Match Analysis: Wyoming Cowboys vs Norfolk St Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Arena-Auditorium, Laramie
Game Overview
The Wyoming Cowboys (4-1) host the Norfolk State Spartans (3-3) in this NCAA Men's Basketball clash. Wyoming boasts a better record and defense, while Norfolk State is struggling with ball control and shooting consistency. Wyoming is a heavy favorite, reflected in the moneyline and spread odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wyoming has a strong 4-1 record, with a defense allowing 71.2 points per game and forcing 14.6 turnovers per game. They shoot 61.4% from the charity stripe and average 18.8 assists per game. Norfolk State, with a 3-3 record, averages 78.6 points but struggles with turnovers (11.2 per game) and a low 31% three-point shooting. Both teams show moderate foul rates and defensive efficiency differs significantly in favor of Wyoming.
- No recent direct head-to-head results are reported in the available data. However, Wyoming has a clear advantage in form and home-court advantage in the matchup.
- No specific injury reports or player availability issues were noted in the provided data for either team.
- Wyoming is playing at home in Laramie, which is an altitude factor that might affect the visiting Norfolk State. Public betting strongly favors Wyoming, with almost 100% of bets on them, potentially influencing line movements.
- Wyoming likely motivated to maintain an undefeated home record and continue their strong season start. Norfolk State, coming off mixed results, aims to upset a favored opponent but faces challenges with recent consistency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Norfolk St Spartans: 390, Wyoming Cowboys: -550 | Wyoming Cowboys win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Norfolk St Spartans: +10.5 -110, Wyoming Cowboys: -10.5 -110 | Wyoming Cowboys -10.5 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Over/under | Over: 139.5 -114, Under: 139.5 -110 | Over 139.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wyoming Cowboys -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 139.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 139.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The data strongly supports a Wyoming Cowboys win at home, covering the -10.5 spread. The over/under line at 139.5 points suggests a moderately high-scoring game, but overall defense strengths and pace indicate the total will be close to this line.
Predicted Score: Wyoming Cowboys 75 – Norfolk St Spartans 62