Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-20
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense hosts Flamengo in a high-stakes Brasileirão clash with both teams fighting for top table positioning. Flamengo has a slight edge in recent form and offense, but Fluminense boasts strong home performance and defensive solidity.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fluminense has 5 wins, 3 losses, and 2 draws recently, showing resilience especially at home. Flamengo has 6 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws, with a more attacking style averaging 2.3 goals scored per game.
• Historically close matchups with slight advantage to Flamengo in wins overall but Fluminense performs well at home with 8 home wins vs Flamengo's 6 away wins. Matches tend to be competitive and low-scoring.
• No significant absences reported for either team, with lineups expected near full strength.
• Atmosphere at Maracanã favors home side Fluminense; no notable weather or travel disruptions forecasted.
• Both teams motivated; Flamengo chasing points to secure league position, Fluminense aiming to defend home ground and improve standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Flamengo: 103, Fluminense: 295, Draw: 215	Flamengo	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Flamengo -0.5: 105, Fluminense +50: -125	Flamengo -0.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2 goals: -128, Under 2 goals: 108	Under 2 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Flamengo 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo moneyline win

Predicted Score: 0-1

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 20, 2025
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Brasileirão Série A matchday 34 encounter between Grêmio (home) and Vasco da Gama (away). Both teams are competing in Brazil's top division with different trajectories this season. Grêmio enters as slight favorites in the home advantage scenario.

Key Factors to Consider

• Grêmio averages 2.0 goals when playing at home and concedes 0.8 goals per match at the Arena do Grêmio, indicating a strong defensive setup. Vasco da Gama, when playing away, averages 1.8 goals scored but concedes 1.6 goals per match, suggesting vulnerability on the road. This differential favors the home side significantly.
• Historical context between these clubs typically favors matches with moderate goal totals. Recent form suggests competitive encounters with neither team achieving consistent dominance over the other.
• No specific injury information available in current data. Both teams appear to have available squads for this fixture.
• Home advantage at Arena do Grêmio is a significant factor. The 20:30 local kickoff time (evening fixture) is standard for Brazilian football and neither team should be disadvantaged.
• Both clubs competing for league position in matchday 34 suggests motivation levels are high for securing points in the remainder of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Grêmio -125 | Vasco +220 | Draw +225	Grêmio Win	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Grêmio -0.25 -105 | Vasco +25 -115	Grêmio -0.25	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5 +105 | Under 2.5 -125	Under 2.5 Goals	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Grêmio 22%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to Win with Under 2.5 Total Goals. The combination of Grêmio's strong home defense (0.8 GA average) and Vasco's away struggles (1.6 GA average away) creates an environment where low-scoring outcomes are favored. The asymmetry in scoring patterns—Vasco averages only 1.8 goals away while Grêmio's home goal differential is +1.2—suggests a controlled match favoring the home side with limited offensive output.

Predicted Score: Grêmio 1-0 Vasco da Gama

Match Analysis: Santos vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-20
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estádio Urbano Caldeira (Vila Belmiro)

Game Overview

Santos hosts Mirassol in a Brasileirão Serie A clash with both teams in contrasting form. Mirassol sits near the top of the table, while Santos struggles near the relegation zone. The match promises tactical tension as Mirassol looks to maintain their strong campaign and Santos fights for survival.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mirassol has won 5 of their last 7 league matches, scoring 54 goals and boasting a +21 goal difference. Santos has lost 4 of their last 6, including losing the first half in 4 of those. Mirassol’s attacking form and defensive solidity are clear advantages.
• Mirassol leads recent H2H with 5 wins to Santos’ 2, and 4 draws. Mirassol has won 5 of the last 10 meetings, showing consistent edge.
• No major injuries reported for either side, but Santos’ squad depth is a concern given their relegation battle and fixture congestion.
• Santos is under pressure at home, but Mirassol’s away form is strong. Weather is expected to be clear, with no travel or pitch issues.
• Mirassol is fighting for a top-tier finish, while Santos is battling to avoid relegation. Both teams are highly motivated, but Mirassol’s momentum is stronger.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: 106, away: 245, draw: 245	Mirassol	Not available
Spread	home: -125, away: 105	Mirassol +0.25	Not available
Over/under	over: -102, under: -118	Over 2.5	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mirassol 90%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 90% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol to win outright. Their superior form, attacking output, and recent dominance over Santos outweigh the home advantage. Santos’ defensive fragility and poor first-half record make them vulnerable.

Predicted Score: Santos 1-2 Mirassol

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Miami (OH) RedHawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-19
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY

Game Overview

Buffalo Bulls host Miami (OH) RedHawks in a Mid-American Conference matchup with both teams holding 5-5 records. Buffalo is a slight favorite at home with a 2.5-point spread advantage and a total points line set at 39.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately low scoring but close contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams have identical 5-5 overall and 4-2 conference records. Buffalo has a modest home advantage with a 2-3 ATS record at home, while Miami is more successful ATS with a 6-4 record overall. Recent form is fairly even with Buffalo slightly better defensively.
• Recent head-to-head matchups have been competitive with Buffalo holding a slight edge. Both teams have similar fighting potential, making the matchup fairly balanced.
• No significant injuries reported for either team, allowing both starting lineups to be at near full strength.
• Game occurs at UB Stadium with temperatures around 35°F, no precipitation, and mild wind, providing neutral weather conditions unlikely to impact gameplay.
• Both teams are 5-5 entering late November with MAC conference implications. Motivation is high from both sides to secure a winning record and improve bowl eligibility, sustaining competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -124, away: +106	Miami (OH) RedHawks	★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread	Buffalo: -108, Miami: -112	Miami (OH) +2.5	★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Over 39.5	★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Buffalo Bulls 13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 39.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 39.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Miami (OH) RedHawks upset Buffalo Bulls to win outright. Spread: Miami (OH) +2.5 covers. Over/Under: Over 39.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 24 – Buffalo 21

Match Analysis: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Central Michigan Chippewas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-19
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dix Stadium, Kent, Ohio

Game Overview

Central Michigan Chippewas (6-4) visit Kent State Golden Flashes (4-6) in a pivotal MAC conference matchup. Central Michigan enters as heavy favorites, with the spread set at 7.5 points and the over/under at 46.5. Both teams have shown offensive volatility, with Central Michigan boasting a strong ATS record and Kent State struggling to cover as underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Central Michigan has won 7 of their last 10 games against the spread and enters on a high note after a 38-19 win over Buffalo. Kent State has split their ATS record at 5-5 and has seen totals go over in 3 of their last 5 games, but are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall and 2-4 ATS in road games.
• Recent H2H data is limited, but Central Michigan has dominated the series in recent years, with Kent State failing to cover in most matchups.
• No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• Game is played at Dix Stadium, Kent State's home field, but weather is favorable with no precipitation expected. Central Michigan has shown resilience on the road, while Kent State's home ATS record is strong (3-1-0), but their overall performance is inconsistent.
• Central Michigan is fighting for a higher MAC bowl position, while Kent State is out of contention and may lack postseason motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: 270, away: -330	Central Michigan Chippewas	Not available
Spread	home: 7.5, away: -7.5	Kent State Golden Flashes +7.5	Not available
Over/under	over: 46.5, under: 46.5	Over 46.5	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Central Michigan Chippewas -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 46.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Central Michigan covers the spread and the game goes over the total, with the Chippewas winning outright but Kent State keeping it competitive.

Predicted Score: Central Michigan 29, Kent State 24