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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Arizona Wildcats Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Arizona Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-08
  • Time: 4:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Boshamer Stadium, Chapel Hill, N.C.

Game Overview

This is a decisive Super Regional Game 3 between North Carolina (home) and Arizona (away), with a trip to the College World Series at stake. Both teams split the previous games, with Arizona winning 10-8 on Saturday. The high stakes suggest a heightened sense of urgency and quality of play[1][2][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Carolina is favored at home and has shown strong performances throughout the season, but Arizona is coming off a momentum-building offensive explosion in their previous match. Both teams are capable of high-scoring games, as evidenced by the over/under set at 14.
  • Recent results favor Arizona, who defeated North Carolina 10-8 in their most recent direct matchup on June 7, 2025. The two teams are evenly matched in overall ability, making this Game 3 unpredictable[3].
  • No major injuries have been reported as of now that would drastically affect either team's lineup.
  • Home field advantage for North Carolina may play a role. There are no significant weather concerns reported for the scheduled game time at Boshamer Stadium[1].
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with a College World Series berth on the line. Arizona may have psychological edge after their comeback win, but North Carolina is expected to rally at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Wildcats: +230, North Carolina Tar Heels: -315 North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arizona Wildcats: +3.5 (-125), North Carolina Tar Heels: -3.5 (-105) Arizona Wildcats +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 14 (-120), Under 14 (-110) Under 14 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Carolina Tar Heels -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 14 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 14 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina is heavily favored by oddsmakers at home (-315 moneyline), but Arizona has proven they can win on the road and may be undervalued at +230. Expect a closely contested game, but North Carolina is more likely to win due to home advantage and depth, though Arizona could cover the spread and potentially force a late-game upset.

Predicted Score: North Carolina Tar Heels 7, Arizona Wildcats 5


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Arizona Wildcats vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Arizona Wildcats vs North Carolina Tar Heels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Boshamer Stadium, Chapel Hill

Game Overview

The North Carolina Tar Heels are hosting the Arizona Wildcats in the NCAA Baseball Super Regionals. North Carolina is favored coming into this series, having won the first game 18-2.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Carolina has shown strong performance in their recent games, while Arizona struggled in the series opener.
  • North Carolina leads the head-to-head in this series, having dominated the first game.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either team.
  • Playing at home, North Carolina has a slight advantage in terms of crowd support.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to advance to the College World Series, but North Carolina's momentum after the first win could be a significant factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Wildcats: 240, North Carolina Tar Heels: -330 North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Arizona Wildcats: 3.5 -120, North Carolina Tar Heels: -3.5 -110 North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 12.5 -110, Under: 12.5 -120 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arizona Wildcats -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 12.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 12.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina Tar Heels are predicted to win due to their strong form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: North Carolina 8, Arizona 4


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Oklahoma Sooners vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Oklahoma Sooners vs North Carolina Tar Heels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Boshamer Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

Game Overview

The Oklahoma Sooners face the North Carolina Tar Heels in a decisive NCAA baseball regional final. Oklahoma recently defeated North Carolina 9-5, demonstrating strong offense and pitching. The Tar Heels, as the higher seed, are favored but will face a tough test against the Sooners.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oklahoma has shown impressive resilience, winning two games in a row to force this final. North Carolina, despite being the favorite, has shown vulnerability in their recent loss to Oklahoma.
  • Oklahoma won the most recent matchup 9-5 on June 1, 2025, indicating a strong current performance.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either team.
  • The game is played at North Carolina's home stadium, which could give them an advantage in terms of crowd support.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but Oklahoma's recent momentum might give them an edge in motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -238 (North Carolina), 180 (Oklahoma) North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -2.5 -105 (North Carolina), 2.5 -125 (Oklahoma) North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 12.5 -115, Under: 12.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oklahoma Sooners -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 12.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Oklahoma is likely to give North Carolina a tough challenge, but the Tar Heels' home advantage and higher seeding make them favorites.

Predicted Score: North Carolina 8, Oklahoma 6


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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Oklahoma Sooners Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Oklahoma Sooners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Boshamer Stadium, Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Game Overview

The NCAA Baseball match features the North Carolina Tar Heels hosting the Oklahoma Sooners in the Chapel Hill Regional of the 2025 NCAA Tournament. North Carolina enters as the regional's top seed and home favorite, while Oklahoma is the 2-seed after a mixed season and recent struggles but with tournament momentum from their SEC Tournament wins. The double-elimination format adds pressure, with both teams vying to advance to the Super Regionals hosted by the higher seed.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Carolina Tar Heels have had a strong season with a record of approximately 39-12, showcasing solid offense and pitching at home. Oklahoma Sooners have a 35-20 overall record, but struggled late in the regular season losing six of their last seven games before gaining some traction by winning two SEC Tournament games. The Sooners’ probable starter, RHP Malachi Witherspoon, has a 3-8 record and high ERA of 5.53, while North Carolina is likely to counter with LHP Jackson Brockett who holds a 4-3 record and a 3.41 ERA, indicating an edge in pitching for the home team.
  • The teams have limited recent direct matchups, but this NCAA Tournament meeting is high stakes. North Carolina holds the advantage given home-field and season dominance, whereas Oklahoma enters as underdogs aiming to overcome recent inconsistencies.
  • No significant injury updates have been reported for either team leading into this game.
  • Playing in Chapel Hill provides a home-field advantage for North Carolina. Weather and field conditions are expected to be typical for late spring baseball and not a major factor. The pitcher's matchup heavily influences expectations given Oklahoma’s starter’s recent struggles.
  • North Carolina, as hosts and higher seed, are motivated to assert dominance and maintain their home advantage. Oklahoma aims to build on their tournament momentum to upset the favored Tar Heels and advance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline North Carolina Tar Heels: -166, Oklahoma Sooners: 130 North Carolina Tar Heels to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread North Carolina Tar Heels: -1.5 at +100, Oklahoma Sooners: +1.5 at -130 North Carolina to cover -1.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 10.5: -115, Under 10.5: -115 Under 10.5 total runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Carolina Tar Heels -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina Tar Heels are predicted to win based on stronger season performance, pitching advantage, and home-field edge. While Oklahoma has shown sporadic late-season resilience, the pitching mismatch and venue favor North Carolina.

Predicted Score: North Carolina Tar Heels 6 – Oklahoma Sooners 3


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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Holy Cross Crusaders Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Holy Cross Crusaders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Boshamer Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

Game Overview

The North Carolina Tar Heels, a strong contender in NCAA baseball, face off against the Holy Cross Crusaders. The Tar Heels have a strong season record and are favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Carolina has a robust performance record, being the reigning ACC regular season champion and having a strong schedule this season.
  • No recent head-to-head data available between these teams.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team.
  • Home field advantage should benefit the Tar Heels.
  • The Tar Heels are highly motivated to continue their successful season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1600 for North Carolina, +800 for Holy Cross North Carolina Tar Heels High

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Carolina Tar Heels -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina Tar Heels are predicted to win.

Predicted Score: North Carolina Tar Heels 10, Holy Cross Crusaders 3


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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Boston College Eagles Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Boston College Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-23
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Brighton, Mass. (Note: Likely error—Boston College is at home, but for this scenario, odds suggest UNC is home; please verify venue)

Game Overview

The North Carolina Tar Heels, with a strong season record (39-12), face the Boston College Eagles (20-20) in a high-stakes ACC matchup. UNC has demonstrated consistent offensive and defensive strength, while Boston College has had a more balanced season with notable wins and losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UNC is on a strong win streak and boasts a superior record. Boston College has shown resilience but struggles against top-tier teams[4][1][2].
  • Head-to-head regular season meetings were scheduled for March 22-23, 2025. Recent results are not specified, but UNC generally performs well against Boston College based on historical ACC matchups[4][1][2].
  • No major injury updates available for either team at this time.
  • No significant weather or travel issues reported. Game may be affected by neutral or home field advantage discrepancy.
  • UNC is motivated to secure a high ACC seeding; Boston College is fighting for playoff positioning and may be unpredictable.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UNC: -520, BC: 350 UNC to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread UNC: -3.5 (-115), BC: +3.5 (-115) UNC -3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 10.5 (-115), Under: 10.5 (-115) Over 10.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Carolina Tar Heels 281%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels at 281% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 80.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina Tar Heels are favored to win, with likely margin greater than the spread, and high probability for the Over given both teams' recent scoring trends and the line set at 10.5 runs.

Predicted Score: UNC 8, BC 4


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 23, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Boston College Eagles Prediction North Carolina Tar Heels -520 281%
LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies Prediction LSU Tigers -298 153%
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction Minnesota Twins -166 49%

Combined Odds: +155 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $51.03

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Florida St Seminoles vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Florida St Seminoles vs North Carolina Tar Heels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mike Martin Field at Dick Howser Stadium, Tallahassee, FL

Game Overview

The No. 2 Florida State Seminoles are hosting the No. 4 North Carolina Tar Heels in a top-4 showdown to conclude the regular season. The series includes two games on the ACC Network and a final game on Saturday.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are highly ranked, with Florida State being No. 2 and North Carolina No. 4. Their recent performances suggest a competitive series.
  • Historically, the Seminoles and Tar Heels have had close matches, with each team seeking to gain an edge.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Home advantage may favor Florida State, but North Carolina's strong road performance could balance this.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with FSU aiming to secure a strong season finish and UNC seeking to disrupt FSU's momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Florida St Seminoles: -145, North Carolina Tar Heels: 114 Florida St Seminoles ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Florida St Seminoles -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Florida St Seminoles at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Florida State Seminoles to win due to home advantage and strong team performance.

Predicted Score: Florida State 5, North Carolina 3


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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. NC State Wolfpack Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 9, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Boshamer Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

Game Overview

The North Carolina Tar Heels are set to host the NC State Wolfpack in a key Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) matchup. Both teams have strong histories in the NCAA, with North Carolina finishing the 2024 season ranked 5th and NC State finishing 6th. This game is part of a series that will significantly impact the ACC standings and potential seeding in the NCAA Tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Carolina Tar Heels have shown strong performance in recent years, including a College World Series appearance in 2024. NC State also made it to the College World Series and has a robust lineup.
  • Historically, North Carolina and NC State have competitive series, with both teams often splitting wins. Recent performances suggest a close series.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either team leading into this series.
  • Given the late-season timing, both teams will be motivated to secure better seeding in the NCAA Tournament. Weather conditions could impact gameplay, but no adverse conditions are forecasted for the game day.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure crucial wins in the ACC, with potential implications for conference standings and NCAA Tournament seeding.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NC State Wolfpack: 140, North Carolina Tar Heels: -180 North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Carolina Tar Heels -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given North Carolina's strong home record and recent performance, they are slightly favored to win this matchup.

Predicted Score: North Carolina Tar Heels 6, NC State Wolfpack 4


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Elon Phoenix vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Elon Phoenix vs North Carolina Tar Heels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Latham Park

Game Overview

Elon Phoenix hosts North Carolina Tar Heels in a highly anticipated NCAA baseball matchup. This game marks the first visit by UNC to Elon since 2015.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elon has shown some inconsistency, while North Carolina has a strong overall performance. However, Elon's recent outing against UNC Greensboro showcased some strengths.
  • North Carolina holds a significant historical advantage over Elon, with 40 wins to 9 losses and having won the last 16 encounters.
  • No recent notable injuries reported for either team.
  • Weather conditions and home crowd support could slightly favor Elon, but North Carolina's experience should mitigate these factors.
  • Both teams are motivated, but North Carolina's desire to maintain its historical dominance might give them a slight edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Elon Phoenix: 300, North Carolina Tar Heels: -425 North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Elon Phoenix: +3.5 105, North Carolina Tar Heels: -3.5 -135 North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over: 13.5 -115, Under: 13.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina Tar Heels are likely to win due to their historical advantage and stronger performance record.

Predicted Score: Elon Phoenix 4, North Carolina Tar Heels 8


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