Location: MacArthur Center, St. Petersburg, Florida
Game Overview
The inaugural Showdown in St. Pete Tournament kicks off with South Alabama Jaguars (3-0) hosting Central Michigan Chippewas (1-1) in an early Thursday morning matchup. South Alabama enters as the stronger program, having tied for first in the Sun Belt Conference last season with a 21-11 overall record, while Central Michigan finished tied for ninth in the Mid-American Conference at 14-17 overall. South Alabama dominated Spring Hill 99-50 on Saturday, while Central Michigan suffered a 85-54 loss to Bradley. This tournament game features two teams with contrasting momentum, as South Alabama maintains an undefeated record while Central Michigan looks to bounce back from a significant defeat.
Key Factors to Consider
South Alabama's 3-0 start demonstrates strong defensive and offensive execution, with their 99-50 victory over Spring Hill showing dominant performance. Central Michigan's 1-1 record masks concerns about their 31-point loss to Bradley, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent offensive production. South Alabama's program pedigree (21-11 last season) and conference standing (tied for first in Sun Belt) suggest superior roster depth and coaching stability compared to Central Michigan's mid-tier Mid-American Conference placement.
The all-time series between these programs is tied 1-1, with Central Michigan posting a notable 74-70 victory in last year's season opener. However, historical context shows Central Michigan was 0-1 at neutral sites last season, while South Alabama was also 0-1 on neutral courts, suggesting both teams face challenges in non-conference tournament environments. The close nature of their previous matchup indicates competitive parity, though South Alabama's improved overall program standing may provide an edge in this neutral-site setting.
No injury information is available in the provided search results for either team. This absence of data limits comprehensive injury analysis for both rosters.
The 11:00 AM ET Thursday morning tip-off represents an unconventional game time that typically generates reduced public betting action and media coverage. The neutral-site MacArthur Center in St. Petersburg creates an unfamiliar environment for both teams. Tournament play in early November can feature variable team preparation and inconsistent performance patterns as programs develop chemistry. Both teams entered as tournament participants, suggesting deliberate scheduling choices that may impact rest and preparation protocols.
South Alabama carries momentum from an undefeated start and tournament hosting positioning as a higher-seeded/more prestigious program within their conference structure. Central Michigan seeks redemption after the significant loss to Bradley and opportunity to establish credibility against a stronger opponent. Tournament victory provides both teams early-season resume building for NCAA Tournament consideration, though South Alabama's conference standing suggests higher expectations and motivation to maintain undefeated status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Central Michigan: +210 | South Alabama: -260
South Alabama Jaguars to win
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Central Michigan: +5.5 (-110) | South Alabama: -5.5 (-110)
South Alabama -5.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 143.5 (-110) | Under 143.5 (-110)
Under 143.5
β β β ββ 62%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
South Alabama Jaguars -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 143.5 -1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: South Alabama Jaguars at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Alabama Jaguars are favored to win this matchup based on superior program standing, recent dominant performance, undefeated record, and stronger conference affiliation. The combination of South Alabama's 21-11 overall record from 2024-25 compared to Central Michigan's 14-17 record, along with South Alabama's perfect 3-0 start and 49-point margin of victory over Spring Hill, positions the Jaguars as the clear favorites. While Central Michigan's previous neutral-site victory (74-70) demonstrates competitive capability, South Alabama's current form and program trajectory suggest a higher probability of victory. The neutral-site setting mitigates some home-court advantage but does not sufficiently overcome South Alabama's personnel and performance advantages.
Predicted Score: South Alabama 72, Central Michigan 65
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors host the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils in a college basketball matchup featuring a massive 41.5-point spread in favor of the home team. Hawaii enters as heavy favorites after a dominant 100-74 home victory over Texas A&M-Commerce, while Mississippi Valley State is struggling after a devastating 108-60 road loss to Murray State. This game presents a significant talent disparity, with Hawaii's defensive prowess and home-court advantage heavily favoring the Warriors. The betting market shows 85% of public money backing Hawaii, indicating overwhelming confidence in the home team's dominance.
Key Factors to Consider
Hawaii (1-1 record, 159-134 point differential) enters this matchup undefeated at home with a recent statement win against a conference opponent. Mississippi Valley State (1-2 record, 212-275 point differential) is in freefall, having lost 126 consecutive road games against non-conference opponents and has been outscored by 63 points overall. Hawaii has won its last home game and maintained defensive consistency, while Mississippi Valley State has surrendered 108 points in its most recent contest despite scoring only 60. The Delta Devils' defensive vulnerability and offensive struggles present a severe mismatch against Hawaii's demonstrated home strength.
Hawaii defeated Mississippi Valley State 72-54 in their last matchup, establishing clear superiority in the season series. The 18-point victory demonstrates Hawaii's defensive control and ability to limit the Delta Devils' scoring output. This historical advantage compounds the current form disparity and suggests another convincing Hawaii victory is likely.
No injury information available in current data. Both teams appear to have full rosters available for this matchup.
Mississippi Valley State's historical road struggles (0-for-126 against non-conference opponents on the road) represent an extraordinary disadvantage. The 5:00 AM UTC start time (10:00 PM Hawaii time) provides Hawaii with optimal scheduling conditions on their home court, while Mississippi Valley State must adjust to travel, time zones, and an early evening tip-off. Hawaii's recent Wednesday performance history shows eight of their last eight Wednesday games produced totals of 143 or fewer points, suggesting defensive-oriented play patterns.
Hawaii has clear motivation to dominate against an inferior opponent and maintain their perfect home record, while Mississippi Valley State faces the challenge of breaking a lengthy road losing streak against a much stronger team. Hawaii's momentum from defeating Texas A&M-Commerce contrasts sharply with Mississippi Valley State's demoralizing 48-point loss, creating a significant psychological advantage for the Warriors.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Hawaii -41.5 / Miss Valley St +41.5
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
β β β β β 94%
Spread
Hawaii -41.5 (-115) / Miss Valley St +41.5 (-105)
Hawaii -41.5 (Cover the spread)
β β β β β 87%
Over/under
Over 146.5 (-112) / Under 146.5 (-108)
Under 146.5
β β β β β 78%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Home 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 146.5 39%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hawaii will decisively defeat Mississippi Valley State in a lopsided contest that validates the substantial betting line. The Warriors' home-court dominance, defensive excellence, and overwhelming talent advantage will prove too much for the struggling Delta Devils. Hawaii's ability to control games at home, combined with Mississippi Valley State's historical road futility and recent poor performance, strongly favors a convincing Warriors victory. The magnitude of the spread reflects the stark competitive disparity between these programs.
Predicted Score: Hawaii 89, Mississippi Valley State 48
The Denver Nuggets (8-2, 2-2 away) face the Los Angeles Clippers (3-7, 3-4 home) in a pivotal Western Conference matchup. The Nuggets are riding a five-game winning streak and are third in the conference, while the Clippers are struggling, sitting 12th and on a five-game losing skid. Nikola Jokic leads Denver with 26.2 PPG, 66.9% FG, and 85.4% FT, while Kawhi Leonard anchors the Clippers with 24.3 PPG, 50.5% FG, and 96.3% FT. The game is expected to be competitive, with Denver favored by 2.5 points and the total set at 225.5.
Key Factors to Consider
Denver has been dominant, winning 8 of their first 10 games with a strong offensive and defensive balance. Their recent 122-108 win over Sacramento saw Jokic post 35 points and 15 rebounds. The Clippers have struggled, losing 5 straight and 7 of their last 10, with inconsistent performances on both ends of the floor.
Recent head-to-head matchups have been competitive, with Denver holding a slight edge. The Nuggets have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a close victory in their last encounter. Denver's depth and Jokic's dominance have been key factors.
No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both Jokic and Leonard are expected to play, which is crucial for both squads.
The game is being played at Intuit Dome, giving the Clippers a home-court advantage. However, Denver has shown resilience on the road, going 2-2 away from home. The Clippers' recent losing streak may affect team morale and fan support.
Denver is motivated to extend their winning streak and solidify their position in the top tier of the Western Conference. The Clippers are desperate to break their losing streak and improve their standing, adding extra urgency to their performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Denver Nuggets: -146, Los Angeles Clippers: 124
Denver Nuggets
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Denver Nuggets: -2.5 -112, Los Angeles Clippers: 2.5 -108
Denver Nuggets -2.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over: 225.5 -110, Under: 225.5 -110
Over 225.5
β β β ββ 60%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Denver Nuggets -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 225.5 5%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 225.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Denver is favored to win this matchup due to their superior team performance, recent form, and the presence of Nikola Jokic. The Clippers, despite playing at home, are struggling and may find it difficult to overcome Denver's balanced attack. Expect a close game, but Denver's consistency and depth should prevail.
Predicted Score: Denver Nuggets 118 – 107 Los Angeles Clippers
The Sacramento Kings host the Atlanta Hawks with the Hawks favored by 4 points. The Kings are struggling with a 3-8 record and are currently on a three-game losing streak, while the Hawks hold a 6-5 record and have been performing better on the road. The game has a total points line set around 233.5 to 234.5.
Key Factors to Consider
The Hawks have been defensively strong recently, winning against the Lakers and Clippers in their last two games. The Kings have a poor home record with a 1-5 spread performance, and are playing the second leg of a back-to-back, potentially tiring the team. The Hawks are 5-6 ATS this season and 3-3 on the road. Kings hit the over 63.6% at home, indicating high-scoring games.
Recent matchups favor the Hawks with superior win probabilities (circa 61% before game start) and better away performance. Monte Carlo simulations predict a Hawks victory with a close final score around 123-119.
No specific injury data available from current records, suggesting no major injuries impacting starting lineups or key players for either team.
Sacramento is impacted by fatigue due to back-to-back scheduling, while Atlanta's defensive momentum and stable recent road performance provide an edge. Venue is Golden 1 Center, home court for the Kings.
Kings are motivated to end their three-game losing streak at home; Hawks look to continue their positive road performance and maintain defensive dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Hawks: -166, Sacramento Kings: 140
Atlanta Hawks to win
β β β ββ 61%
Spread
Atlanta Hawks: -4 -108, Sacramento Kings: +4 -112
Atlanta Hawks -4
β β β ββ 55%
Over/under
Over: 233.5 -112, Under: 233.5 -108
Over 233.5 points
β β β ββ 57%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Hawks -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 233.5 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 233.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlanta Hawks are favored to win in a close and competitive game, with the spread in their favor and the likelihood of the total points hitting over the set line.
Predicted Score: Atlanta Hawks 123 – Sacramento Kings 119
Stanford Cardinal (2-0) hosts Montana State Bobcats (1-2) in an early morning ACC Network Extra matchup. Stanford enters as a heavy favorite with dominant offensive firepower led by E. Okorie (26.0 PPG), while Montana State seeks to bounce back from a 1-2 start. This represents a significant talent mismatch, with Stanford's superior record, home-court advantage, and established offensive rhythm creating substantial challenges for the visiting Bobcats.
Key Factors to Consider
Stanford has started the season undefeated at 2-0 with strong scoring ability and consistency. The Cardinal have gone over the total in both home games, suggesting offensive potency and/or defensive vulnerability. Montana State enters at 1-2 overall with 1-1 road record, demonstrating inconsistency early in the season. D. Brown leads Montana State scoring at 15.5 PPG, significantly lower than Stanford's leading scorer.
No direct head-to-head history data available in current search results. This appears to be a non-conference matchup between different conferences, making recent historical comparisons unavailable.
No injury reports are currently available for either team according to official sources.
The unusual 3:00 AM start time on Thursday morning is highly unconventional and creates significant fatigue factors for both teams, though this primarily affects travel logistics and rest schedules. Maples Pavilion provides Stanford with established home-court advantage. The early morning broadcast slot suggests this is a secondary matchup on conference programming.
Stanford seeks to maintain perfect record and establish dominance early in the season. Montana State is motivated to improve upon a disappointing 1-2 start and secure road victory against ranked opponent. However, Stanford's overwhelming odds suggest motivation alone cannot overcome talent differential.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Stanford: -1700 | Montana State: +890
Stanford Cardinal
β β β β β 94%
Spread
Stanford -14.5 (-110) | Montana State +14.5 (-110)
Stanford -14.5
β β β β β 82%
Over/under
Over 150.5 (-110) | Under 150.5 (-110)
Over 150.5
β β β β β 72%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Stanford Cardinal -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 150.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stanford Cardinal is projected to win decisively over Montana State Bobcats. The combination of superior talent (particularly E. Okorie's 26 PPG production), perfect home record with offensive consistency, and significant point-spread advantage strongly indicate a Stanford victory. Montana State's 1-2 record and lower offensive output suggest difficulty containing Stanford's scoring attack.
The upcoming match features the Pacific Tigers hosting the Long Beach State 49ers. Pacific starts the season 1-1 with a solid home court advantage, while Long Beach State is 0-2, coming off a close loss to Nevada. Pacificβs offensive efficiency, shooting accuracy, and rebounding are statistically superior to Long Beach Stateβs. The Tigers are favored heavily on moneyline and spread, reflecting their better season start and home form.
Key Factors to Consider
Pacific Tigers show stronger shooting percentages (47% FG, 38% 3P) and control the glass better (30 rebounds vs 24.5). They have fewer turnovers (7.5 vs 18) and a more effective offensive flow. Long Beach State struggles from the field at 34%, with a low 3P percentage (18%) and higher turnovers negatively impacting their scoring opportunities.
Recent head-to-heads favor Pacific with the Tigers winning both encounters in 2018 and 2019 by solid margins. The Tigers have a historical winning percentage of 100% over Long Beach State in past matchups at home.
No notable injuries reported for either side that would significantly affect the starting lineups or game plan.
Pacific hosts the game at Alex G. Spanos Center, utilizing home court advantage with local crowd support. The time zone and travel distance favor Pacific, as Long Beach State faces away conditions.
Pacific aims to capitalize on their home advantage to improve their record to 2-1, while Long Beach State, seeking a first win, may adopt a high-intensity defensive approach to disrupt Pacificβs rhythm.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Pacific Tigers: -610, Long Beach State 49ers: 440
Pacific Tigers to win
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Pacific Tigers: -9.5 -120, Long Beach State 49ers: +9.5 -102
Pacific Tigers to cover -9.5 points
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over 144.5: -115, Under 144.5: -105
Under 144.5 points total
β β β ββ 60%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Pacific Tigers -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 144.5 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pacific Tigers are strongly favored to win this game given their superior form, efficiency, and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Pacific Tigers 78 – Long Beach State 64
Seattle University Redhawks host the Eastern Washington Eagles in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. This is the third consecutive home game for Seattle to open their 2025-26 season. The Redhawks are heavily favored with moneyline odds of -420, indicating strong market confidence in a home victory. Eastern Washington enters as a significant underdog at +320.
Key Factors to Consider
Seattle Redhawks come into this matchup with a 1-2 record, having recently lost to Cal Poly 71-73 on November 9. The team has struggled offensively, scoring in the low 70s range across recent games. Eastern Washington Eagles have also faced challenges, posting a 0-3 record with losses to UCLA (74-80), LMU (62-70), and Colorado (97-102). The Eagles have shown inconsistency, with their defense giving up 80+ points multiple times.
The teams split their most recent matchup history evenly at 2-2 in their head-to-head record. In their November 7, 2024 meeting, Eastern Washington defeated Seattle 93-86 in Cheney. Their October 10, 2019 contest saw Seattle win 86-93. This historical parity suggests competitive matchups, though current season trajectories heavily favor Seattle.
No specific injury information is available in the provided search results for either team. Both rosters appear to be at full availability based on current schedules and recent game participations.
Seattle plays at home with crowd advantage at the Redhawk Center. Both teams are early in their season (Week 2-3 of November), suggesting developing chemistry and potential lineup adjustments. Seattle is seeking consistency after a 1-2 start, while Eastern Washington is still searching for their first win of the season.
Seattle has strong motivation to secure a home win and improve their early season record to 2-2. Eastern Washington desperately needs a victory to avoid extending their 0-4 start. However, the 8.5-point spread suggests that despite Eastern Washington's winless record, oddsmakers view this as a competitive contest rather than a blowout.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Seattle -420 / Eastern Washington +320
Seattle Redhawks to win
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Seattle -8.5 (-105) / Eastern Washington +8.5 (-115)
Seattle Redhawks -8.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 149.5 (-115) / Under 149.5 (-105)
Under 149.5
β β β ββ 64%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Redhawks -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 149.5 -99%
β οΈ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Redhawks are projected to win this matchup convincingly. The combination of home court advantage, market confidence reflected in the -420 moneyline, and recent head-to-head competitiveness suggests Seattle should secure victory. However, Eastern Washington's underdog status at +320 and the 8.5-point spread indicate this game carries more competitive uncertainty than the moneyline suggests. Seattle's defensive capabilities and home court should prevail despite their recent inconsistency.
Predicted Score: Seattle Redhawks 73, Eastern Washington Eagles 64
Location: War Memorial at the Sobrato Center, San Francisco
Game Overview
The San Francisco Dons host the Portland State Vikings in an NCAA basketball matchup with both teams holding 1-1 records. San Francisco enters with strong home form and defensive capabilities, while Portland State boasts an explosive offense but has struggled defensively on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
San Francisco is averaging 84.0 points scored and allowing 64.5 points per game, shooting 47.6% from the field, demonstrating solid efficiency. Portland State has the ability to score high but has defensive vulnerabilities, notably on the road. Recent results include Portland State's big 122-74 home win over Northwest Indian College and San Francisco's close 76-70 loss at Memphis.
Recent historical data indicates San Franciscoβs dominance at home against non-AP ranked opponents, with 20 consecutive night game wins at War Memorial. Portland State has lost its last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams and often trails in first halves on the road.
No significant injuries have been reported for either team ahead of this game.
The Dons benefit from the home court advantage at a strong venue which has historically favored them in night games. Portland Stateβs recent strong home performance contrasts with their poor road record, making travel a potential factor.
San Francisco appears motivated to rebound after a narrow road loss and maintain their strong home winning streak. Portland State aims to avoid a heavy defeat and build on recent offensive success against a tougher opponent on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Portland St Vikings: +500, San Francisco Dons: -700
San Francisco Dons to win
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Portland St Vikings: +11.5 -115, San Francisco Dons: -11.5 -105
San Francisco Dons -11.5
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over: 152.5 -112, Under: 152.5 -108
Under 152.5 points
β β β ββ 60%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Francisco Dons -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 152.5 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Dons are favored to win by a margin exceeding the 11.5-point spread, leveraging home advantage and defensive strength to control the tempo and limit Portland Stateβs scoring opportunities.
Predicted Score: San Francisco Dons 78 – Portland State Vikings 65
The Nevada Wolf Pack (2-0) host the Southern Illinois Salukis (2-0) in an early season NCAA basketball showdown. Nevada is favored heavily at home with a strong defense and rebounding edge, while Southern Illinois relies on a potent offense averaging 92 points per game. Both teams are undefeated, setting the stage for a competitive matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Nevada averages 77.5 points per game with solid rebounding (47.0 per game) and decent defensive stats, while Southern Illinois scores an impressive 92.0 points per game with strong shooting percentages (57.3% FG, 30.8% 3PT). Nevada's defense and rebounding contrast Southern Illinois' offensive firepower.
No recent detailed head-to-head data available, but previous season records show closely contested games. Both teams won their previous matchups last season, making this an evenly matched contest historically.
No significant injury reports or player absences have been noted for either team ahead of the game.
Nevada has home court advantage at the Lawlor Events Center with energetic crowd support. No major travel or weather issues appear to affect either side.
Both teams are 2-0 and looking to maintain perfect starts, increasing motivation and competitive intensity. Nevada aims to assert dominance early in front of home fans; Southern Illinois looks to prove they can win on the road against a favored opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Nevada Wolf Pack: -610, Southern Illinois Salukis: 440
Nevada Wolf Pack
β β β β β 87%
Spread
Nevada Wolf Pack: -10.5 -105, Southern Illinois Salukis: +10.5 -115
Nevada Wolf Pack to cover -10.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over: 148.5 -110, Under: 148.5 -110
Under 148.5 points
β β β ββ 58%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Nevada Wolf Pack 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 148.5 11%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nevada Wolf Pack are predicted to win due to home advantage, superior defense, and rebounding, overcoming Southern Illinois' high scoring. The expected final score is close, reflecting Southern Illinois' offensive capabilities.