Match Analysis: UC Riverside Highlanders vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: SRC Arena, Riverside, California

Game Overview

UC Riverside Highlanders (2-1) host North Dakota Fighting Hawks (1-3) in a non-conference matchup. UC Riverside enters as 5.5-point favorites with strong home court performance, while North Dakota arrives on a rough stretch, having lost 10 of their last 11 non-conference games.

Key Factors to Consider

• UC Riverside: 2-1 record with dominant offensive performance (90-49 win over La Sierra). Strong home splits: 2-0 ATS in road games, 2-0 ATS in last 2 games. Won last 9 home games vs non-AP-ranked opponents at SRC Arena. Last season ranked 143rd in offensive efficiency (74.8 PPG) but has shown improvement early this season. North Dakota: 1-3 record, struggling significantly. 1-11 SU in last 12 road games, 4-14 SU in last 18 underdog situations. Last season defensive issues (18th-worst, 79.5 PPG allowed) remain problematic.
• UC Riverside defeated North Dakota 74-70 on November 7, 2025 (8 days ago). In that matchup, UC Riverside shot 57.1% from field, 81.5% from three-point range (22-27), dominated rebounding 31-26. Marqui Worthy led with 23 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists. Osiris Grady added 19 points, 6 rebounds in 45 minutes.
• No significant injuries reported for either team in available data.
• Game played on neutral court (SRC Arena favors UC Riverside as home team). UC Riverside won first half in each of last 4 home games vs Summit League opponents. North Dakota has significant travel fatigue (1-11 on road). Public betting split 50-50 between teams on money percentage.
• UC Riverside: Strong home court advantage, recent confidence from dominant win. Facing struggling opponent creates high-probability scenario. North Dakota: Desperate to break losing streak, but severe road struggles and recent head-to-head loss suggest limited motivation edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	North Dakota +215 / UC Riverside -265	UC Riverside Highlanders	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	UC Riverside -5.5 -110 / North Dakota +5.5 -110	UC Riverside -5.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 146.5 -114 / Under 146.5 -106	Under 146.5	★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	UC Riverside Highlanders 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 146.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Riverside Highlanders will dominate North Dakota Fighting Hawks. The Highlanders' superior offensive efficiency, dominant home court record (9-game win streak at SRC vs non-AP teams), and recent head-to-head victory combine with North Dakota's abysmal road record (1-11 in last 12 games) to create a high-confidence home win. UC Riverside should control both halves and win comfortably.

Predicted Score: UC Riverside 82, North Dakota 75

Match Analysis: North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs CSU Northridge Matadors – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Betty Engelstad Sioux Center, Grand Forks, ND

Game Overview

Early season matchup between Cal State Northridge Matadors (1-1) and North Dakota Fighting Hawks (0-2). Both teams coming off losses, with CSU Northridge showing more offensive firepower but also inconsistency. North Dakota struggles defensively, especially in allowing points and opponent shooting percentages.

Key Factors to Consider

• CSU Northridge averages 78.0 PPG but was blown out 86-57 by Northern Iowa in their last outing. North Dakota averages only 66.0 PPG and gives up 82.5 PPG, with poor defensive metrics across FG%, FT%, and 3PT% allowed[4]. CSU Northridge has shown a higher ceiling offensively, with Josh O’Garro and Larry Hughes leading the way[3].
• No recent head-to-head data available. Both teams lost their last games, but CSU Northridge’s offensive stats are superior[2][4].
• No reported injuries or absences for either team.
• Game is at North Dakota’s home court, but the Hawks are winless at home this season[1][2]. No significant travel or scheduling advantages noted.
• Both teams seeking a rebound win after disappointing losses. North Dakota, winless, has more desperation, but CSU Northridge has higher talent and statistical upside.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	CSU Northridge -218, North Dakota +180	CSU Northridge moneyline	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	CSU Northridge -6.5 -112, North Dakota +6.5 -108	CSU Northridge -6.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 155.5 -112, Under 155.5 -108	Over 155.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	CSU Northridge Matadors 88%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 155.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: CSU Northridge Matadors at 88% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

CSU Northridge is favored for good reason—better offense, less porous defense, and a higher floor. North Dakota’s youth and defensive struggles make them vulnerable, especially against a team that can score in bunches. Project a higher-scoring game than the market expects, but CSU Northridge covers comfortably.

Predicted Score: CSU Northridge 84, North Dakota 74

Match Analysis: Kansas State Wildcats vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, Kansas

Game Overview

The No. 17 Kansas State Wildcats host the North Dakota Fighting Hawks in a Week 2 matchup. Kansas State returns home after a narrow 24-21 loss to Iowa State in their season opener, aiming to redeem themselves against FCS opponent North Dakota, who enters the game with a new coach and aggressive mindset.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kansas State is coming off a close loss with notable offensive efficiency from QB Avery Johnson, whereas North Dakota is an FCS team yet to start their season and was predicted to finish 7th in their conference.
• This is the first-ever meeting between Kansas State and North Dakota, so no direct head-to-head data exists.
• No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of the matchup.
• The game will be played at Kansas State's home stadium with good weather conditions (79°F, no rain, light wind). Home crowd support and travel demands favor Kansas State.
• Kansas State seeks immediate redemption after a tough loss and home opener prestige. North Dakota, under a new coaching regime focusing on toughness, will be motivated but faces a clear talent and division gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-4000 (Kansas State), +1400 (North Dakota)	Kansas State	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	-25.5 -106 (Kansas State), +25.5 -114 (North Dakota)	Kansas State -25.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	-105 (Over 55.5), -115 (Under 55.5)	Under 55.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kansas State Wildcats -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 55.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kansas State to win decisively, covering the large spread. Expect moderate total scoring near the line.

Predicted Score: Kansas State 38 – North Dakota 10

Match Analysis: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 9, 2025
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Sanford Center, Sioux Falls

Game Overview

The St. Thomas Tommies, with a strong 23-9 record, face the North Dakota Fighting Hawks, who are 12-20, in the Summit League Tournament. St. Thomas is favored by 7.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. Thomas has shown consistent performance with a balanced offense, while North Dakota struggles defensively, allowing high scoring averages.
• St. Thomas recently defeated North Dakota 86-71, showcasing their dominance.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is part of the Summit League Tournament, which could increase motivation for both teams.
• Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, but St. Thomas's recent form and home advantage give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	North Dakota +250, St. Thomas -315	St. Thomas	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	North Dakota +7.5 -110, St. Thomas -7.5 -110	St. Thomas	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 156.5 -115, Under 156.5 -105	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

St. Thomas is likely to win due to their strong recent performance and dominance over North Dakota.

Predicted Score: St. Thomas 83, North Dakota 75

Match Analysis: South Dakota St Jackrabbits vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 8, 2025
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Denny Sanford PREMIER Center

Game Overview

South Dakota State Jackrabbits host North Dakota Fighting Hawks in a Summit League Tournament matchup. SDSU holds a strong home record and is favored, while North Dakota seeks to build on recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• South Dakota State has a 20-11 record, averaging 79.9 points per game, while North Dakota is 11-20. SDSU excels at home with a 13-1 record, but both teams have shown inconsistent form lately.
• South Dakota State leads recent head-to-heads, but North Dakota won their last meeting 80-75. SDSU is 9-1 in their last 10 against UND.
• No significant injury reports available for either team.
• Neutral venue could affect SDSU's home advantage, but they still have a strong defensive record.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they enter the tournament phase, with SDSU seeking to capitalize on their strong season and North Dakota looking to upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	North Dakota +290, South Dakota State -385	South Dakota State	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	North Dakota +8.5 -110, South Dakota State -8.5 -110	South Dakota State	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 155.5 -110, Under 155.5 -110	Under	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

South Dakota State is likely to win due to their strong home record and overall performance this season.

Predicted Score: South Dakota State 82, North Dakota 73

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Rebels Prediction	New Mexico Win	-575	★★★★☆ 85% (85%)
South Dakota St Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks Prediction	South Dakota State Win	-385	★★★★☆ 85% (85%)
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. San Diego Toreros Prediction	Loyola Marymount Win	-355	★★★★☆ 80% (80%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -112

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $37.91

Match Analysis: South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Sanford Coyote Sports Center, Vermillion, SD

Game Overview

South Dakota Coyotes host North Dakota Fighting Hawks in a Summit League matchup. The Coyotes are known for their high-scoring offense, while North Dakota seeks to improve their conference standing.

Key Factors to Consider

• South Dakota averages 85.3 points per game, ranking high in NCAA scoring. North Dakota averages 76.9 points per game. The Coyotes have a strong home record, while North Dakota struggles on the road.
• North Dakota leads the all-time series 106-95, but South Dakota won the last matchup 102-93 on January 23, 2025.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is on Senior Day for South Dakota, which could boost their motivation and performance.
• South Dakota is motivated by Senior Day and seeking to end the season strong, while North Dakota aims to improve their conference record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not provided	South Dakota Coyotes	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-4.5 -115 (South Dakota), +4.5 -105 (North Dakota)	South Dakota Coyotes -4.5	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 176.5 -110, Under 176.5 -110	Over 176.5	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

South Dakota Coyotes are likely to win due to their strong offense and home advantage.

Predicted Score: South Dakota Coyotes 90, North Dakota Fighting Hawks 84

Match Analysis: North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs North Dakota St Bison – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Betty Engelstad Sioux Center

Game Overview

North Dakota State Bison (20-9) face North Dakota Fighting Hawks (10-18) in a Summit League matchup. NDSU has shown strong recent form, while North Dakota seeks to improve defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

• North Dakota State has a strong record and recent performances, including a win over Oral Roberts. North Dakota, despite a poor record, has shown resilience, notably against Alabama and a recent win over Oral Roberts.
• In their last meeting, NDSU won 87-82. Historically, NDSU leads the series with an 8-2 record.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The Fighting Hawks are 13-5 ATS as home underdogs, while the Bison are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• North Dakota is motivated to prove themselves against a stronger opponent, while NDSU aims to maintain their winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	North Dakota Fighting Hawks: 160, North Dakota St Bison: -180	North Dakota St Bison	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	North Dakota Fighting Hawks: +4 -110, North Dakota St Bison: -4 -110	North Dakota St Bison	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over: 159.5 -110, Under: 159.5 -110	Over	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

North Dakota State Bison are favored to win due to their stronger overall performance and recent success.

Predicted Score: North Dakota State Bison 82, North Dakota Fighting Hawks 78