Match Analysis: Marshall Thundering Herd vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Cam Henderson Center, Huntington, WV

Game Overview

The Marshall Thundering Herd (3-1) host the struggling Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (0-6) in a mismatch game where Marshall is heavily favored. Marshall has a strong home record and solid recent performance, while Arkansas-Pine Bluff has lost all games and is averaging under 67 points per game with poor shooting percentages. The game is expected to be dominated by Marshall.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marshall has shown stronger offensive and defensive efficiency, averaging around 93.5 points per game while holding opponents to lower scores. Arkansas-Pine Bluff struggles offensively (66.8 points avg.) and defensively (allowing 96 points per game). Marshall is 3-1 overall and 2-2 ATS recently; Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-6 and has lost 14 straight road night non-conference games.
• There is no recent direct head-to-head data available, but historical trends show Marshall generally dominates in home games against non-ranked opponents, winning 12 of last 13 night home games under similar circumstances.
• No injury reports available or significant injuries reported for either team prior to this game.
• Marshall benefits from playing at home in Cam Henderson Center, where they have a strong winning record, especially at night. Arkansas-Pine Bluff has been on the road extensively against tough non-conference opponents like Vanderbilt, SMU, and Oklahoma, which likely adds to fatigue and lowers performance.
• Marshall aims to maintain strong early-season momentum and capitalize on a weaker opponent. Arkansas-Pine Bluff, despite poor form, has covered the spread in 6 of their last 9 games but is unlikely to match Marshall's firepower or home court advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Marshall Thundering Herd: -6000, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: 1600	Marshall Thundering Herd to win	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Marshall Thundering Herd: -19.5 -112, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: +19.5 -108	Marshall Thundering Herd to cover -19.5 point spread	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 167.5: -106, Under 167.5: -118	Over 167.5 points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Marshall Thundering Herd -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 167.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 167.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marshall Thundering Herd to win convincingly, covering the heavy spread of -19.5 points. The over/under line set at 167.5 favors the over due to expected offensive output by Marshall.

Predicted Score: Marshall Thundering Herd 95 – Arkansas-Pine Bluff 74

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Southern Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Memorial Gymnasium, Nashville

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores, undefeated at 4-0, host the struggling Texas Southern Tigers, who are 0-4 this season. Vanderbilt boasts a strong scoring average (101.5 points/game) and efficient shooting (52.9%), paired with solid defense that limits opponents to 72.8 points/game. Texas Southern has struggled offensively and defensively, turning over the ball 15.5 times per game with a losing margin in their last games. The line and odds strongly favor Vanderbilt given their dominance in multiple facets.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt is highly efficient offensively and defensively, shooting 52.9% and forcing 10.5 turnovers per game; they average 101.5 points and 40.8 rebounds, led by Duke Miles (16.3 PPG, 5.8 APG). Texas Southern struggles offensively with 42.6% shooting, high turnovers (15.5 per game), and averaging only 31.5 rebounds, contributing to their 0-4 record.
• No recent head-to-head data available, but Vanderbilt's superior form and ranking (76th) compared to Texas Southern's (369th) suggest a clear advantage.
• No significant injury updates reported for either team influencing this matchup.
• Vanderbilt has home-court advantage at Memorial Gymnasium, important given Texas Southern's poor road performance and Vanderbilt's strong home results.
• Vanderbilt seeks to maintain a perfect start and strong conference positioning, while Texas Southern aims to reverse a poor start, but disparity in team strength and recent form lowers Texas Southern's chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores: -1500, Texas Southern Tigers: +1200, Draw: N/A	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Vanderbilt Commodores -35.5: -118, Texas Southern Tigers +35.5: -104	Vanderbilt Commodores to cover -35.5	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Over 168.5: -112, Under 168.5: -108	Under 168.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 168.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 168.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt Commodores are heavily favored to win and cover the large spread due to their offensive prowess, defensive strength, depth, and home advantage. The total points are expected to go Under the line, given cautious scoring pace despite Vanderbilt's high output and Texas Southern's offensive struggles.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 98 – Texas Southern Tigers 62

Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Mercyhurst Lakers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Millett Hall, Oxford, Ohio

Game Overview

Miami (OH) RedHawks host Mercyhurst Lakers in a non-conference matchup at Millett Hall. Miami enters the game undefeated (3-0) and leads the nation in three-point percentage (48.2%) and ranks sixth in field goal percentage (55.1%). Mercyhurst is 3-2, coming off a win over Morgan State. This is the first-ever meeting between the programs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Miami (OH) has been dominant offensively, averaging 97.3 points per game and shooting efficiently from the field and beyond the arc. Mercyhurst averages 70.8 points per game and has shown inconsistency, with a recent loss to Canisius and a win over Morgan State. Miami's defense has held opponents to 61 points or less in two of their three wins.
• This is the first meeting between Miami (OH) and Mercyhurst. No historical data is available.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• Miami (OH) is playing at home, where they are 2-0 this season. The game is part of the Collegiate Hoops Roadshow, a multi-team event. Miami is favored heavily by oddsmakers, reflecting their strong start and home-court advantage.
• Miami (OH) is seeking to extend their winning streak and maintain their top national rankings in shooting efficiency. Mercyhurst is looking to prove themselves against a high-level opponent after a mixed start to their Division I transition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mercyhurst Lakers: 1500, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -5000	Miami (OH) RedHawks	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Mercyhurst Lakers: 15.5 -110, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -15.5 -110	Miami (OH) RedHawks -15.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 143.5 -118, Under: 143.5 -106	Over 143.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Miami (OH) RedHawks -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 143.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami (OH) is expected to win decisively due to their superior offensive efficiency, home-court advantage, and lack of significant injuries. Mercyhurst may struggle to keep pace with Miami's scoring and shooting prowess.

Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 92, Mercyhurst 70

Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Tennessee St Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Thompson-Boling Arena, Knoxville

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers (4-0) host the Tennessee State Tigers (2-2) in a non-conference matchup. The Volunteers enter the game with a dominant home record and strong offensive and defensive metrics, while the Tigers have shown offensive firepower but struggle against high-level competition. The spread reflects a significant gap in talent and recent form, with Tennessee favored by over 30 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tennessee averages 90.3 points per game, shoots 51.5% from the field, and allows just 62.3 points per game (30th in D-1). They are also top-2 in assists and rebounding. Tennessee State averages 94.0 points per game but has lost four of their last nine games against SEC opponents and struggles defensively, allowing 78.2% from the free-throw line and 33% from three. The Volunteers have a 40-game home win streak against non-conference opponents.
• Tennessee State has lost each of their last nine games against SEC opponents, including recent matchups with Tennessee. Tennessee has dominated the series, especially at home, with a long-standing winning streak against non-conference foes.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• The game is played at Thompson-Boling Arena, a hostile environment for visiting teams. Tennessee State is 0-2 on the road this season, while Tennessee is 4-0 at home. The Volunteers are well-rested and have not faced a close game this season.
• Tennessee is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and dominant home streak. Tennessee State seeks an upset but faces a steep challenge against a much deeper and more athletic team.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tennessee St Tigers: 3300, Tennessee Volunteers: -10000	Tennessee Volunteers	★★★★★ 98%
Spread	Tennessee St Tigers: 32.5 -115, Tennessee Volunteers: -32.5 -105	Tennessee Volunteers -32.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 151.5 -110, Under: 151.5 -110	Over 151.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tennessee Volunteers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 151.5 43%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 151.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tennessee is expected to control the game from the start, leveraging their size, rebounding, and defensive pressure. The Tigers may score points but will struggle to keep pace. Tennessee is likely to cover the spread and push the total over 151.5 points.

Predicted Score: Tennessee Volunteers 92, Tennessee State Tigers 67

Match Analysis: Miami Hurricanes vs Elon Phoenix – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Watsco Center, Coral Gables, Florida

Game Overview

The Miami Hurricanes (3-1) host the Elon Phoenix (3-1) in an NCAA basketball game. The Hurricanes are led by first-year head coach Jai Lucas and recently lost 82-68 to No. 10 Florida. Elon has been strong from beyond the arc, leading the CAA in 3-point shooting with 12.8 made threes per game and a 37.5% rate. This is only the second meeting ever between the teams; Elon won the previous matchup in 1940.

Key Factors to Consider

• Miami has won three of four games decisively except a recent loss to a top-10 opponent, scoring over 100 in three wins. Elon is 3-1 with solid scoring, including consistent high 3-point shooting and games with 90+ points. Both teams show offensive firepower but with different styles—Miami more balanced, Elon reliant on perimeter shooting.
• Teams met only once previously in 1940; Elon won 58-30. No recent head-to-head history complicates predictive modeling. Elon leads historical series 1-0.
• No reported key injuries for either team ahead of the matchup.
• Miami has home court advantage at the Watsco Center. The game’s large point spread (-20.5 for Miami) reflects expectations of Miami’s dominance, highlighting perceived gap in team strength.
• Elon is motivated to prove themselves against a power conference team, seeking their second straight ACC opponent win after last season’s upset of Notre Dame. Miami aims to rebound from their recent loss and demonstrate ACC strength under new coaching.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Elon Phoenix: 1600, Miami Hurricanes: -4500	Miami Hurricanes win	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Elon Phoenix: 20.5 -110, Miami Hurricanes: -20.5 -110	Miami Hurricanes -20.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 161.5 -110, Under: 161.5 -110	Over 161.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Miami Hurricanes -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 161.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 161.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami Hurricanes are strongly favored to win given superior conference affiliation, home advantage, and recent form. Expected to cover the large spread due to Elon’s defensive vulnerabilities against elite offenses. The total points likely to go over the 161.5 line due to both teams' offensive capabilities.

Predicted Score: Miami Hurricanes 90 – Elon Phoenix 68

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Pittsburgh Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Ocean Center, Daytona Beach, FL

Game Overview

The UCF Knights will host the Pittsburgh Panthers in a tightly matched NCAA basketball game. Both teams enter the game with 4-1 records and similar recent performances. The Panthers are slight favorites by 1.5 points on the spread, with the over/under set near 153.5 points, indicating a moderately paced game expected by bookmakers. UCF has shown strong form at home with a three-game winning streak, while Pittsburgh enters with an undefeated home record but a recent loss away.

Key Factors to Consider

• UCF has a slight offensive edge, averaging 445 points for and 400 points allowed over their last five games, with a 3-1 home record and a three-game winning streak. Pittsburgh's defense looks strong, allowing 306 points over the same span, although their offense is a bit lower at 363 points scored. Both teams are 4-1 overall, but Pittsburgh is perfect at home (4-0) and winless away (0-1).
• No specific head-to-head data available for recent matchups between UCF and Pittsburgh, but current competitive parity is suggested by near-equal odds and recent similar records.
• No reported significant injuries for either team that would majorly impact this game according to available sources.
• The game is at a neutral/neutral-site venue (Ocean Center, Daytona Beach) rather than UCF's usual home court, which may slightly reduce home advantage. Weather factors are not relevant for indoor college basketball.
• Both teams have strong motivation to maintain their winning records early in the season; UCF seeks to extend a winning streak and capitalize on home-region advantage, while Pittsburgh aims to assert dominance away from home and maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pittsburgh Panthers: -125, UCF Knights: 104	UCF Knights to win	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Pittsburgh Panthers: -1.5 -104, UCF Knights: +1.5 -118	UCF Knights +1.5 covers	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over: 153.5 -110, Under: 153.5 -110	Under 153.5 points	★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	UCF Knights 10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 153.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: UCF Knights at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given UCF's recent form and value identified in their moneyline odds, they are predicted to win a close game against Pittsburgh. The spread also favors UCF covering +1.5 points. The total points expected are slightly under 154, with defense being a strong factor for Pittsburgh.

Predicted Score: UCF Knights 77 – Pittsburgh Panthers 75

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Match Analysis: St. John's Red Storm vs Bucknell Bison – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Carnesecca Arena, Queens, New York

Game Overview

St. John's Red Storm (2-1) will host Bucknell Bison (2-3) in this NCAA basketball matchup. St. John's is ranked #14 nationally and favored heavily with a 30.5-point spread. The Red Storm have a stronger offense and defense ranking compared to Bucknell, who are currently on a three-game losing streak. The game total is set near 156.5 points, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. John's averages 78.5 points per game (65th nationally) and allows 65.8 points (27th nationally). They excel in rebounding with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game. Bucknell averages 74.0 points (167th) and allows 73.2 points (213th), with weaker rebounding stats (7.3 offensive rebounds per game, ranked 309th).
• The teams have met only once in 2013, with St. John's narrowly winning 67-63 on the road. No recent direct matchups exist to inform current rivalry dynamics.
• No specific injury information is available for either team; assume full rosters unless updated closer to game time.
• The game is played at St. John's home venue, giving them an advantage. Bucknell faces travel fatigue and is attempting to halt a losing streak. The matchup is on TNT, implying wider exposure and possibly higher intensity.
• St. John's motivation is high to maintain momentum against a weaker opponent and capitalize on home court advantage. Bucknell is motivated to end a three-game skid and prove competitiveness against a ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	St. John's Red Storm: -114, Bucknell Bison: +106	St. John's Red Storm	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	St. John's Red Storm -30.5: -114, Bucknell Bison +30.5: -106	St. John's Red Storm -30.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 156.5: -115, Under 156.5: -105	Over 156.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 156.5 -99%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St. John's Red Storm are expected to win convincingly given their superior statistics, home advantage, and current form. The estimated winning probability for St. John's is very high.

Predicted Score: St. John's Red Storm 93 – Bucknell Bison 61

Match Analysis: Nebraska Cornhuskers vs New Mexico Lobos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO

Game Overview

Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-0) face the New Mexico Lobos (3-1) in a neutral-site matchup at the T-Mobile Center. Nebraska enters as clear favorites, with a strong offensive record and recent high-scoring wins. New Mexico has shown resilience against non-ranked opponents but faces a tough test against a Cornhuskers team that has covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games. The betting market reflects Nebraska's dominance, with a spread of -8.5 and a total set at 152.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nebraska is averaging 89.0 points per game, shooting 49.8% from the field, and has won each of their last 12 night games against non-conference opponents. They are strong defensively, forcing turnovers and limiting opponents' possessions. New Mexico averages 75.0 points per game, shooting 44.5% from the field and 29.3% from three-point range. They have won 23 of their last 28 games against non-AP-ranked opponents but have struggled on the road recently, losing their last away game to New Mexico State.
• No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but both teams have strong records against non-conference and non-ranked opponents.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• The game is being played at a neutral venue, which may slightly reduce Nebraska's home-court advantage. The T-Mobile Center is a major venue, and the atmosphere could influence both teams' performances.
• Nebraska is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and prove themselves against a competitive New Mexico team. New Mexico is looking to bounce back from their recent road loss and establish themselves as a strong non-conference team.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nebraska Cornhuskers: -345, New Mexico Lobos: 275	Nebraska Cornhuskers	★★★★☆ 79%
Spread	Nebraska Cornhuskers: -8.5 -105, New Mexico Lobos: 8.5 -115	Nebraska Cornhuskers -8.5	55-60%
Over/under	Over: 152.5 -110, Under: 152.5 -110	Under 152.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nebraska Cornhuskers 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 152.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nebraska is favored to win and cover the spread. The Cornhuskers' offensive efficiency and defensive strength give them a significant edge. New Mexico's ability to win against non-ranked opponents adds some uncertainty, but Nebraska's recent form and home-court advantage at a neutral site make them the likely victors.

Predicted Score: Nebraska 78, New Mexico 70