UFC 322 main event title fight between welterweight champion Jack Della Maddalena and challenger Islam Makhachev. Jack is a powerful precision boxer with strong knockout potential if he can keep the fight standing, while Islam is a grappling and top-control specialist with elite endurance and takedown ability.
Key Factors to Consider
Della Maddalena shows high knockout power and striking accuracy, averaging 6.84 significant strikes per minute with 56.6% accuracy. Makhachev uses superior wrestling, averaging 3.20 takedowns per fight with 53.62% accuracy, maintaining pressure and top control throughout.
No prior direct fights between these two, making tactical matchups and styles key. Makhachev has historically dominated opponents through grappling control, while Della Maddalena succeeds by keeping the fight standing and exploiting striking advantage.
No reported injuries on either side leading into this high-profile title bout.
Fight is held at Madison Square Garden, adding hype and pressure but is a neutral venue for both. Both fighters show strong motivation with title on the line and reputation at stake.
Della Maddalena motivated to defend title aggressively with his boxing; Makhachev motivated to reclaim welterweight belt using his grappling dominance and relentless pace.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 230, away: -285
Islam Makhachev
β β β β β 72%
Spread
home: 110, away: -150
Islam Makhachev -5.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
over: -135, under: 105
Under 3.5 rounds
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Islam Makhachev -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 44%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Islam Makhachev wins by decision or late-round submission due to superior grappling control and cardio, neutralizing Della Maddalena's striking threat.
Predicted Score: Islam Makhachev wins via unanimous decision or submission in round 4 or 5
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors host Utah Tech Trailblazers in a non-conference matchup. Hawai'i enters with a 3-1 record and a strong home advantage, while Utah Tech is 3-3 and struggling on the road. Hawai'i is favored by nearly two touchdowns, and the total is set just above 153 points.
Key Factors to Consider
Hawai'i is 3-1 with a top-40 offense, averaging 82.3 PPG and winning by 21.8 points per game. Utah Tech is 3-3, with a weaker defense and poor road form, losing 11 straight Saturday road games. Hawai'i is 3-0 at home, while Utah Tech is 0-1 away.
No recent H2H data available, but Hawai'i's home dominance and Utah Tech's road struggles are clear trends.
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Game is played in Honolulu, giving Hawai'i a major home-court edge. No weather or travel issues expected.
Hawai'i is coming off a dominant win and faces a tough schedule ahead, while Utah Tech is looking to rebound after a rough stretch.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -1600, away: 860
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Not available
Spread
home: -14.5, away: 14.5
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -14.5
Not available
Over/under
over: 153.5, under: 153.5
Over 153.5
Not available
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 153.5 40%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors will win decisively, covering the spread and pushing the total over.
UFC 322 main event flyweight title unification bout. Valentina Shevchenko (dominant incumbent flyweight champion) defends against Weili Zhang (former strawweight champion moving up in weight). This is a super fight between two elite combat athletes at different weight classes, with significant stylistic contrasts.
Key Factors to Consider
Shevchenko: 10 title-fight wins since 2018, most recently defeated Manon Fiorot via decision. Established dominant flyweight champion with well-rounded skills. Zhang: Dominant strawweight run with two title reigns and three title defenses, recently defeated Tatiana Suarez via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-45) at UFC 312. Both fighters on strong recent form, but Shevchenko has superior championship experience at the target weight class.
No previous matchup history between these fighters. Zhang is moving up in weight class for this title unification, which introduces uncertainty in how her skills translate.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Zhang moves up from strawweight to flyweight, a significant weight class jump that may affect her physical advantages and cardio efficiency. Shevchenko fights at home weight class with superior title experience at flyweight. MSG provides neutral venue without significant home field advantage.
Both fighters are highly motivated in a title unification super fight. Shevchenko defends legacy as dominant champion. Zhang seeks to become a multi-division champion with an athletic and stylistically dangerous challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Shevchenko -135 / Zhang +114
Valentina Shevchenko
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
Shevchenko -5.5 (-165) / Zhang +5.5 (+230)
Zhang +5.5
β β β ββ 66%
Over/under
Over 4.5 rounds (-270) / Under 4.5 rounds (+200)
Under 4.5 rounds
β β β β β 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Valentina Shevchenko 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Valentina Shevchenko at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Valentina Shevchenko wins by decision. The betting market undervalues Shevchenko's experience advantage at flyweight and her elite defensive skills. While Zhang's athleticism and striking pose real threats, Shevchenko's 10 title-fight wins and recent victory over a top contender position her as the more complete fighter at this weight class. The decision outcome (-110 to -140 range across books) offers the best risk-reward, as knockout is less likely given both fighters' technical styles.
Predicted Score: Valentina Shevchenko wins via unanimous or split decision after 3 rounds (or early stoppage favoring Shevchenko in round 2 if Zhang's weight class adjustment significantly impacts her performance).
UFC 322 welterweight main card matchup between Leon Edwards and Carlos Prates. Edwards is transitioning from grappler-heavy opponents to face Prates, a striking-focused knockout artist. This represents a stylistic shift for Edwards and a significant test of his striking defense against a dangerous one-punch KO threat.
Key Factors to Consider
Leon Edwards has faced primarily grappler and wrestler opponents in recent fights, requiring extensive takedown defense preparation. Carlos Prates is characterized as a one-punch knockout artist with exceptional striking power. Edwards expressed excitement about returning to three-round format after fighting primarily five-round bouts, suggesting this sprint-paced structure favors his conditioning and explosive style.
No prior matchup history between these fighters.
No injuries reported for either fighter.
The fight takes place in New York, Edwards' preferred location with home-crowd advantage elements. Edwards expressed desire to return to UK fights in March-April, indicating strong motivation for a dominant victory to secure title-contender status. The three-round format (vs. Edwards' recent five-round pattern) creates a tactical variable favoring faster-paced, high-output fighters.
Edwards is explicitly targeting a knockout finish to establish himself as a legitimate title contender in the welterweight division. Prates seeks to derail Edwards' title trajectory by capitalizing on his striking advantage. Edwards' stated eagerness to 'take out Carlos' and pursue international fights suggests high motivation for decisive victory.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Prates -185 / Edwards +160
Leon Edwards
β β β ββ 62%
Spread
Prates -3.5 (-110) / Edwards +3.5 (-120)
Edwards +3.5
β β β ββ 58%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-145) / Under 2.5 (+110)
Under 2.5 Rounds
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Leon Edwards 61%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 9%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Leon Edwards at 61% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leon Edwards wins by decision or submission in a competitive three-round affair. Despite Prates' knockout power, Edwards' superior grappling range, footwork discipline, and conditioning advantage in sprint-format fights provide edge in controlling fight tempo and accumulating points across all three rounds.
Predicted Score: Edwards 29-28 or 30-27 (Decision Victory)
San Diego State Aztecs (7-2) host Boise State Broncos (6-3) in a pivotal Mountain West matchup. Both teams show solid records, with San Diego State favored slightly at home. Offensive capabilities are balanced with Boise State featuring a strong rushing attack and San Diego State a stout defense. The matchup is expected to be competitive but leans to a defensive, moderately low-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
San Diego State is 3-2 in recent games and has covered the spread in four straight home games, showing consistency. Boise State is 3-1 in their last four, with strong rushing but struggles against favorites and on the road recently.
The favorite has won 28 of Boise State's last 30 games historically. San Diego State has had the edge in covering spreads at home against Boise State lately.
No major injuries reported for starting key players on either side, maintaining team integrity for both squads.
Game played at Snapdragon Stadium favors the home Aztecs. Weather conditions likely neutralβno significant impact expected.
San Diego State aims to solidify its Mountain West standing and maintain a strong home record. Boise State is highly motivated to remain tied for first in the conference but suffers underdog disadvantages here.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego State -142, Boise State +120
San Diego State
β β β β β 72%
Spread
San Diego State -2.5 -122, Boise State +2.5 +100
San Diego State -2.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 41.5 -104, Under 41.5 -118
Under 41.5
β β β β β 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego State Aztecs 11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 41.5 11%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 41.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego State Aztecs to win outright, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total going under 41.5 points.
Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 24, Boise State Broncos 17
Location: Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, California
Game Overview
The Fresno State Bulldogs (6-3) host the Wyoming Cowboys (4-5) in a Mountain West Conference matchup. Fresno State enters as a moderate favorite with a strong defense, particularly in passing defense, and recent solid home performances. Wyoming struggles on the road and in California, with a below .500 record and issues in both offense and defense.
Key Factors to Consider
Fresno State is 4-1 in their last five games, showcasing a balanced offense averaging over 48 points total per game at home, and holding a top-20 ranked pass defense nationally. Wyoming is 4-5 overall with a 1-3 road record, averaging 19.4 points per game offensively, struggling with turnovers and penalties.
Fresno State has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings with Wyoming and has won the first half in six of their last seven home games against conference opponents. Wyoming has lost its last nine games in California and failed to cover the spread in six of seven recent California games.
No significant reported injuries impacting key starters for either team are currently noted, keeping lineups largely intact.
Game played at Fresno Stateβs home stadium with typical weather around 56Β°F and slight rain, which may favor a controlled, lower-scoring game.
Fresno State aims to secure bowl eligibility and improve conference standing, motivated by recent decisive wins. Wyoming seeks to end a losing streak on the road and finish strong after an open week, but motivation is tempered by recent away struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-174
Fresno State
β β β β β 72%
Spread
-115
Fresno State -3.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
-110
Over 40.5
β β β ββ 60%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Fresno State Bulldogs -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 40.5 9%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 40.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fresno State to win straight up on the moneyline, cover the -3.5 spread, and the game to go over the 40.5 point total.
Top-15 Big 12 matchup with ranked BYU Cougars (8-1) hosting a solid TCU Horned Frogs (6-3). BYU is slightly favored at home with a 4.5-point spread. Both teams demonstrate solid offensive production and competitive defenses.
Key Factors to Consider
BYU boasts an 8-1 record, showing strong home form (3-1 ATS) and a potent offense averaging over 50 points total in recent games. TCU is 6-3 but with a middling 4-4-1 ATS record, indicating occasional inconsistency.
Recent H2H shows BYU holding a slight advantage and success against the spread this season (6-3 ATS), while TCU is more balanced but less reliable ATS.
No major injury concerns reported for either team impacting starting positions significantly.
BYU plays at home in Provo, Utah, enjoying a strong home-field advantage including altitude effects. The game time in late evening supports BYUβs rhythm.
BYU is motivated to maintain top-15 ranking and stakes in conference positioning. TCU aims to improve bowl prospects but has less immediate urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -185, away: +154
BYU Cougars
β β β β β 72%
Spread
BYU: -110, TCU: -110
BYU Cougars -4.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
over: -115, under: -105
Over 51.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
BYU Cougars -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 51.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
BYU Cougars to win straight up; cover the 4.5-point spread; total points to go over 51.5
Location: War Memorial at the Sobrato Center, San Francisco, CA
Game Overview
The San Francisco Dons (2-1) host the Bradley Braves (1-2) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. San Francisco is a strong favorite, both in moneyline and spread, based on superior shooting efficiency, rebounding, and home court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
San Francisco has averaged 82.7 points per game on 46.4% shooting with 42 rebounds per game, while Bradley averages 71.7 points with 42.9% shooting and 32.3 rebounds. The Dons show better ball movement (17 assists per game vs. Bradley's 12.7 assists) and a more efficient offense overall.
Bradley leads the all-time series 3-1 and won their last meeting by 2 points on their home court. However, San Francisco has been dominant at home in night games against similar caliber opponents, winning 21 straight.
No significant injuries reported for either team at this time.
San Francisco plays at home with crowd support and a physical style that forces turnovers. Bradley's slower pace and defensive focus could keep the game tight.
San Francisco aims to assert dominance early in the season and protect home court; Bradley looks to rebound from recent losses and is well-coached defensively.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Francisco -465, Bradley +350
San Francisco
β β β β β 82%
Spread
San Francisco -8.5 -110, Bradley +8.5 -110
San Francisco -8.5
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over 148.5 -110, Under 148.5 -110
Under 148.5
β β β ββ 67%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Francisco Dons -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 148.5 30%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Dons to win on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go under the total points line.
UC Irvine Anteaters (2-1) host Weber State Wildcats (1-2) in a non-conference college basketball matchup. UC Irvine has shown strong offensive efficiency and dominant home performance, while Weber State has struggled on the road against tough opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
UC Irvine is averaging 105.3 points per game with an outstanding field goal percentage of 55.9% and leads the nation in assists (28.3 per game), showing balanced scoring and team play. Weber State averages 97.3 points but their offensive numbers are skewed by an outlier blowout win; their shooting efficiency and assist numbers are lower.
UC Irvine has won their last six games against Big Sky Conference opponents at home, establishing a strong home advantage over teams like Weber State.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting the matchup.
Game played at UC Irvineβs home arena where they have a strong winning record. Weber State has suffered seven losses in their last eight night games on the road against non-conference opponents.
UC Irvine looks motivated to maintain home dominance and build confidence early in the season. Weber State faces an uphill task adjusting to tough away environments and will rely on key players like Trevor Hennig for scoring.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -395, away: 310
home
β β β β β 85%
Spread
home: -115, away: -105
home
β β β β β 78%
Over/under
over: -112, under: -108
under
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
UC Irvine Anteaters 228%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 149.5 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: UC Irvine Anteaters at 228% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 73.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UC Irvine Anteaters to win straight up, cover the -8.5 spread, and the total to go under 149.5 points.