Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: The City Ground
Game Overview
Nottingham Forest hosts FC Midtjylland in a UEFA Europa League regular season match at The City Ground. Nottingham Forest, playing at home, enters the game as favorites due to stronger recent form, higher possession, and better passing accuracy, while Midtjylland has shown mixed results in recent matches including friendlies and competitive UEFA fixtures.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nottingham Forest has demonstrated solid performance with an average 45% possession and 86% passing accuracy per UEFA stats. They have yet to keep a clean sheet but have conceded just 2 goals in the Europa League so far. Midtjylland recently drew 6-6 in a high-scoring match and have inconsistent recent form in friendlies and competitive games.
- Limited direct historical data on recent matches between Nottingham Forest and Midtjylland is available, but UEFA Europa League context shows Nottingham Forest with stronger overall continental performance and home advantage.
- Current injury reports are unavailable in the data, suggesting no known significant absences for either side ahead of the match.
- Home crowd support at The City Ground and travel fatigue for Midtjylland could influence the match. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but assumed typical for early October in England.
- Nottingham Forest is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and secure early points in the group stage. Midtjylland aims to improve its continental record and challenge a stronger opponent away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nottingham Forest: -214, Draw: 365, FC Midtjylland: 500 | Nottingham Forest | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Nottingham Forest -1.25: 100, FC Midtjylland +1.25: -130 | Nottingham Forest -1.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -112, Under 3: -118 | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nottingham Forest -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nottingham Forest is favored to win with a moderate to high confidence level due to better recent form, home advantage, and bookmaker odds. A high-scoring match is possible given Midtjylland's fluctuating defense and recent high-goal games.
Predicted Score: 2-1