Match Analysis: Kamil Szkaradek vs Oleksii Polischuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 112, Poland

Game Overview

Kamil Szkaradek faces Oleksii Polischuk in a bantamweight MMA bout at KSW 112. Both fighters are ranked in the KSW bantamweight division, with Polischuk favored by oddsmakers due to recent form and higher finish rate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oleksii Polischuk has won 4 of his last 5 fights, all by finish (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission). Kamil Szkaradek is 2-2 in his last 4, with both losses coming against top-5 KSW bantamweights. Polischuk holds a significant edge in striking accuracy and takedown defense.
• No previous meetings between the two fighters.
• No public reports of injuries for either fighter. Both are listed as healthy and active.
• Polischuk is fighting outside his home country (Ukraine), but has competed in Poland before. Szkaradek has home crowd support, but recent Polish fighters have underperformed against international competition at KSW.
• Polischuk is seeking a top-3 KSW ranking with a win. Szkaradek is fighting to avoid a third loss in four fights and maintain relevance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Oleksii Polischuk wins by finish (KO/TKO or submission) within three rounds.

Predicted Score: Oleksii Polischuk defeats Kamil Szkaradek via TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Patryk Kaczmarczyk vs Adam Soldaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Netto Arena, Szczecin, Poland

Game Overview

KSW 112 interim featherweight championship bout between #1 ranked Patryk Kaczmarczyk (12-3) and #2 ranked Adam Soldaev (10-2). This is a 5-round championship fight for the interim KSW featherweight title. Kaczmarczyk is fighting for the interim belt after losing to Robert Ruchała in 2024, while Soldaev arrives with a three-fight winning streak and has finished 6 of 10 wins by stoppage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kaczmarczyk: 12-3 record with 3 KOs (20%) and 2 submissions (13%), 7 decisions (47%). Last fought January 2025, defeating Ahmed Vila. Competed in KSW since 2021 with 6 wins in 9 fights. Earned two bonuses for best fights and one for best knockout. Soldaev: 10-2 record with 6 KOs (60%) and 1 submission (8%), 3 decisions (25%). Currently riding three-fight winning streak with 7 of 10 wins by stoppage, 6 of which in the first round.
• First meeting between these fighters. Met face-to-face immediately after Soldaev's last fight to seal the matchup.
• Kaczmarczyk was scheduled to return in July 2025 but an injury prevented him from competing against Leo Brichta. Current injury status unclear.
• This is the fourth time KSW has held an event in Szczecin. Championship-level bout carries added pressure and motivation for both competitors.
• Kaczmarczyk seeking redemption after losing interim title shot in 2024. Soldaev attempting to claim the interim title on the momentum of three consecutive wins. Both fighters are highly motivated for a title opportunity.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Adam Soldaev to win via knockout or submission. Soldaev's superior striking efficiency (60% finishing rate vs 20%) and first-round dominance pattern (6 of 7 stoppage wins in round one) provide significant edge against a returning Kaczmarczyk with recent injury concerns and lower output efficiency.

Predicted Score: Adam Soldaev wins Round 2 via TKO (Stoppage 3:45)

Match Analysis: Valeriu Mircea vs Wilson Varela – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW Event Venue

Game Overview

Valeriu Mircea faces Wilson Varela in a KSW MMA matchup. Mircea enters as favorite (-220) with slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Varela is an underdog (+185) known for late-fight stoppages, primarily via KO/TKO.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mircea has demonstrated consistent recent performances with a strong ground game and solid defense. Varela's recent wins feature knockout power but have shown occasional stamina concerns in late rounds.
• No recorded recent direct matchups between Mircea and Varela, making analyses reliant on style and recent performances.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are likely at full health and training capacity.
• Fight taking place at a neutral KSW venue with no significant external pressures or location-based advantages other than Mircea possibly having slight crowd support.
• Both fighters are highly motivated; Mircea aims to solidify his position as a top contender while Varela seeks to upset the favorite with his dynamic striking.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Valeriu Mircea to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Valeriu Mircea wins by decision or late stoppage in round 2 or 3

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