Match Analysis: Virtus Segafredo Bologna vs Maccabi Tel Aviv – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Virtus Segafredo Arena, Bologna
Game Overview
Virtus Segafredo Bologna hosts Maccabi Tel Aviv in Round 12 of the 2025-26 EuroLeague Regular Season. Both teams are outside the Play-In Showdown zone, with Bologna at 5-5 and Maccabi at 3-8. The game is scheduled for 19:30 UTC at the Virtus Segafredo Arena, though there is a possibility of postponement due to security concerns related to potential protests. If played, the match will be a crucial contest for both sides as they seek to improve their standings and playoff chances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Virtus Bologna has shown mixed results this season, currently holding a 5-5 record. They have a strong home record, having won all four of their home games in the EuroLeague so far. Maccabi Tel Aviv, on the other hand, is struggling with a 3-8 record and has not been as dominant on the road. Both teams are performing well domestically, with Bologna leading the Italian LBA and Maccabi leading the Israeli Winner League.
- In recent head-to-head matchups, Virtus Bologna has had the upper hand, winning the last two encounters. The most recent game saw Bologna triumph 84-77. Historically, Bologna has a slight edge in home games against Maccabi, with a record of 3-2 in the last five meetings at PalaDozza.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their strongest lineups for this crucial match.
- There is a significant external factor affecting this game: local police have raised concerns about potential clashes outside the venue due to pro-Palestinian protests. This has led to discussions about the possibility of postponing the game. If the match is played, the atmosphere could be tense, which might impact player performance and crowd support.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win. Bologna aims to maintain their strong home record and improve their playoff chances, while Maccabi seeks to break their losing streak and boost their morale. The outcome of this game could have a significant impact on their respective seasons.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maccabi Tel Aviv: 154, Virtus Segafredo Bologna: -185 | Virtus Segafredo Bologna | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Maccabi Tel Aviv: 4.5 -115, Virtus Segafredo Bologna: -4.5 -105 | Virtus Segafredo Bologna -4.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 174.5 -110, Under: 174.5 -110 | Over 174.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Virtus Segafredo Bologna 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 174.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 174.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the current form, home advantage, and historical head-to-head results, Virtus Segafredo Bologna is favored to win this match. However, the potential for postponement adds an element of uncertainty. If the game goes ahead, Bologna's strong home record and recent dominance over Maccabi make them the likely victors.
Predicted Score: Virtus Segafredo Bologna 88 – 80 Maccabi Tel Aviv