Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Louisville Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Heritage Bank Center, Cincinnati, Ohio
Game Overview
The Cincinnati Bearcats host the Louisville Cardinals in a highly anticipated NCAAB matchup on November 21, 2025. Both teams enter the game undefeated at 4-0, setting the stage for a competitive clash. Louisville is favored by 8.5 points, with the total set at 162.5 points. The game will be broadcast on ESPNU.
Key Factors to Consider
- Louisville has been dominant offensively, averaging 103.0 points per game and allowing 71.0 points per game. Their field goal percentage is 50%, and they average 44.3 rebounds and 22.5 assists per game. Cincinnati has been solid defensively, allowing only 61.0 points per game, but their offense is less prolific, averaging 78.5 points per game with a 44% field goal percentage.
- Cincinnati won the last matchup between the two teams, defeating Louisville 81-62. Historically, Cincinnati has shown the ability to compete with Louisville, but Louisville has a stronger overall record and more recent success.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game.
- The game is being played at Heritage Bank Center, giving Cincinnati a home-court advantage. The atmosphere is expected to be electric, which could impact player performance.
- Both teams are motivated to maintain their undefeated records. Cincinnati sees this as an opportunity to prove themselves against a top-ranked opponent, while Louisville aims to solidify their status as a powerhouse.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cincinnati Bearcats: 340, Louisville Cardinals: -450 | Louisville Cardinals | Not available |
| Spread | Cincinnati Bearcats: 8.5 -110, Louisville Cardinals: -8.5 -110 | Cincinnati Bearcats +8.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 162.5 -115, Under: 162.5 -105 | Under 162.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisville Cardinals -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 162.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 162.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisville is expected to win the game, but the spread is tight. Cincinnati is likely to keep the game close, making it a challenging cover for Louisville. The total points are expected to stay under 162.5 due to Cincinnati's strong defense.
Predicted Score: Louisville 79, Cincinnati 78