Flyweight bout between Furkatbek Yokubov and Ruel Panales at UAE Warriors 65, featuring two contrasting fighters: Yokubov, a more aggressive and experienced former TUF contestant with a 14-4 record, against Panales, a less consistent 6-3 striker with prior exposure to the Road to UFC tournament.
Key Factors to Consider
Yokubov holds a superior recent form and experience level with a 14-4 record, showcasing a balanced finishing capability via KO and submissions. Panales stands at 6-3, lacking consistency and coming off a break which could affect fitness.
No direct previous encounter recorded between these two fighters.
No publicized injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the matchup.
Fight takes place in Al Ain, UAE, close to Yokubov's competitive rhythm. Panales' recent inactivity and competitive break pose external challenges to performance.
Yokubov is highly motivated to secure a decisive win to cement UFC entry, producing aggressive output despite cardio concerns. Panales lacks recent momentum and has not capitalized on prior opportunities in Road to UFC.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -1400, away: +800
Furkatbek Yokubov
β β β β β 78%
Spread
home: -1.5 @ -110, away: +1.5 @ -110
Furkatbek Yokubov -1.5
β β β β β 72%
Over/under
over_1.5_rounds: +120, under_1.5_rounds: -150
Under 1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Furkatbek Yokubov -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Furkatbek Yokubov at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Furkatbek Yokubov wins by KO/TKO or submission, leveraging his aggressiveness, experience, and motivation advantage.
Predicted Score: Yokubov wins by second-round KO or submission
Charles Oliveira returns to Brazil to face Lany Silva in a lightweight bout. Oliveira is coming off a dominant submission win over Mateusz Gamrot, while Silva is a rising but unproven contender.
Key Factors to Consider
Oliveira has shown elite grappling and finishing ability, submitting Gamrot in the second round. Silva has solid striking but lacks Oliveira's experience and submission prowess.
No previous encounters between Silva and Oliveira.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Oliveira is undefeated in Brazil and enjoys strong home support. Silva is stepping up in competition for the first time.
Oliveira is motivated to maintain his dominance in Brazil and position himself for another title shot. Silva is looking to make a statement against a top-tier opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -200, away: 150
Charles Oliveira
β β β β β 74%
Spread
home: +1.5, away: -1.5
Charles Oliveira -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
over: Over 2.5 rounds, under: Under 2.5 rounds
Under 2.5 rounds
β β β β β 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Charles Oliveira 75%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charles Oliveira at 75% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charles Oliveira wins by submission in the second round.
Predicted Score: Charles Oliveira defeats Lany Silva via submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:12 of round 2.
The bantamweight main card title fight between Shirzad Qadrian and Elton Armindo at Cage Warriors 196 is anticipated to be intense, featuring two well-matched fighters with differing styles. Qadrian enters as the slight favorite based on bookmaker odds, and the bout is scheduled for five rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
Shirzad Qadrian has shown consistent form with efficient striking and grappling statistics in recent Cage Warriors bouts, often controlling pace and position. Elton Armindo, while less favored, exhibits aggressive striking and resilience, pushing fights into deeper waters.
No previous head-to-head matchups are recorded between Qadrian and Armindo, making predictive leverage from direct combat data unavailable and increasing reliance on form and style matchups.
No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout, indicating both have prepared fully fit without noticeable disadvantages.
The fight takes place in London, a neutral ground for both fighters with no clear 'home advantage.' Crowd influence should be balanced with potential motivation from fans attending this main event.
Both fighters are competing for the bantamweight title, which strongly motivates them to perform at peak levels. Qadrian's slight betting favoritism suggests confidence from bettors and possibly better recent performances, which can affect psychological momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Qadrian -190 / Armindo +145
Shirzad Qadrian
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Qadrian -1.5 rounds -150
Qadrian by more than 1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 3.5 rounds -120 / Under 3.5 rounds +100
Over 3.5 rounds
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Shirzad Qadrian -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Shirzad Qadrian at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Shirzad Qadrian to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Shirzad Qadrian wins by decision after 4 rounds
Rhi Rhi Hudson faces Carolan Olivares in a Strawweight bout at Cage Warriors 196. Hudson enters as a heavy favorite with a moneyline of -385 versus Olivares at +265. This 3-round fight is set to take place in London and features two relatively inexperienced fighters at this level.
Key Factors to Consider
Hudson holds a slight edge in recent form with one win and two losses, all finishes, while Olivares shows no recorded professional losses and maintains a solid performance in recent contests.
No previous matchups between Hudson and Olivares are recorded, making direct comparison unavailable.
No current injury reports or fitness issues have been disclosed for either fighter.
The fight takes place in London, likely favoring Hudson due to home crowd support and possible travel fatigue affecting Olivares.
Hudson appears motivated to capitalize on home advantage and improve her standing after recent losses; Olivares is motivated as an underdog to make a statement in this elite regional promotion.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -385, away: +265
Home
β β β β β 78%
Spread
home: -1.5 (-140), away: +1.5 (+120)
Home -1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
over_1.5: -110, under_1.5: -110
Under 1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Rhi Rhi Hudson 174%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Rhi Rhi Hudson at 174% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rhi Rhi Hudson to win by decision.
Predicted Score: Rhi Rhi Hudson wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds
Solomon Simon faces Caique Araujo in a high-stakes MMA bout at Cage Warriors 196. Simon is the heavy favorite, with odds reflecting his dominance in recent form and local advantage. Araujo is the underdog, but has shown resilience and finishing ability in past fights.
Key Factors to Consider
Solomon Simon has won his last 5 fights, all by decision or finish, showing consistent dominance. Caique Araujo has gone 3-2 in his last 5, with both losses coming against top-tier competition. Simonβs striking and grappling control are superior, while Araujo relies on explosive offense and submission threats.
No previous meetings between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Simon fights at home in London, giving him crowd support and familiarity with the environment. The event is a title fight, increasing pressure and motivation for both.
Simon is defending his status as a top contender, while Araujo is looking to upset the favorite and elevate his ranking.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -700, away: 425
Solomon Simon
β β β β β 74%
Spread
home: -2.5, away: +2.5
Solomon Simon -2.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
over: 1.5, under: 1.5
Over 1.5 rounds
β β β β β 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Solomon Simon -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Solomon Simon at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Solomon Simon wins by decision or late finish, controlling the pace and neutralizing Araujoβs offense.
Predicted Score: Solomon Simon wins by decision after 3 rounds
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors host Manhattan Jaspers in a non-conference NCAA basketball game where Hawai'i is favored heavily both on moneyline and spread, reflecting their strong home advantage and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors are 2-1 overall, winning their last two games with strong offensive efficiency (49% FG, 36.5% 3PT) and stout defense allowing only about 64.5 points per game. Manhattan Jaspers are also 2-1 but showed inconsistency and lack of depth scoring beyond top players.
Limited recent head-to-head data suggests Hawai'i generally holds advantage due to superior home court performance and depth.
No significant injury reports for either team impacting key starters.
Hawai'i is playing at home with good crowd support, while Manhattan travels across multiple time zones, likely causing some fatigue.
Hawai'i aims to remain undefeated at home this season and build momentum early, whereas Manhattan seeks to establish consistency on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -1250, away: +740
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Hawai'i: -112, Manhattan: -108
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -13.5
β β β β β 78%
Over/under
over: -108, under: -112
Under 155.5
β β β β β 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 155.5 14%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -13.5 spread, and the game to go under 155.5 points.
The Washington Huskies (2-1) visit the Washington State Cougars (1-2) in a highly competitive Apple Cup college basketball rivalry game. Washington is favored with stronger recent performance and roster stability, while Washington State shows home court advantage and physicality but faces challenges in consistency and scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
Washington has a 2-1 start with solid roster upgrades and strong rebounding (44 boards per game), while Washington State is 1-2 with less consistent offense and weaker assist rates but benefits from home court and tempo control.
Washington has historically dominated as favorite, winning 8 of 11 moneyline matches. The teams split recent encounters, but simulations show Washington with about an 82% win probability over WSU.
No major injuries reported for either side; key players appear healthy, including Washington's forward Hannes Steinbach and WSUβs Tomas Thrastarson.
Home venue advantage goes to Washington State at Beasley Coliseum, which may help offset Washingtonβs talent advantage. Rivalry intensity adds unpredictability.
Washington aims to continue momentum and validate pre-season expectations; WSU motivated to leverage home crowd to pull off an upset in this rivalry game.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-430 (Washington Huskies), +330 (Washington St Cougars)
Washington Huskies
β β β β β 82%
Spread
-8.5 -105 (Washington Huskies), +8.5 -115 (Washington St Cougars)
Washington Huskies -8.5
β β β β β 76%
Over/under
160.5 -110 (Over and Under)
Under 160.5
β β β β β 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Washington Huskies 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 160.5 34%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington Huskies to win outright on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Washington Huskies 84 – Washington St Cougars 74
The Gonzaga Bulldogs (3-0) and Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0) face off in Tempe. Gonzaga enters as a dominant favorite with a strong offensive and defensive balance, while Arizona State seeks to establish themselves with a statement win at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Gonzaga is undefeated (3-0) with dominant wins, averaging over 90 points per game and excelling in rebounding and inside scoring. Arizona State is 2-0, showing solid defense but playing at a slower pace and struggling to generate high point totals against strong opposition.
Last season, Gonzaga won the previous matchup 88-80 at home. Arizona State covered as a heavy underdog but could not upset Gonzaga.
No major injuries reported for either team leading into the game, maintaining strength on both sides.
Game played at Arizona Stateβs home court, which could provide some crowd support, but Gonzagaβs confidence and big wins mitigate this advantage.
Gonzaga aims to reinforce their status as a top contender with a decisive victory. Arizona State looks to make a statement and build early season momentum with a strong home performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arizona St Sun Devils: +740, Gonzaga Bulldogs: -1250
Gonzaga Bulldogs
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Arizona St Sun Devils +13.5: -110, Gonzaga Bulldogs -13.5: -110
Gonzaga Bulldogs -13.5
β β β β β 78%
Over/under
Over 161.5: -110, Under 161.5: -110
Under 161.5
β β β β β 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gonzaga Bulldogs -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 161.5 15%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 161.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gonzaga moneyline and spread win, under total points
Predicted Score: Gonzaga Bulldogs 81 – Arizona St Sun Devils 67