Match Analysis: Lindenwood Lions vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Alabama A&M Events Center, Huntsville, AL, USA
Game Overview
The Lindenwood Lions (1-2) face the Charleston Southern Buccaneers (2-2) in a non-conference matchup. Charleston Southern enters with a slightly better record and is favored by bookmakers. The Buccaneers have shown defensive strengths with steals and blocks, while Lindenwood has balanced scoring and second-chance points from last season. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderate total points line.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charleston Southern carries momentum with a 2-1 record and a current 2-game winning streak. Lindenwood is 1-2 with a 1-game losing streak. Charleston Southern’s defense (4.7 steals, 2.8 blocks per game in 2024-25) contrasts Lindenwood’s balanced offensive stats from last season, including 15.5 points off turnovers and 11.3 second-chance points.
- No explicit recent head-to-head data is provided, but both teams have had moderate success recently. The Buccaneers have home advantage and better recent form.
- No current injury reports or absences disclosed for either team in available data.
- The game is at a neutral site (Alabama A&M Events Center, Huntsville), which may slightly reduce home advantage effects for both teams. The Buccaneers, as the road team, have won their away games so far, indicating resilience on the road.
- Charleston Southern appears motivated to continue their winning streak and improve their record to 3-2, while Lindenwood is under pressure to rebound from recent losses, potentially increasing their urgency to perform.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Southern Buccaneers: -175, Lindenwood Lions: 145 | Charleston Southern Buccaneers win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Charleston Southern Buccaneers -3.5: -105, Lindenwood Lions +3.5: -115 | Charleston Southern Buccaneers to cover -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 158.5: -105, Under 158.5: -115 | Over 158.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Southern Buccaneers -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 158.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 158.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charleston Southern Buccaneers are favored to win by a margin around 4 points, supported by their better form, defensive capabilities, and bookmaker odds. The game is projected to be moderately high-scoring, close to the 158.5 point total line.
Predicted Score: Charleston Southern Buccaneers 82 – Lindenwood Lions 77