Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Purdue Boilermakers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Game Overview
No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide hosts No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers in a highly competitive matchup between two undefeated teams. Both teams enter the game with 2-0 records, making this an early season statement game for both programs. Alabama is playing at home with the advantage of Crimson Chaos Night, while Purdue travels to Tuscaloosa as the higher-ranked team seeking to prove their national championship credentials.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alabama (2-0) has demonstrated strong offensive capabilities with L. Philon Jr. leading the team at 23.5 PPG with impressive 63.3% field goal shooting and 62.5% free throw shooting. Purdue (2-0) counters with F. Loyer contributing 22.5 PPG on 59.1% field goal shooting and 90.0% free throw shooting. Both teams are executing well early in the season, though Purdue's ranking as No. 2 nationally suggests slightly deeper team performance and consistency.
- Limited recent head-to-head data is available from the search results. This appears to be an early season non-conference matchup without significant recent history between the programs in this season or recent years that would heavily influence the outcome.
- No injury information is provided in the available search results. Both teams appear to be at full or near-full roster strength based on available data.
- Alabama benefits from home court advantage at Coleman Coliseum during Crimson Chaos Night, which typically provides crowd energy and familiarity with the venue. Purdue must travel to Tuscaloosa, facing an energized home crowd. The neutral to slightly favorable conditions for Alabama could provide a 2-3 point advantage beyond pure team performance.
- Both teams are undefeated and seeking to establish themselves as serious national contenders. For Purdue, an away victory against a ranked opponent would significantly bolster their resume. For Alabama, defending home court against the No. 2 team provides an opportunity to make a statement on the national stage and potentially move into higher rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alabama: -185 | Purdue: +154 | Alabama Crimson Tide | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Alabama -3.5 (-115) | Purdue +3.5 (-105) | Alabama covers -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
| Over/under | Over 175.5 (-105) | Under 175.5 (-115) | Over 175.5 | ★★★☆☆ 56% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alabama Crimson Tide -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 175.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 175.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This is an extremely competitive matchup between two well-balanced teams. Alabama's home court advantage, combined with strong individual performances from key players, gives them a slight edge. However, Purdue's higher ranking and demonstrated consistency suggest they are the more complete team. The game is expected to be close throughout, with Alabama favored narrowly due to home court factors.
Predicted Score: Alabama 89, Purdue 85