Match Analysis: Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: TD Garden
Game Overview
The Boston Celtics host the Memphis Grizzlies in an NBA matchup. Both teams have had mixed results this season; Boston holds a 5-7 record and Memphis 4-8. Historically, Boston dominates the head-to-head with 38 wins to Memphis' 20 across 58 regular season games. Both teams average around 113 points per game this season, with Memphis slightly higher in points allowed, indicating a more open game style.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boston Celtics average 112.8 points, 42.4 rebounds, 23.3 assists, shooting 44.9% from the field and 77.3% from the line. Memphis averages 113.7 points, 43.6 rebounds, 27.5 assists, with shooting splits of 43.8% field goals and 83.4% free throws. Boston's defense is stronger on rebounds and blocks, while Memphis plays a faster pace with higher assists but concedes more points.
- In the last 58 regular season meetings, Boston Celtics lead 38-20. The Celtics have won 4 of the last 5 encounters, including a recent 117-103 win at Memphis. Boston averages about 107.6 PPG against Memphis, who average 101.5 PPG versus Boston, showing Bostonβs typical defensive edge in these matchups.
- No specific injury updates currently available for key players on either team, suggesting mostly full-strength rosters.
- Game is played at Bostonβs home court TD Garden, giving Boston the home-court advantage. Both teams have lost their last game, increasing motivation to bounce back. Betting market reflects Boston as the clear favorite with moneyline odds at -250.
- Both teams sit in the lower half of their respective conferences but with close recent losses, motivating them to reverse fortunes. Bostonβs superior historical record and home advantage likely boost confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Celtics: -250, Memphis Grizzlies: 205 | Boston Celtics win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Boston Celtics -6.5: -110, Memphis Grizzlies +6.5: -110 | Boston Celtics -6.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 229.5: -110, Under 229.5: -110 | Over 229.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Celtics -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 229.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 229.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Celtics are favored to win this match due to superior head-to-head history, solid home advantage, and balanced team stats. Expect a moderately high-scoring, competitive game with Boston covering the spread.
Predicted Score: Boston Celtics 117 – 110 Memphis Grizzlies