Match Analysis: Colorado St Rams vs Denver Pioneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Moby Arena, Fort Collins, CO

Game Overview

The NCAA Men's Basketball game features Colorado State Rams hosting Denver Pioneers. Colorado State holds a perfect 4-0 overall record and strong home performance with 3-0 at home, whereas Denver Pioneers are struggling with a 1-3 overall record and away record at 0-1. Betting markets strongly favor Colorado State both on the moneyline and spread, underscoring their superior form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Colorado State Rams have demonstrated dominant performance this season with a 4-0 record and a 3-0 home record, showing offensive and defensive efficiency. Denver Pioneers have a weaker 1-3 record, including 0-1 on the road, indicating challenges, especially away from home.
• Historically and recently, Colorado State Rams have had the upper hand over Denver Pioneers in head-to-head matchups, contributing to the current odds heavily favoring the home team.
• No significant injuries reported for either team in the given data, suggesting both squads will field their expected starters without key absences.
• The game is played at Colorado State's home venue, which benefits the Rams. No weather impacts as it is an indoor basketball event. The Rams' home court and current undefeated streak enhance their confidence.
• Colorado State Rams are motivated to sustain their perfect season start and home winning streak. Denver Pioneers aim to rebound from a challenging start and gain momentum by securing an upset on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Colorado St Rams: -2400, Denver Pioneers: 1200	Colorado St Rams	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	Colorado St Rams: -18.5 -108, Denver Pioneers: 18.5 -112	Colorado St Rams to cover -18.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 151.5 -115, Under: 151.5 -105	Under 151.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Colorado St Rams -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 151.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Colorado State Rams are expected to win convincingly given their dominant form, home advantage, and favorable matchup against struggling Denver Pioneers.

Predicted Score: Colorado State Rams 82 – Denver Pioneers 65

Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs New Orleans Privateers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 21, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs (4-2) host the New Orleans Privateers (2-2) in a college basketball matchup featuring a significant talent and form disparity. Fresno State enters as clear favorites with superior shooting efficiency, defensive performance, and recent form, while New Orleans arrives as an underdog seeking to snap a losing streak against a strong non-conference opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State averages 77.3 points on 49.8% shooting while holding opponents to 68.3 points on 43.4% shooting, demonstrating balanced offensive firepower and defensive strength. New Orleans averages 75 points on 42.3% shooting while allowing 80 points on 40.9% shooting, indicating offensive inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities. Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno State with 16.7 points and 2.5 rebounds, while Zaon Collins contributes 15.5 points and 5.2 assists. Coleton Benson anchors New Orleans with 20.5 points and 4 rebounds, though Jakevion Buckley provides limited secondary scoring at 13.8 points. Fresno State has won three consecutive games, while New Orleans has lost its last game.
• New Orleans has lost 31 of its last 37 games against non-conference opponents, a critical weakness against a team like Fresno State. Fresno State has won each of its last three games against Southland Conference opponents and shows particular strength at home. The home team has won the first half in six of New Orleans' last eight games, suggesting early-game struggles for the Privateers.
• No significant injury information is available from the provided sources.
• Eight of Fresno State's last nine games at Save Mart Center produced totals of 151 or fewer points, indicating a defensive-minded environment at home. Six of New Orleans' last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents produced totals of 152 or fewer points, supporting a lower-scoring projection. Fresno State has lost five of its last six night games following a home win, a potential vulnerability despite their overall form. The game tips off late at night for a West Coast home team, which typically favors the home squad.
• Fresno State seeks to extend its winning streak and maintain undefeated home record. New Orleans aims to break a losing streak and gain confidence against a superior opponent. Fresno State's dominant home record and recent form provide strong motivational advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State -218 / New Orleans +180	Fresno State Bulldogs	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Fresno State -5.5 -110 / New Orleans +5.5 -110	Fresno State -5.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 154.5 -112 / Under 154.5 -108	Under 154.5	★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fresno St Bulldogs 92%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 154.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fresno St Bulldogs at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State Bulldogs will defeat New Orleans Privateers by 6-8 points in a low-scoring, defensive battle. The Bulldogs' superior shooting efficiency, defensive capability, home-court advantage, and dominant recent form outweigh any potential vulnerabilities from night-game performance patterns. New Orleans' inability to compete against non-conference opponents combined with inconsistent scoring makes them unlikely to overcome the talent and form differential despite Benson's scoring ability.

Predicted Score: Fresno State 76, New Orleans 69

Match Analysis: Grand Canyon Antelopes vs Northwestern St Demons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Global Credit Union Arena, Phoenix, AZ

Game Overview

The Grand Canyon Antelopes (2-2) face the Northwestern St Demons (1-4) in a college basketball NCAAB matchup. The Antelopes are strong home favorites, with a powerful home court record and solid recent performance. Northwestern State is struggling, particularly on the road with a losing streak in away games and poor defensive stats. The match has a high projected scoring total and Grand Canyon is expected to dominate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Grand Canyon has a 2-2 record, going 2-1 at home, and averages 25 points more scored than Northwestern State. Their defense is ranked 43rd nationally in field goal % allowed. Northwestern State has lost 4 of their 5 games, including all 4 away games, and has a low-performing defense ranked in the bottom 30 nationally.
• Recent direct matchups heavily favor Grand Canyon, who have won 34 of their last 36 home games, with Northwestern State losing 16 consecutive night non-conference road games.
• There are no major reported injuries impacting either team ahead of this game.
• The game takes place in Phoenix, Arizona, benefiting home team Grand Canyon. Northwestern State faces travel fatigue from frequent road games this season. The venue creates a significant home court advantage for Grand Canyon.
• Grand Canyon aims to rebound after a recent road loss and reinforce their home dominance. Northwestern State seeks to end their losing streak and avoid a fifth road loss in six games, but their recent form suggests low confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Grand Canyon Antelopes: -2100, Northwestern St Demons: 1100	Grand Canyon Antelopes to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Grand Canyon Antelopes: -16.5 -112, Northwestern St Demons: +16.5 -108	Grand Canyon to cover the -16.5 spread	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 150.5 -115, Under: 150.5 -105	Over 150.5 points scored	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Grand Canyon Antelopes -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 150.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grand Canyon Antelopes are heavily favored to win convincingly, with a strong probability to cover the large spread and likely push the total points over the set line.

Predicted Score: Grand Canyon Antelopes 89 – Northwestern St Demons 66

Match Analysis: Damion Nelson vs Dakota Hope – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bayou City Event Center, Houston, Texas, United States

Game Overview

Fury Challenger Series 15 features a featherweight main event where Damion Nelson faces Dakota Hope at 145 lbs. This event is a key platform for regional MMA prospects aiming to advance to global MMA stages. Both fighters bring strong records and skills, making this a highly anticipated matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damion Nelson holds a professional MMA record of 9-4-0 and fights out of New York. Dakota Hope owns an undefeated record of 9-0-0. Nelson has more experience but Hope is unbeaten, indicating a rising prospect versus a seasoned competitor dynamic.
• This fight is their first head-to-head meeting, so direct comparative data is unavailable. Analysis relies on overall records, fighting styles, and recent form.
• No public information on injuries for either Damion Nelson or Dakota Hope prior to the fight, suggesting both enter in typical health conditions.
• The fight takes place at Nelson's opponent Dakota Hope's regional venue in Houston, Texas, possibly providing home crowd advantage to Hope. The event is also broadcast live on UFC Fight Pass, heightening stakes. No other major external disruptions are noted.
• Both fighters are motivated by the opportunity this fight presents as a stepping stone to higher-level competition and potentially the UFC. Dakota Hope, as undefeated, aims to maintain his perfect record; Nelson seeks to leverage his experience for a signature win against an unbeaten foe.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Damion Nelson: -175, Dakota Hope: +135	Dakota Hope	★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread	Damion Nelson -1.5: -120, Dakota Hope +1.5: +100	Dakota Hope +1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Damion Nelson 48%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Damion Nelson at 48% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dakota Hope is predicted to win due to his undefeated record and momentum from regional circuit success, combined with slight home advantage. Nelson's experience poses a significant challenge, but Hope's confidence and form give him the edge in a competitive matchup.

Predicted Score: Dakota Hope wins via unanimous decision (3-0) after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: New Mexico St Aggies vs Samford Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Pan American Center, Las Cruces

Game Overview

This matchup features the New Mexico State Aggies (3-0) hosting the Samford Bulldogs (3-3) in a non-conference game. The Aggies are undefeated and have shown strong defensive efficiency, while Samford has been inconsistent but capable of scoring. The game is part of the early season slate, with both teams looking to build momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• New Mexico State has won each of its last nine home games and is ranked 69th nationally in points allowed per game (66.0). They force 18.7 turnovers per game and allow opponents to shoot just 39.1% from the field. Samford averages 78.0 points per game (209th in D-1) but shoots only 41.2% from the field and 34.9% from three. The Bulldogs are strong in assists (90, 40th in D-1) but give up 15.5 fouls per game.
• No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• The game is being played at Pan American Center, where New Mexico State has a strong home record. The Aggies have won the first half in six of their last seven home games.
• New Mexico State is motivated to maintain its undefeated record and strong home streak. Samford is looking to bounce back after a mixed start and prove itself against a higher-level opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	New Mexico St Aggies: -310, Samford Bulldogs: 250	New Mexico St Aggies	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	New Mexico St Aggies: -6.5 -115, Samford Bulldogs: 6.5 -105	New Mexico St Aggies -6.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 143.5 -115, Under: 143.5 -105	Under 143.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	New Mexico St Aggies -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 143.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico State is favored due to their strong defense, home-court advantage, and recent form. Samford's offensive inconsistencies and higher turnover rate make it difficult to see them pulling off an upset. The Aggies are likely to control the pace and limit Samford's scoring opportunities.

Predicted Score: New Mexico State Aggies 72, Samford Bulldogs 68

Match Analysis: Pepperdine Waves vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA

Game Overview

This NCAA Men's Basketball matchup features the Pepperdine Waves (3-2) hosting the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (4-1) at Firestone Fieldhouse. Both teams are coming off recent wins, with Pepperdine defeating New Orleans 90-79 and Stephen F. Austin narrowly losing to Fresno State 78-80. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and a tendency to score above 140 points in most games recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pepperdine has been scoring over 140 points in 77% of their games this month and over 130 points in 88% of their games. They have also scored over 75 points in the first half in 77% of their games. Stephen F. Austin has scored over 80 points in the first half in 66% of their games and over 75 points in the first half in 66% of their games. Both teams have shown a strong offensive output, with Pepperdine averaging 90 points per game and Stephen F. Austin averaging 84 points per game.
• This is only the second meeting between the two programs. Pepperdine won the lone previous meeting 77-53 on December 11, 1993, at a neutral site in Waco, Texas. There is no recent head-to-head history to draw from for this matchup.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game.
• The game is being played at Pepperdine's home court, Firestone Fieldhouse, which could provide a slight home advantage. The venue is known for its supportive crowd, which may influence the game's atmosphere and momentum.
• Both teams are motivated to continue their strong starts to the season. Pepperdine is looking to build on their recent win over New Orleans, while Stephen F. Austin is aiming to bounce back from their narrow loss to Fresno State. The game is also part of a series of early-season matchups that could impact their conference standings and national rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pepperdine Waves: -102, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: -118	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Pepperdine Waves: 1.5 -118, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: -1.5 -102	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 151.5 -112, Under: 151.5 -108	Over 151.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 151.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 151.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the strong offensive performances of both teams and the lack of significant injuries, this game is expected to be high-scoring. Pepperdine's home advantage and recent form suggest they may have a slight edge, but Stephen F. Austin's strong record and recent performances make them a formidable opponent. The game is likely to be close, with both teams capable of scoring over 150 points.

Predicted Score: Pepperdine Waves 82 – 85 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs UC Davis Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 21, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: CU Events Center, Boulder, Colorado

Game Overview

The undefeated Colorado Buffaloes (4-0) host the UC Davis Aggies (4-1) in a non-conference college basketball matchup. Colorado enters as a heavy favorite with a 15.5-point spread, reflecting their dominant start to the season and home-court advantage. UC Davis, despite a strong 4-1 record, will be tested against the nation's more efficient offensive team.

Key Factors to Consider

• Colorado has established itself as an elite offensive force, scoring approximately 94.3 points per game—16.1 points more than UC Davis's 78.2 PPG average. Colorado shoots 51% from the field and 35% from three-point range, significantly outpacing UC Davis's 46.6% field goal percentage and 34.9% three-point shooting. Defensively, Colorado holds UC Davis to 69.6 PPG allowed (119th nationally). Colorado has won 19 consecutive non-conference games at home and won the first half in 27 of their last 31 home games against non-conference opponents.
• No prior matchup history between these programs is provided in available data. This represents a first encounter between Colorado and UC Davis.
• No injury information is available in the provided data.
• UC Davis has struggled on the road, losing three of their last four away games. Colorado is playing their fifth consecutive home game to start the season, providing continuity and comfort in their home environment. The Acrisure Holiday Classic tournament setting may carry additional significance.
• Colorado seeks to remain undefeated and continue their dominant home winning streak. UC Davis aims to prove their legitimacy as a 4-1 team and secure a notable road victory against a higher-profile program.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Colorado -1800 | UC Davis +1000	Colorado Buffaloes to win	★★★★★ 94%
Spread	Colorado -15.5 -108 | UC Davis +15.5 -112	Colorado to cover the -15.5 spread	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 154.5 -112 | Under 154.5 -108	Over 154.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Colorado Buffaloes -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 154.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Colorado Buffaloes will defeat UC Davis Aggies convincingly. The Buffaloes' superior offensive efficiency, elite shooting percentages, and dominant home record create a significant mismatch. UC Davis's defensive limitations and road struggles make them vulnerable to Colorado's balanced attack. Expect Colorado to control the game throughout and potentially exceed the spread.

Predicted Score: Colorado 85, UC Davis 68

Match Analysis: Xavier Musketeers vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: TD Arena, Charleston, SC

Game Overview

The Xavier Musketeers (3-2) face the undefeated Georgia Bulldogs (5-0) in a key NCAAB matchup. Georgia comes in heavily favored with strong momentum from a 5-game winning streak and solid defensive and offensive stats. Xavier, although having a home-court edge, has struggled against the spread and will need a strong defensive effort to challenge Georgia.

Key Factors to Consider

• Georgia boasts a perfect 5-0 record this season with an average winning margin and points for/against strongly favoring them. They have consistent performances at home and a dominant scoring and defensive record. Xavier holds a 3-2 record, winning their last game decisively but has gone 1-4 ATS recently and only 0-1 ATS on the road.
• Georgia won the previous encounter against Xavier narrowly (78-76). Historically, Georgia leads in recent performances between the two. The matchup has been competitive but Georgia holds the edge in recent outcomes.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the game date, suggesting both sides will have their key players available.
• The game is played at TD Arena, Charleston, which is technically a neutral venue but closer to Xavier’s home region, possibly giving Xavier a slight familiar environment advantage. However, public betting heavily favors Georgia, indicating a strong consensus on their superiority.
• Georgia aims to continue their undefeated streak and establish dominance early in the season. Xavier looks for a breakthrough upset to boost confidence and season trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Georgia Bulldogs: -550, Xavier Musketeers: 400	Georgia Bulldogs	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Georgia Bulldogs: -9.5 -110, Xavier Musketeers: 9.5 -110	Georgia Bulldogs -9.5	★★★☆☆ 57%
Over/under	Over: 164.5 -110, Under: 164.5 -110	Under 164.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Georgia Bulldogs 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 164.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 164.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Bulldogs win comfortably but may not cover the spread decisively if Xavier plays solid defense. Expect a competitive but controlled game favoring Georgia.

Predicted Score: Georgia Bulldogs 82, Xavier Musketeers 72

Match Analysis: SMU Mustangs vs Arkansas St Red Wolves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Moody Coliseum, Dallas, TX

Game Overview

The SMU Mustangs, undefeated at 5-0 and averaging around 98 points per game over the last three games, host the Arkansas State Red Wolves, who carry a 3-2 record. SMU has demonstrated dominant offensive performances recently, highlighted by a 106-60 win on Nov 18. Arkansas State has shown resilience with wins over Missouri State and Christian Brothers but lost to Saint Mary's on Nov 19. The game features a strong home advantage for SMU and a significant favorite status.

Key Factors to Consider

• SMU is undefeated with a potent offense averaging nearly 98 points in recent games, indicating strong scoring capabilities. Arkansas State has had mixed results, with two recent wins and two losses, including a 72-85 loss to Saint Mary's, a stronger opponent. SMU's offense and defensive consistency are superior overall compared to Arkansas State's more variable performance.
• No explicit recent head-to-head data between SMU Mustangs and Arkansas State Red Wolves in the 2025-26 season was found, suggesting either few matchups or lack of recent direct confrontations.
• No reported injuries or absences for either team were found in the available data, implying both teams are likely at full strength.
• The game is at SMU's home venue Moody Coliseum, which provides a significant home-court advantage. SMU has a strong home record (5-0). Travel and environmental factors likely favor SMU as Arkansas State must travel from Jonesboro to Dallas.
• SMU is motivated to maintain an undefeated record and strong season start, especially playing at home. Arkansas State looks to gain confidence against a tough opponent on the road early in the season to build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Arkansas St Red Wolves: 1100, SMU Mustangs: -2100	SMU Mustangs	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Arkansas St Red Wolves: -112, SMU Mustangs: -108	SMU Mustangs to cover -17.5 points	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: -115, Under: -105	Over 172.5 points	★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	SMU Mustangs -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 172.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 172.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

SMU Mustangs are predicted to win with a strong margin, given their undefeated streak, home advantage, and superior offensive and defensive performances compared to Arkansas State.

Predicted Score: SMU Mustangs 95 – 75 Arkansas State Red Wolves

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Match Analysis: Tsendbaatar Erdenbat vs Abraham Montoya – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: Tirana, Albania (DAZN)

Game Overview

The boxing match between Tsendbaatar Erdenbat and Abraham Montoya is scheduled for 10 rounds in the junior lightweight category. Both boxers have significant professional experience, with Montoya having 31 bouts and Erdenbat having 14. This fight is a co-main event featured on ProBox TV and DAZN, highlighting its prominence.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tsendbaatar Erdenbat has a more limited professional record with 14 bouts but is known for his technique and endurance. Abraham Montoya has a higher experience level with 31 bouts, which may give him an edge in ring generalship and stamina.
• There is no prior recorded head-to-head match between Tsendbaatar Erdenbat and Abraham Montoya, making this their first competitive encounter.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match, indicating both are at full strength.
• The match is hosted in Tirana, Albania, a neutral venue, with coverage by DAZN and ProBox TV, suggesting a high-profile setting but no home advantage for either fighter.
• Both fighters appear motivated to advance their careers with this high-profile bout; Montoya is returning to ProBox TV while Erdenbat seeks to leverage his technical skills to secure a significant win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tsendbaatar Erdenbat: +140, Abraham Montoya: -170	Abraham Montoya	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Tsendbaatar Erdenbat +1.5 rounds: -110, Abraham Montoya -1.5 rounds: -110	Abraham Montoya -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -120, Under 7.5 rounds: +100	Over 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the data, Abraham Montoya’s experience provides him a slight edge over Tsendbaatar Erdenbat. The prediction favors Montoya winning by decision or late stoppage with about 60% confidence, acknowledging Erdenbat’s potential to challenge strongly.

Predicted Score: Montoya wins by unanimous decision, scoring 97-93 or 98-92, reflecting control over most rounds with possible late aggressiveness.