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Parramatta Eels vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels host the North Queensland Cowboys in a crucial Round 23 NRL matchup. Parramatta enter as favorites based on recent form and home advantage, but Cowboys show improving momentum and possess the potential to upset, especially given Parramatta's recent vulnerability against physical sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta have shown a resurgence late season with renewed grit and key playmaker form, whereas North Queensland have defensive struggles conceding 32+ points in many recent games but are regaining key players and building confidence on the road.
  • Historically balanced with Parramatta winning five of the last seven clashes, but no recent decisive dominance. Both teams have similar metrics across attack and defense in recent clashes.
  • North Queensland welcoming back key figures like Jason Taumalolo and Jake Clifford, improving their cohesion. Parramatta appear relatively stable with Mitch Moses influential.
  • CommBank Stadium is a traditionally strong home ground for Parramatta, but recent cracks have appeared making home advantage less secure. The match has high stakes in avoiding the wooden spoon, motivating both teams.
  • Both teams are motivated by ladder pressure and late-season survival stakes, with Parramatta aiming to maintain momentum and Cowboys to capitalize on psychological edge as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -164, North Queensland Cowboys +142, Draw +2100 Parramatta Eels β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels -4.5 (-110), North Queensland Cowboys +4.5 (-120) Parramatta Eels -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 35%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 point spread, and the total score to go under 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 22 – North Queensland Cowboys 14


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the North Queensland Cowboys in an important Round 22 NRL clash. The Sharks are strong favourites, aiming for a fourth straight win and solidifying their top-eight position, while the Cowboys are desperate to keep their faint finals hopes alive with a favourable run home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have been showing consistent form recently, with three consecutive wins including a narrow 14-12 victory over the Rabbitohs. The Cowboys managed a high-scoring 38-32 win over the Dragons but continue to suffer from the league's worst defense.
  • The Sharks have a strong historical advantage and recent dominance against the Cowboys, including a comprehensive 36-12 win earlier in 2025. Simulations predict an 80% chance of Sharks winning this match.
  • The Cowboys are missing key five-eighth Tom Duffy due to injury, replaced by Jake Clifford. Suspended forward Karl Lawton is also out; Emarly Bitungane debuts. Sharks have key players Briton Nikora and Siosifa Talakai returning, strengthening their pack.
  • The match is at Shark Park, giving the Sharks home-ground advantage. The Sharks are motivated to maintain top-eight positioning; the Cowboys are motivated to spark a late-season finals charge.
  • Cronulla is motivated to continue their winning streak for finals security; the Cowboys must win to keep playoff hopes alive, adding urgency to their play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -240, away: 205, draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread home: -110, away: -120 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Over 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win straight up, cover the -8.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: 28-18 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys host the St George Illawarra Dragons at home, where the Cowboys traditionally perform well. Both teams are contending for a position in the finals, but despite similar recent defensive records, the Cowboys have a slight power ranking edge and the added advantage of home ground, while the Dragons have shown resilience and upside as underdogs, especially in tight contests. Tropical conditions and humidity could play a role in fatigue and error rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have been conceding heavily in recent weeks, but the Dragons have a slight edge in points scored per game. The Cowboys have an impressive home record, but their recent defense is a concern. Dragons are on a resurgent run and have been competitive on the road.
  • Cowboys traditionally dominate at home. Their power ranking is marginally better (12.33 vs 13.67), but statistical analysis reveals minimal separation between the sides[1]. This is a near coin-flip match by most metrics.
  • No significant recent injury reports for either side (as of current data), but always check closer to kickoff for late changes.
  • Tropical heat and humidity in Townsville may affect conditioning, favoring teams with superior fitness and discipline. The Cowboys’ home fortress effect is notable[1].
  • Both teams are highly motivated for a crucial finals push, elevating the stakes and likely resulting in a tightly contested match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys -174 / Dragons 148 / Draw 2100 St George Illawarra Dragons β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Cowboys -4.5 (-115) / Dragons +4.5 (-115) Dragons +4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-145) / Under 46.5 (110) Under 46.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is one of the closest fixtures of the round, with the Cowboys’ home record counterbalanced by the Dragons’ recent form. Despite bookmakers favoring the Cowboys, the Dragons offer significant value as underdogs. Expect a low-scoring, defensive battle due to humid conditions and high stakes[1].

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 20 – North Queensland Cowboys 19


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Dolphins vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins host the North Queensland Cowboys in round 20 of the 2025 NRL season at Suncorp Stadium. The Dolphins have established themselves as strong contenders this year with solid form at home, while the Cowboys have been inconsistent and face a tough away challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins show strong recent form and have a 69% simulated win probability against the Cowboys based on 10,000 simulations. The Cowboys' away performance and defensive lapses reduce their chances.
  • Historically, the Dolphins have had an edge in their recent encounters, especially at home, reinforcing the model's confidence in the home side's advantage.
  • No significant injury updates impacting starting lineups for either team have been reported, suggesting both sides will field near full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Suncorp Stadium confers a strong home-ground advantage to the Dolphins. Weather conditions are expected to be favourable, allowing for an open and high-scoring game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to consolidate their ladder position to secure finals contention, while the Cowboys, lower on the table, are under pressure to gain points but may be more prone to errors under stress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins -179, Cowboys +153, Draw 2200 Dolphins β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 69%
Spread Dolphins -4.5 -115, Cowboys +4.5 -115 Dolphins -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – Cowboys 18


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys are facing a tough challenge as they host the Canterbury Bulldogs, who are favored to win. The Bulldogs have been performing well, but the Cowboys' home advantage could be a significant factor in this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Canterbury Bulldogs have superior recent form, but the Cowboys are known for their resilience at home.
  • No recent head-to-head data suggests a significant advantage for either team.
  • The Cowboys have notable absences with Sam McIntyre and John Bateman sidelined, while Murray Taulagi may return.
  • The tropical conditions in Townsville could favor the Cowboys.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with the Cowboys needing a win to stay in contention and the Bulldogs seeking to solidify their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -225, North Queensland Cowboys: 185 Canterbury Bulldogs Medium
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -7.5 -120, North Queensland Cowboys: 7.5 -110 North Queensland Cowboys +7.5 High
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canterbury Bulldogs are favored, but the Cowboys' home advantage and recent return of key players could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 24, Cowboys 21


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Melbourne Storm is a clash between a historically dominant Melbourne Storm and a competitively improving Cowboys side. Melbourne Storm have a strong overall head-to-head record against the Cowboys and have been the more consistent team in recent years. The match is set to be played at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, where the Cowboys have shown strong home form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have won 33 out of 46 matches historically against the Cowboys, including 17 of 21 home matches and 7 of 9 matches at AAMI Park. Their recent form includes a decisive 38-14 victory over the Cowboys on June 6, 2025. The Cowboys have had some solid performances at home, winning 3 out of 4 matches at Queensland Country Bank Stadium against the Storm, showing resilience on their turf. Overall, Storm dominate in point scoring (1120 vs 835) across head-to-head games.
  • The Melbourne Storm lead the historic head-to-head with 33 wins out of 46 matches vs the Cowboys' 13 wins since 1998. At Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the Cowboys lead 3-1 in recent matches, indicating stronger home advantage. Melbourne Storm have a longer winning streak (12 games) compared to the Cowboys' best streak of 3 against them.
  • No specific injury information was provided in the available data for either team for this match, suggesting both teams may be close to full strength.
  • Playing at home for the Cowboys generally boosts their performance, especially at Queensland Country Bank Stadium where they have won 3 of the last 4 matches against Melbourne Storm. Travel fatigue and scheduling could be minor factors but with a week gap from the last meeting, both teams should be physically prepared.
  • Melbourne Storm will aim to maintain their dominance over the Cowboys, especially after a recent big win. The Cowboys have motivation to defend their home ground and respond after the recent heavy defeat. Both teams have strong competitive drive given the significance of this fixture in the 2025 NRL season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -335, North Queensland Cowboys: 265, Draw: 2300 Melbourne Storm win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, North Queensland Cowboys +10.5: -115 Melbourne Storm to cover -10.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Over 49.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win this match owing to their dominant historical record, recent convincing victory, and overall stronger squad performance. However, the home advantage of the Cowboys could keep the scoreline competitive.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – 16 North Queensland Cowboys


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Gold Coast Titans vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 6:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans, positioned last on the NRL ladder with only four wins this season, face the North Queensland Cowboys who sit 12th. Both teams come into Round 17 struggling with form and recent heavy losses – the Titans lost 36-20 to the Eels while the Cowboys suffered a 42-8 defeat to the Roosters. The Titans will be looking to recover from inconsistency, while the Cowboys must respond after multiple recent heavy defeats. This Queensland derby is crucial for both sides aiming to arrest their downward trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Titans have demonstrated fluctuating performances this season, with moments of promise overshadowed by poor results such as the recent loss to the Eels where they also lost Jayden Campbell mid-match due to a head knock. The Cowboys have been struggling defensively, conceding over 30 points in three consecutive matches, including two losses with over 40 points conceded. Both teams face form uncertainties but the Cowboys have a slightly better recent run in terms of standings.
  • Historically, these Queensland rivals have had competitive encounters; however, current season form heavily favors the Cowboys who are higher on the ladder and arguably more stable despite their recent defensive lapses. The Titans have underperformed against top and mid-table teams this season and are seeking to capitalize on home advantage.
  • Key injury impacting the Titans is Jayden Campbell, ruled out mid-game last week with a Category 1 head knock. This forced the inclusion of Tom Weaver into the halves. The Cowboys do not have any notable injury news mentioned but are returning Origin players Tino Fa'asuamaleaui and Mo Fotuaika to the Titans bench, which may boost Titans' physicality and morale.
  • The match is at the Titans’ home ground, Cbus Super Stadium, potentially providing a home crowd advantage. Both teams are under pressure due to recent heavy defeats which may affect confidence and motivation. Weather conditions or other external factors have not been specified.
  • Both teams are motivated to reverse poor runs: the Titans to lift themselves off last place and avoid further slide, and the Cowboys to halt defensive collapses and regain competitiveness. The Cowboys coach has publicly demanded improved effort and execution, which suggests strong motivation to respond positively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: 128, North Queensland Cowboys: -143, Draw: 1900 North Queensland Cowboys β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Gold Coast Titans: -4.5 -130, North Queensland Cowboys: +4.5 100 North Queensland Cowboys +4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 51.5: -115, Under 51.5: -115 Over 51.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Titans' home advantage, the North Queensland Cowboys are predicted to win due to their stronger ladder position, recent form signals, and the Titans’ key injury and inconsistency issues. The Cowboys' defensive struggles may make it a high-scoring game, but their overall quality should prevail.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 28 – Titans 22


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Sydney Roosters vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-22
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters host the North Queensland Cowboys in Round 16 of the 2025 NRL season at Allianz Stadium. The Roosters are positioned to maintain their top eight standing and are bolstered by the return of multiple Origin stars, aiming to break a recent losing streak against the Cowboys. In contrast, the Cowboys are struggling with form, having suffered a heavy 54-point loss last weekend and only one win in their last six matches, despite also regaining key players from Origin duty and suspensions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have shown resilience, recently winning a low-scoring away game against Newcastle after coming from behind. Their attack will be strengthened by returning Origin players. North Queensland Cowboys are in poor form, with only one victory in six matches and a heavy defeat last round, although the return of Origin and suspended players may improve their competitiveness.
  • Historically, Roosters have had the upper hand against Cowboys in recent seasons. The Roosters aim to end a two-season run of consecutive defeats against the Cowboys and reassert dominance at home.
  • Both teams will regain multiple players returning from State of Origin duties. The Cowboys also have two players, John Bateman and Viliami Vailea, returning from suspension, which could help their lineup strength.
  • The match is held at Allianz Stadium, a home venue advantage for the Roosters. The timing and weather conditions are typical for Sydney in June, favoring the home side comfortable in the local environment.
  • Sydney Roosters are motivated to secure a top eight spot and reverse recent losses to the Cowboys. The Cowboys seek redemption after a humiliating loss and to improve their poor recent run, especially with returning key players.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sydney Roosters: -218, North Queensland Cowboys: 183, Draw: 2300 Sydney Roosters β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Sydney Roosters: -6.5 -115, North Queensland Cowboys: +6.5 -115 Sydney Roosters to cover -6.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 Under 48.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters to win by approximately 10 points, leveraging home advantage, better form, and returning star players.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 26 – 16 North Queensland Cowboys


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

NRL Round 15 clash between the North Queensland Cowboys (6th) and Dolphins (7th), both in the hunt for the top eight. Cowboys come off a loss to Melbourne Storm with several Origin players absent, while Dolphins are high on confidence after a big win over the Dragons, but missing key attacking weapon Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow to State of Origin duties. Both teams are in good recent home/away form against each other, and the game is expected to be closely contested with a tendency towards high scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dolphins have won 6 of their last 9 games, including a 56-6 thrashing of the Dragons last week. Cowboys have struggled recently, winning only 1 of their last 5. Both teams have high scoring games recently: Over 49.5 points in 5 of Dolphins' last 7 and 5 of Cowboys' last 6. Dolphins have covered the line in 5 of 6 wins (–5.5), whereas Cowboys have failed to cover the +5.5 line in 5 of 6 losses.
  • Dolphins have won both previous meetings at this venue. Recent encounters are split: Cowboys big win in Round 1 2024, Dolphins won 28-26 at the same venue later that year.
  • Cowboys missing Tom Dearden, Reuben Cotter, Reece Robson, Jeremiah Nanai due to State of Origin. Dolphins missing Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow for the same reason. Cowboys return Taulagi and Taumalolo for this match.
  • Dolphins riding a wave of confidence; Cowboys looking to bounce back at home but missing key playmakers. Prop Jordan McLean to make his 150th appearance for Cowboys. Dolphins winger Jamayne Isaako has scored 8 tries in last 4 games vs Cowboys; Cowboys centre Zac Laybutt has scored 4 tries in 2 games vs Dolphins.
  • Both teams highly motivated to secure top-eight spots with several teams chasing them. Dolphins look to continue winning momentum; Cowboys aim to rebound and harness home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -186, North Queensland Cowboys: 158, Draw: 2100 Dolphins β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Dolphins: -4.5 -120, North Queensland Cowboys: +4.5 -110 Dolphins (-4.5) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -145, Under: 48.5 110 Over (48.5) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins have the better recent form and momentum, with strong attacking stats and defensive frailties from the Cowboys making them favorites despite being away. Expect a high-scoring game with the Dolphins likely to cover the spread. Cowboys' home advantage is significant, but missing key players tilts the balance towards the visitors.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 30 – North Queensland Cowboys 22


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Melbourne Storm vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, June 6, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm and North Queensland Cowboys face off in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm is favored, with odds reflecting their historical dominance and strong recent performance. However, the Cowboys offer value at $4.50, suggesting they might be underestimated by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has been consistent, with strong team dynamics and execution. The Cowboys have shown resilience but struggle with consistency.
  • Historically, the Storm has an advantage, but recent matches have been competitive.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but any changes could impact team performance.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could favor the Storm.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Cowboys may have more to prove given their underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Storm: -500, Cowboys: 355, Draw: 2500 Storm β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Storm: -14.5 -115, Cowboys: 14.5 -115 Storm β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -145, Under: 48.5 110 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is likely to win, but the North Queensland Cowboys have a higher chance than implied by bookmakers.

Predicted Score: Storm: 24-18 Cowboys


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