds: -110; Under 9.5 rounds: -110 Under 9.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Armando Casamonica -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Armando Casamonica at -16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jon Fernandez is favored to win given his experience, knockout power, and current momentum, with a likelihood of a decision or late stoppage against Casamonica who will seek to leverage youth and home advantage but may struggle to match Fernandez's technical and tactical craft.

Predicted Score: Fernandez wins by late-round TKO or unanimous decision, with the fight likely ending between rounds 9 and 12


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Sparta Rotterdam vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Het Kasteel, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Game Overview

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Fortuna Sittard in a mid-table Eredivisie clash at Het Kasteel. Both teams are seeking consistency, with Sparta Rotterdam currently sitting in 11th place and Fortuna Sittard close behind. The match is expected to be competitive, with both sides capable of scoring but also vulnerable defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sparta Rotterdam has shown mixed results this season, with a tendency to score and concede in equal measure. Fortuna Sittard has struggled for consistency, often alternating between strong and poor performances. Both teams have a similar points tally, indicating a closely matched contest.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been evenly split, with both teams winning and drawing in their last five encounters. The last meeting ended in a draw, suggesting neither side has a clear psychological edge.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • The match will be played at Het Kasteel, where Sparta Rotterdam has a slight home advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb the table and secure a top-half finish. Sparta Rotterdam will be keen to capitalize on home support, while Fortuna Sittard aims to improve their away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortuna Sittard: 280, Sparta Rotterdam: -110, Draw: 260 Sparta Rotterdam Not available
Spread Fortuna Sittard: 50 -112, Sparta Rotterdam: -0.5 -108 Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 Not available
Over/under Over: 2.75 -110, Under: 2.75 -110 Over 2.75 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sparta Rotterdam -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match is expected, with both teams likely to create scoring opportunities. Sparta Rotterdam's home advantage may give them a slight edge, but Fortuna Sittard's attacking potential cannot be ignored. A draw or a narrow home win is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston State Bearkats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Johnny 'Red' Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, Tennessee

Game Overview

This CUSA Conference matchup features two struggling FBS programs competing in their penultimate regular season game. Middle Tennessee (1-9, 0-6 CUSA) hosts Sam Houston (2-8, 1-5 CUSA) in a critical contest for both teams seeking to build momentum heading into the final week. Sam Houston enters the game riding a three-game winning streak (defeating Oregon State 21-17 and Delaware 26-23), while Middle Tennessee is seeking to end a prolonged losing streak. The oddsmakers favor Middle Tennessee at home despite comparable overall records, suggesting confidence in MTSU's ability to perform in their home stadium.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sam Houston has demonstrated significant momentum in recent weeks with consecutive wins, showcasing improved turnover management with a +5 turnover margin in their last two victories. However, their overall season record of 2-8 reflects significant inconsistency. Middle Tennessee's 1-9 record is marginally worse, with their single conference win being against Jacksonville State (24-21). Both teams rank among the conference's weakest performers this season. Sam Houston has shown resilience against ranked opponents, losing to #8 Texas 55-0, while Middle Tennessee's losses have been competitive (Wisconsin 42-10, Marshall 42-28, Delaware 31-28). Sam Houston's three November wins represent a 7-2 November record across three FBS seasons, indicating the Bearkats perform better in late-season games.
  • This is only the fourth meeting between these programs, with Sam Houston leading the all-time series 2-1. Their most recent matchup occurred in 2023 when Sam Houston overcame a fourth-quarter deficit to defeat Middle Tennessee 23-20. This historical advantage slightly favors Sam Houston, though the series is competitive.
  • No specific injury information is available in the provided data for either team. This represents a significant analytical gap, as injuries to key players could substantially impact team performance.
  • Sam Houston is completing their final road trip of the 2025 season, which may affect player fatigue and focus. Middle Tennessee plays at home, a traditional advantage in college football. Neither team has postseason implications at this stage, potentially reducing motivation compared to playoff-contending programs. The game time has multiple references (3 PM, 8 PM EST), suggesting possible scheduling adjustments.
  • Sam Houston is seeking a third consecutive win to build momentum and finish the season strong, which aligns with their historical November success. Middle Tennessee is searching for a second conference win and first home conference victory to salvage their season. Both teams are essentially playing for pride and program positioning at this stage of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline MTSU -258 / SHSU +210 Sam Houston State Bearkats to WIN ★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread MTSU -7 (-108) / SHSU +7 (-112) Sam Houston +7 COVER ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under Over 54.5 (-110) / Under 54.5 (-110) Under 54.5 ★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 124%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 54.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at 124% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite oddsmakers favoring Middle Tennessee, Sam Houston's recent form and historical advantage in the series present compelling value. The Bearkats' three-game winning streak, improved turnover management, and strong November track record (7-2 over three seasons) suggest they are the more confident team entering this matchup. However, Middle Tennessee's home-field advantage and slightly better recent competitive losses temper this assessment. The predictive model slightly favors Sam Houston to cover the spread given their momentum and series history, though Middle Tennessee remains a viable home underdog play.

Predicted Score: Middle Tennessee 27, Sam Houston 24


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