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Cagliari vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cagliari vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Italy

Game Overview

Cagliari hosts Genoa in a crucial Serie A clash with both teams battling for points to avoid relegation. Cagliari sits 14th, while Genoa is 18th, deep in the relegation zone. The match promises intensity, with both sides needing a result to improve their league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cagliari has shown mixed form, winning one away game recently and struggling for consistency. Genoa is also in mixed form, with a poor away record and a recent losing streak. Cagliari averages 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 allowed per game, while Genoa averages 0.43 scored and 1.29 allowed. Genoa has failed to score in 4 of their last matches, while Cagliari has failed in 3.
  • In the last 34 meetings, Cagliari has won 11 times, Genoa 17 times, and 6 ended in draws. Genoa has a slight edge in overall head-to-head record, but Cagliari has won more recently at home. The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • The match is played at Cagliari's home ground, Unipol Domus, which could provide a slight advantage for the home team. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for play.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Genoa fighting to avoid relegation and Cagliari aiming to secure a safer mid-table position. The stakes are high, which could influence the intensity and outcome of the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cagliari: 178, Genoa: 185, Draw: 193 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cagliari: 0 -112, Genoa: 0 -108 Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 105, Under: 2 -125 Under ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams capable of scoring but also vulnerable defensively. A draw is a strong possibility, but Cagliari has a slight edge at home.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Alavés vs. Celta Vigo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Celta Vigo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 22 November 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Deportivo Alavés hosts Celta Vigo in a La Liga matchday fixture at their home stadium. Alavés, sitting 10th in the standings, face an away Celta Vigo side looking to improve their position. This is a strategic defensive clash where Alavés' solid home record and compact defensive system will be tested against Celta's attacking capabilities, highlighted by the form of Borja Iglesias.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have demonstrated exceptional home strength with only one defeat in the current La Liga campaign and have conceded more than one goal in a match just once this season, showcasing a well-organized defensive unit. The team averages 0.9 goals scored per game. Celta Vigo average 1.3 goals per game but struggle significantly against compact defensive organizations, regularly dropping points when facing solid defensive lines. Borja Iglesias leads Celta's attack with 5 goals and 2 assists, ranking 7th in La Liga's top scorers.
  • Over the last 10 encounters, Celta Vigo have dominated with 6 victories compared to Alavés' 2 wins and 2 draws. In last season's matchups, Alavés failed to secure victory, losing 1-2 at Balaidos and drawing 1-1 at Mendizorroza. Head-to-head scoring averages show Alavés at 1.0 goals while Celta average 2.1 goals per game in direct encounters. The historical advantage belongs to Celta despite Alavés' current home-ground strength.
  • Specific injury information is not available in the provided sources. Current team lineups and injury status should be verified through official team announcements prior to match kickoff.
  • Alavés' home advantage at Estadio de Mendizorroza is a significant factor, with the team's fortress-like defense at home. Celta's struggles against defensive systems similar to Alavés' three-central-defender formation present tactical challenges. Weather conditions and crowd support favor the home side.
  • Alavés seek to maintain their impressive home record and consolidate their position in the upper-middle standings. Celta Vigo aim to break their pattern of underperforming against compact defenses and capitalize on their superior recent head-to-head record to climb the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés 151 | Draw 200 | Celta Vigo 205 Alavés Win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Alavés -0.25 112 | Celta Vigo 25 -134 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25 105 | Under 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 56%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alavés are favored to secure a victory at home due to their exceptional defensive organization, limited goals conceded at Mendizorroza, and Celta's documented struggles against defensive compactness. However, Celta's superior head-to-head record and attacking prowess through Borja Iglesias present genuine danger. The match is expected to be low-scoring given both teams' averages and Alavés' defensive strategy.

Predicted Score: Alavés 1-0 Celta Vigo


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Burnley vs. Chelsea Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Burnley vs Chelsea – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley

Game Overview

Chelsea travel to Burnley for a Premier League clash following the international break. Chelsea are in strong form as Club World Cup champions and have won their last two away matches without conceding. Burnley enter the match on a two-match losing streak and face a Chelsea side that has dominated them recently, winning each of their last six Premier League home matches against the Clarets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chelsea currently sit 2nd in the Premier League with 20 points from 11 matches (6W-2D-3L), while Burnley are in 3rd place with 10 points from 11 matches (3W-1D-7L). Chelsea have triumphed in each of their last seven Premier League games played at 12:30pm on Saturdays. Chelsea have also won their last two top-flight away matches without conceding, a feat not accomplished three times in a row since 2021.
  • Burnley have lost each of their last six Premier League home matches against Chelsea. Their most recent encounter at Turf Moor saw Chelsea win 4-1 in October 2023. However, Burnley did secure a creditable 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge later that season. Chelsea have scored at least 3 goals in their last 5 away matches against Burnley across all competitions.
  • No specific injury information provided in available data.
  • Chelsea face Barcelona in the Champions League shortly after this match, potentially providing additional motivation for a strong performance. Burnley's recent form has been inconsistent with a two-match losing run entering the break.
  • Chelsea seek their third consecutive Premier League victory and are well-positioned to capitalize on Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities. Burnley need to halt their losing streak and improve their home record against top opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: 520 | Chelsea: -210 | Draw: 330 Chelsea Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Burnley +1.5 (-171) | Chelsea -1.5 (128) Chelsea -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-139) | Under 2.5 (105) Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chelsea 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chelsea 1-3 Burnley is the primary analytical prediction, though Chelsea are significantly favored to win. Chelsea's superior form, strong away record, dominance in the head-to-head matchup, and consistent performance in Saturday lunchtime kickoffs make them the clear favorites. Burnley may secure a consolation goal but are unlikely to overcome Chelsea's quality.

Predicted Score: Burnley 1-3 Chelsea


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Bristol City vs. Swansea City Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bristol City vs Swansea City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ashton Gate, Bristol, England

Game Overview

The EFL Championship match features Bristol City hosting Swansea City, with Bristol City currently in 8th place and Swansea City in 18th. Both teams have shown inconsistent recent form, with Bristol City suffering three defeats in their last six home matches and Swansea City experiencing four losses recently. Historically, the head-to-head record is close, with Bristol City slightly ahead in overall wins but matches often tightly contested.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bristol City has had a relatively stronger season, ranking 8th, but has shown vulnerability at home. Swansea City, positioned 18th, struggles with consistency and defensive discipline evident from high card counts. Previous recent matches suggest low scoring and narrow margins.
  • Across recent meetings, Bristol City has won approximately 8-12 times in 22-34 matches, and Swansea City has a similar number of wins around 7-9, with several draws in between. Matches have been tight, with comparable goal totals and points per game.
  • No specific injury data available at this time, so injury impacts on either side are unclear. The absence of key players cannot be confirmed from the current data.
  • The game is played at Ashton Gate, giving Bristol City home advantage. Current live odds imply the market favors Bristol City slightly, reflecting the home edge and current league positions.
  • Bristol City aims to consolidate a playoff push with a home win, whereas Swansea City looks to escape relegation threat, motivating them to perform aggressively despite form struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bristol City: 112, Swansea City: 240, Draw: 215 Bristol City win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Bristol City: -0.25 -115, Swansea City: +25 -105 Bristol City -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bristol City -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A narrow victory for Bristol City is the most probable outcome given home advantage, recent form, and slightly better league standing. However, a draw is a reasonable outcome considering Swansea’s fighting spirit and historic competitiveness.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Coventry City vs. West Bromwich Albion Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Coventry City vs West Bromwich Albion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, England

Game Overview

Coventry City, currently 1st in the EFL Championship, hosts West Bromwich Albion, who stand 14th. Coventry is enjoying a strong season with consistent home performances, while West Brom struggles with inconsistent away form. The match is important for Coventry to maintain their top position and for West Brom to climb the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Coventry City leads the league and shows solid defense and attack balance, with recent form favoring under 2.5 goals matches. West Brom's recent performances have been patchy with less effectiveness, especially away from home.
  • In their last 7 encounters, 6 ended with under 2.5 goals, indicating a generally low-scoring fixture. Coventry has had marginally better outcomes historically in home fixtures against West Brom.
  • No major injury updates found specific to either team ahead of the match, suggesting both sides may field close to full-strength squads.
  • Playing at home, Coventry enjoys fan support and familiar pitch conditions. Weather and other external influences are not expected to significantly impact the game.
  • Coventry City is motivated to secure their top spot in the league standings, emphasizing a strong home performance. West Brom will aim to upset and gain momentum to improve their mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -139, away: 345, draw: 260 Coventry City win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread coventry_city: -0.75 100, west_bromwich_albion: 75 -120 Coventry City -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 2.5 -112, under: 2.5 -108 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Coventry City -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Coventry City is favored to win given their form, home advantage, and current standings.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Charlton Athletic vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Charlton Athletic vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 22 Nov 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: The Valley, London, England

Game Overview

Charlton Athletic host Southampton in an English Football League Championship fixture following the international break. Charlton, sitting 9th in the table, look to bounce back after a narrow defeat to Wrexham ended their five-game unbeaten streak. Southampton, currently 17th, have shown recent improvements under new management with consecutive victories over QPR and Sheffield Wednesday, suggesting positive momentum heading into this match. This encounter carries additional narrative weight as Charlton manager Nathan Jones faces his former club, where he had a difficult 14-game tenure before leading the Addicks to promotion from League One.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Charlton Athletic have demonstrated resilience and quality throughout the season, maintaining a strong 9th-place position with well-drilled, organized defending under Nathan Jones. However, they suffered a recent setback away at Wrexham, snapping a five-game unbeaten run. Southampton have shown tactical improvements and renewed attacking intent in their last two matches, winning consecutive games and displaying better football under their new management structure. The Saints' recent form suggests they may have turned a corner after a difficult period under Will Still.
  • Limited specific head-to-head data is available in the provided sources. However, the historical context shows Nathan Jones' brief Southampton tenure was challenging, adding psychological elements to this fixture.
  • No specific injury information is provided in the available sources. Teams should be assessed for current squad availability through official team news channels.
  • The international break provides both teams recovery time but also potential disruption to rhythm and match fitness. Charlton play at home with potential crowd support advantage at The Valley. Southampton must travel away from their South Coast base.
  • Charlton are motivated to return to winning ways and maintain their strong championship position. Southampton seek to build on their recent positive results and climb away from 17th place. Nathan Jones carries personal motivation to perform well against his former club, where his tenure was unsuccessful.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charlton Athletic: 164 | Southampton: 162 | Draw: 212 Slight lean toward Charlton Athletic with consideration for the high probability of a draw 62% (Charlton) | 58% (Southampton) | 65% (Draw as viable outcome)
Spread Charlton Athletic: 0 -110 | Southampton: 0 -110 Level spread reflects the competitive nature of this fixture; expect minimal goal differential 58% – The tight odds suggest bookmakers see this as an evenly matched contest
Over/under Over 2.25: -115 | Under 2.25: -105 Lean toward Under 2.25 total goals 60% – Charlton's defensive organization and Southampton's recent improvements suggest a cautiously played match rather than high-scoring affair

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This match is expected to be closely contested. Charlton's home advantage, superior league position, and well-organized defensive structure give them a slight edge, but Southampton's recent form and attacking improvements make them a genuine threat. The tactical battle between experience (Jones) and recent momentum (Southampton) suggests a competitive encounter with goals likely at both ends.

Predicted Score: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Southampton or Charlton Athletic 1-0 Southampton (depending on whether Southampton's attacking improvements overcome Charlton's defensive resilience)


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Jeff Creighton vs. Diego Bianchini Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jeff Creighton vs Diego Bianchini – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 4:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Niagara Falls, New York, USA

Game Overview

Jeff Creighton faces Diego Bianchini in a welterweight bout at LFA 223. Both fighters are former TUF 33 contestants, with Creighton representing Team Cormier and Bianchini Team Sonnen. Creighton is on a six-fight win streak and is known for his pace, pressure, and finishing ability, while Bianchini is a submission specialist with a strong grappling game. The fight is a co-main event and is expected to be a high-paced, technical matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jeff Creighton has a record of 11-2-1, with 6 wins by decision, 4 by submission, and 1 by KO/TKO. He is known for his aggressive style and ability to finish fights. Diego Bianchini has a record of 9-1-0, with 5 wins by submission, 2 by decision, and 1 by KO/TKO. Bianchini is a submission specialist with a strong grappling game.
  • There is no official head-to-head record between Creighton and Bianchini. Both fighters have faced similar competition and have shown strong performances in their respective careers.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout.
  • The fight is taking place in Niagara Falls, New York, USA. Both fighters are well-prepared and have been training at reputable gyms. Creighton has been training with Joe Stevenson and Daniel Cormier, while Bianchini has changed gyms to The Fighting Nerds.
  • Both fighters are motivated to prove themselves after their appearances on TUF 33. Creighton is looking to extend his win streak, while Bianchini is aiming to bounce back from his loss on TUF 33.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Diego Bianchini: 110, Jeff Creighton: -150 Jeff Creighton Not available
Spread Diego Bianchini: 110, Jeff Creighton: -150 Jeff Creighton -1.5 Not available
Over/under over: 110, under: -150 over Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jeff Creighton -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Jeff Creighton is favored to win this bout due to his recent form and aggressive style. However, Diego Bianchini's submission skills make him a dangerous opponent. The fight is expected to be close, with Creighton likely to win by decision or submission.

Predicted Score: Jeff Creighton wins by decision or submission


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Los Angeles Kings vs. Boston Bruins Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Los Angeles Kings vs Boston Bruins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 22, 2025
  • Time: 3:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Game Overview

The Los Angeles Kings host the Boston Bruins in a matchup featuring contrasting home records this season. Los Angeles is struggling at home with a 1-4-2 record despite posting an NHL-best 31-6-4 home record last season, while Boston comes to town looking to extend their road success. The Kings have won their last matchup decisively, defeating Boston 7-2 on March 23, 2024, snapping the Bruins' six-game winning streak in Los Angeles. This game represents a critical opportunity for the Kings to improve their troubling home performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Los Angeles Kings are in crisis mode at home, winning only 1 of their last 7 home games (1-4-2). However, the Kings have shown strong recent form overall, posting a 10-6-4 record through late November with consecutive wins against Montreal (5-1), Toronto (4-3 OT), and Ottawa (1-0), suggesting their struggles are isolated to home ice. Boston's recent performance data is limited in the search results, but their ability to win six consecutive games in Los Angeles previously indicates they bring significant firepower to this matchup.
  • Boston had won six straight trips to Los Angeles before the Kings' dominant 7-2 victory on March 23, 2024. This indicates the Kings have recently found success against the Bruins at home and may possess tactical advantages or goaltending performance factors that favor them in this venue.
  • Specific injury information is not available in the provided search results. This represents a critical gap in the analysis that would normally significantly impact prediction confidence.
  • The Kings are playing at home in Los Angeles where they have been struggling significantly this season. Playing at the Crypto.com Arena in front of a home crowd could provide emotional motivation despite recent losses. The early morning start time (3:40 AM UTC) may affect performance, though both teams would be equally impacted.
  • The Kings have strong motivation to reverse their home-ice woes and prove their recent road success translates to their arena. Boston seeks to continue their competitive form and reclaim their historical dominance in Los Angeles. The Kings' recent three-game winning streak suggests building momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kings -195 | Bruins +150 Los Angeles Kings Moneyline (with moderate confidence concerns) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Kings -1.5 (135) | Bruins +1.5 (-167) Boston Bruins +1.5 (taking the points) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 5.5 (-118) | Under 5.5 (-106) Under 5.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Kings -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 5.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This matchup presents a complex betting scenario. The moneyline favors Los Angeles (-195) significantly, reflecting their recent form and home-ice advantage. However, the Kings' 1-4-2 home record this season is a major red flag that cannot be ignored. Boston's odds of +150 represent reasonable value given their historical success in Los Angeles and their role as an away team against a struggling home squad. The spread of -1.5 for Los Angeles suggests oddsmakers expect a close game despite the moneyline weighting, which aligns with the Kings' inconsistent home performance. The over/under of 5.5 points reflects moderate offensive expectations, though both teams' defensive metrics are unclear from available data.

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Kings 3, Boston Bruins 2 (OT/SO possible given spread tightness)


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UCLA Bruins vs. Presbyterian Blue Hose Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: UCLA Bruins vs Presbyterian Blue Hose – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 3:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Pauley Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA

Game Overview

The UCLA Bruins, ranked 19th nationally, host the Presbyterian Blue Hose in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. UCLA stands strong with a 4-1 record, including dominant wins such as 79-48 over Sacramento State, while Presbyterian is 3-4 with recent losses and is considered a significant underdog in this fixture. This is the second-ever meeting between these teams, with UCLA having won the first matchup 80-65 in 2018.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCLA demonstrates superior performance with a strong offense and defense, holding a 4-1 record with sizeable margin victories. Presbyterian has a losing record (3-4) and has lost recent games against stronger conferences such as California (67-57), reflecting a weaker competitive level.
  • Only one prior meeting occurred in November 2018, with UCLA defeating Presbyterian 80-65 at home. That historical result underscores UCLA's dominance in this matchup.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would substantially impact this game.
  • The game is played at UCLA's home venue, Pauley Pavilion, providing a strong home-court advantage. UCLA is also playing in the Empire Classic tournament and motivated to assert their ranking.
  • UCLA aims to solidify their early season rankings and build momentum, while Presbyterian seeks to challenge a top-20 team to improve their season record. The Bruins' motivation and quality are expected to surpass Presbyterian's.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Presbyterian Blue Hose: 3500, UCLA Bruins: -20000 UCLA Bruins win ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Presbyterian Blue Hose: -114, UCLA Bruins: -106 UCLA Bruins to cover the -26.5 spread ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over: -115, Under: -105 Under 129.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UCLA Bruins -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 129.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 129.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UCLA Bruins to win comfortably with a dominant margin due to superior team strength, home advantage, and previous results.

Predicted Score: UCLA Bruins 85 – Presbyterian Blue Hose 55


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UNLV Rebels vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: UNLV Rebels vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 3:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The matchup between the UNLV Rebels and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors is a key Mountain West Conference (MWC) regular season game occurring at Allegiant Stadium. UNLV holds an 8-2 overall record and a 4-2 conference record heading into this game, riding a 2-game winning streak, while Hawaii is 7-3 overall and also 4-2 in conference play. The Rebels have shown a strong offense with recent wins against competitive MWC opponents, and the Rainbow Warriors have been solid but slightly behind UNLV in performance this season. The game also features the defense of the famed Golden Pineapple Trophy as part of the Ninth Island Showdown rivalry.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UNLV Rebels have been dominant offensively in recent games, example wins over Utah State (29-26 in 2OT), Colorado State (42-10), and Air Force (51-48) display their capacity for high-scoring outputs and resilience. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have a 7-3 record with solid wins including a close victory over Stanford (23-20) but suffered heavy losses like against Arizona (40-6). Both teams have comparable Mountain West conference records (4-2). The Rebels' recent home performances suggest an offensive edge.
  • The teams have a competitive head-to-head history, with this game being another installment of the regional rivalry known as the Ninth Island Showdown. The Golden Pineapple Trophy is at stake, which often intensifies intensity and motivation for both sides. No exact recent H2H win data is in available sources, but both teams have been closely matched in recent years.
  • No specific injury reports or key player absences for either team have been disclosed in the available data sources close to the game date, indicating both teams potentially at full strength or with manageable injury situations.
  • The game is played at Allegiant Stadium, a controlled indoor environment removing weather as a major factor. Home crowd advantage favors UNLV. Motivation is increased by the trophy rivalry and the game’s implications for Mountain West standings and bowl considerations.
  • UNLV aims to solidify a strong 9-2 record and improve conference standing, boosting bowl potential and home season success. Hawaii looks to keep pace in the Mountain West and defend their rivalry trophy. Both teams have strong incentives to win on a national televised platform (FS1).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 120, UNLV Rebels: -142 UNLV Rebels ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 2.5 -102, UNLV Rebels: -2.5 -118 UNLV Rebels to cover -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 64.5 -110, Under: 64.5 -110 Over 64.5 points ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UNLV Rebels 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 64.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 64.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UNLV Rebels have the edge due to recent offensive performances, home advantage, and a slightly better record. Expect a close, high-scoring game with UNLV narrowly prevailing.

Predicted Score: UNLV Rebels 35 – Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 31


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